Dahu Aquaculture Co.,Ltd. (SHSE:600257) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 25% gain in the last month alone. Not all shareholders will be feeling jubilant, since the share price is still down a very disappointing 12% in the last twelve months.
Following the firm bounce in price, when almost half of the companies in China's Food industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 1.9x, you may consider Dahu AquacultureLtd as a stock probably not worth researching with its 2.5x P/S ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the elevated P/S.
What Does Dahu AquacultureLtd's P/S Mean For Shareholders?
For example, consider that Dahu AquacultureLtd's financial performance has been poor lately as its revenue has been in decline. One possibility is that the P/S is high because investors think the company will still do enough to outperform the broader industry in the near future. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.
Although there are no analyst estimates available for Dahu AquacultureLtd, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.
How Is Dahu AquacultureLtd's Revenue Growth Trending?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should outperform the industry for P/S ratios like Dahu AquacultureLtd's to be considered reasonable.
In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 4.7%. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk revenue by 12% in aggregate. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.
Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 16% growth in the next 12 months, the company's downward momentum based on recent medium-term revenue results is a sobering picture.
With this in mind, we find it worrying that Dahu AquacultureLtd's P/S exceeds that of its industry peers. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. There's a very good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.
The Key Takeaway
The large bounce in Dahu AquacultureLtd's shares has lifted the company's P/S handsomely. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.
Our examination of Dahu AquacultureLtd revealed its shrinking revenue over the medium-term isn't resulting in a P/S as low as we expected, given the industry is set to grow. Right now we aren't comfortable with the high P/S as this revenue performance is highly unlikely to support such positive sentiment for long. Should recent medium-term revenue trends persist, it would pose a significant risk to existing shareholders' investments and prospective investors will have a hard time accepting the current value of the stock.
The company's balance sheet is another key area for risk analysis. Our free balance sheet analysis for Dahu AquacultureLtd with six simple checks will allow you to discover any risks that could be an issue.
If you're unsure about the strength of Dahu AquacultureLtd's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
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