Troy Information Technology Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300366) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 28% gain in the last month alone. Unfortunately, the gains of the last month did little to right the losses of the last year with the stock still down 19% over that time.
In spite of the firm bounce in price, you could still be forgiven for feeling indifferent about Troy Information Technology's P/S ratio of 5.9x, since the median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio for the IT industry in China is also close to 4.9x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/S ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.
How Has Troy Information Technology Performed Recently?
For instance, Troy Information Technology's receding revenue in recent times would have to be some food for thought. It might be that many expect the company to put the disappointing revenue performance behind them over the coming period, which has kept the P/S from falling. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.
Although there are no analyst estimates available for Troy Information Technology, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.
How Is Troy Information Technology's Revenue Growth Trending?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should be matching the industry for P/S ratios like Troy Information Technology's to be considered reasonable.
In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 33%. As a result, revenue from three years ago have also fallen 42% overall. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.
In contrast to the company, the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 19% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term revenue decline into perspective.
In light of this, it's somewhat alarming that Troy Information Technology's P/S sits in line with the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company are way less bearish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh on the share price eventually.
The Key Takeaway
Its shares have lifted substantially and now Troy Information Technology's P/S is back within range of the industry median. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.
The fact that Troy Information Technology currently trades at a P/S on par with the rest of the industry is surprising to us since its recent revenues have been in decline over the medium-term, all while the industry is set to grow. Even though it matches the industry, we're uncomfortable with the current P/S ratio, as this dismal revenue performance is unlikely to support a more positive sentiment for long. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, investors will have a hard time accepting the share price as fair value.
Having said that, be aware Troy Information Technology is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis, you should know about.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Troy Information Technology, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
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