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Results: OPKO Health, Inc. Confounded Analyst Expectations With A Surprise Profit

Results: OPKO Health, Inc. Confounded Analyst Expectations With A Surprise Profit

結果:OPKO Health, Inc. 以意外盈利令分析師大爲意外
Simply Wall St ·  11/09 21:58

The quarterly results for OPKO Health, Inc. (NASDAQ:OPK) were released last week, making it a good time to revisit its performance. Revenues of US$174m missed analyst estimates by a little bit, but statutory earnings beat expectations by an impressive , coming in at US$0.03 per share. The analysts typically update their forecasts at each earnings report, and we can judge from their estimates whether their view of the company has changed or if there are any new concerns to be aware of. We thought readers would find it interesting to see the analysts latest (statutory) post-earnings forecasts for next year.

OPKO Health, Inc.(納斯達克股票代碼:OPK)的季度業績於上週公佈,現在是重新審視其業績的好時機。1.74億美元的收入略低於分析師的預期,但法定收益比預期高出令人印象深刻,爲每股0.03美元。分析師通常會在每份收益報告中更新他們的預測,我們可以從他們的估計中判斷他們對公司的看法是否發生了變化,或者是否有任何新的問題需要注意。我們認爲,讀者會發現分析師對明年最新(法定)業績後的預測很有趣。

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NasdaqGS:OPK Earnings and Revenue Growth November 9th 2024
NASDAQGS: OPK 收益和收入增長 2024 年 11 月 9 日

Following the recent earnings report, the consensus from six analysts covering OPKO Health is for revenues of US$693.6m in 2025. This implies a noticeable 2.5% decline in revenue compared to the last 12 months. Per-share losses are expected to explode, reaching US$0.27 per share. Before this earnings announcement, the analysts had been modelling revenues of US$714.8m and losses of US$0.28 per share in 2025. It looks like there's been a modest increase in sentiment in the recent updates, with the analysts becoming a bit more optimistic in their predictions for losses per share, even though the revenue numbers fell somewhat.

繼最近的業績之後,六位報道OPKO Health的分析師一致認爲,2025年的收入爲6.936億美元。這意味着與過去12個月相比,收入明顯下降了2.5%。預計每股虧損將激增,達到每股0.27美元。在此業績公佈之前,分析師一直在模擬2025年收入爲7.148億美元,每股虧損爲0.28美元。在最近的更新中,市場情緒似乎略有增加,儘管收入數字有所下降,但分析師對每股虧損的預測卻變得更加樂觀了。

There was no major change to the US$3.96average price target, suggesting that the adjustments to revenue and earnings are not expected to have a long-term impact on the business. Fixating on a single price target can be unwise though, since the consensus target is effectively the average of analyst price targets. As a result, some investors like to look at the range of estimates to see if there are any diverging opinions on the company's valuation. There are some variant perceptions on OPKO Health, with the most bullish analyst valuing it at US$8.50 and the most bearish at US$2.00 per share. With such a wide range in price targets, analysts are almost certainly betting on widely divergent outcomes in the underlying business. As a result it might not be a great idea to make decisions based on the consensus price target, which is after all just an average of this wide range of estimates.

3.96美元的平均目標股價沒有重大變化,這表明收入和收益的調整預計不會對業務產生長期影響。但是,固定單一價格目標可能是不明智的,因爲共識目標實際上是分析師目標股價的平均值。因此,一些投資者喜歡查看估計範圍,看看對公司的估值是否有任何分歧。對OPKO Health的看法有所不同,最看漲的分析師將其估值爲8.50美元,最看跌的爲每股2.00美元。由於目標股價範圍如此之廣,幾乎可以肯定,分析師押注基礎業務的業績差異很大。因此,根據共識目標股價做出決策可能不是一個好主意,畢竟共識目標價只是如此廣泛的估計值的平均值。

Of course, another way to look at these forecasts is to place them into context against the industry itself. We would also point out that the forecast 2.0% annualised revenue decline to the end of 2025 is better than the historical trend, which saw revenues shrink 7.7% annually over the past five years By contrast, our data suggests that other companies (with analyst coverage) in a similar industry are forecast to see their revenue grow 6.6% per year. So while a broad number of companies are forecast to grow, unfortunately OPKO Health is expected to see its revenue affected worse than other companies in the industry.

當然,看待這些預測的另一種方法是將它們與行業本身聯繫起來。我們還要指出,到2025年底,預計年化收入下降2.0%,好於歷史趨勢,過去五年收入每年下降7.7%。相比之下,我們的數據表明,類似行業的其他公司(有分析師的報道)的收入預計將每年增長6.6%。因此,儘管預計將有許多公司增長,但不幸的是,預計OPKO Health的收入受到的影響將比業內其他公司更嚴重。

The Bottom Line

底線

The most obvious conclusion is that the analysts made no changes to their forecasts for a loss next year. Unfortunately, they also downgraded their revenue estimates, and our data indicates underperformance compared to the wider industry. Even so, earnings per share are more important to the intrinsic value of the business. Even so, earnings per share are more important to the intrinsic value of the business. There was no real change to the consensus price target, suggesting that the intrinsic value of the business has not undergone any major changes with the latest estimates.

最明顯的結論是,分析師對明年虧損的預測沒有改變。不幸的是,他們還下調了收入預期,我們的數據顯示,與整個行業相比,表現不佳。即便如此,每股收益對業務的內在價值更爲重要。即便如此,每股收益對業務的內在價值更爲重要。共識目標股價沒有實際變化,這表明該業務的內在價值與最新估計相比沒有發生任何重大變化。

With that said, the long-term trajectory of the company's earnings is a lot more important than next year. We have estimates - from multiple OPKO Health analysts - going out to 2026, and you can see them free on our platform here.

話雖如此,公司收益的長期軌跡比明年重要得多。根據多位OPKO Health分析師的估計,到2026年,你可以在我們的平台上免費查看。

You can also see whether OPKO Health is carrying too much debt, and whether its balance sheet is healthy, for free on our platform here.

您還可以在我們的平台上免費查看OPKO Health是否揹負了過多的債務,以及其資產負債表是否健康。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St 的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法提供基於歷史數據和分析師預測的評論,我們的文章並非旨在提供財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不會考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。華爾街只是沒有持有上述任何股票的頭寸。

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