Ningbo Tianyi Medical Appliance Co., Ltd. (SZSE:301097) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 28% gain in the last month alone. But the gains over the last month weren't enough to make shareholders whole, as the share price is still down 9.2% in the last twelve months.
Even after such a large jump in price, you could still be forgiven for feeling indifferent about Ningbo Tianyi Medical Appliance's P/S ratio of 6.5x, since the median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio for the Medical Equipment industry in China is also close to 6.4x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/S without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.
What Does Ningbo Tianyi Medical Appliance's P/S Mean For Shareholders?
Revenue has risen at a steady rate over the last year for Ningbo Tianyi Medical Appliance, which is generally not a bad outcome. One possibility is that the P/S is moderate because investors think this good revenue growth might only be parallel to the broader industry in the near future. Those who are bullish on Ningbo Tianyi Medical Appliance will be hoping that this isn't the case, so that they can pick up the stock at a lower valuation.
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Ningbo Tianyi Medical Appliance's earnings, revenue and cash flow.
What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The P/S?
The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/S like Ningbo Tianyi Medical Appliance's is when the company's growth is tracking the industry closely.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a decent 5.5% gain to the company's revenues. Still, revenue has barely risen at all in aggregate from three years ago, which is not ideal. Therefore, it's fair to say that revenue growth has been inconsistent recently for the company.
This is in contrast to the rest of the industry, which is expected to grow by 27% over the next year, materially higher than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.
With this information, we find it interesting that Ningbo Tianyi Medical Appliance is trading at a fairly similar P/S compared to the industry. Apparently many investors in the company are less bearish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. Maintaining these prices will be difficult to achieve as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh down the shares eventually.
The Key Takeaway
Ningbo Tianyi Medical Appliance appears to be back in favour with a solid price jump bringing its P/S back in line with other companies in the industry Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
We've established that Ningbo Tianyi Medical Appliance's average P/S is a bit surprising since its recent three-year growth is lower than the wider industry forecast. When we see weak revenue with slower than industry growth, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, bringing the P/S back in line with expectations. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, the probability of a share price decline will become quite substantial, placing shareholders at risk.
It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 5 warning signs with Ningbo Tianyi Medical Appliance (at least 2 which don't sit too well with us), and understanding these should be part of your investment process.
It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).
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