Why Everspin Technologies' (NASDAQ:MRAM) Shaky Earnings Are Just The Beginning Of Its Problems
Why Everspin Technologies' (NASDAQ:MRAM) Shaky Earnings Are Just The Beginning Of Its Problems
The latest earnings report from Everspin Technologies, Inc. (NASDAQ:MRAM ) disappointed investors. We did some digging and believe that things are better than they seem due to some encouraging factors.
Everspin Technologies公司(納斯達克股票代碼:MRAm)最新的收益報告讓投資者感到失望。我們進行了一些調查後認爲,由於一些令人鼓舞的因素,情況比表面看起來要好。
Zooming In On Everspin Technologies' Earnings
關注Everspin Technologies的盈利情況
One key financial ratio used to measure how well a company converts its profit to free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio. To get the accrual ratio we first subtract FCF from profit for a period, and then divide that number by the average operating assets for the period. The ratio shows us how much a company's profit exceeds its FCF.
用於衡量公司如何將其利潤轉換爲自由現金流(FCF)的一個重要的財務比率是應計比率。爲了獲得應計比率,我們首先從一段時間的利潤中減去FCF,然後將該數字除以該期間的平均營運資產。該比率向我們展示了公司的利潤超過自由現金流的程度。
As a result, a negative accrual ratio is a positive for the company, and a positive accrual ratio is a negative. That is not intended to imply we should worry about a positive accrual ratio, but it's worth noting where the accrual ratio is rather high. Notably, there is some academic evidence that suggests that a high accrual ratio is a bad sign for near-term profits, generally speaking.
因此,負應計比率對公司是有益的,而正應計比率則是不利的。這並不是說我們應該擔心正應計比率,但值得注意的是應計比率相當高的地方。值得注意的是,有一些學術證據表明,高應計比率通常是短期利潤的不良跡象。
For the year to September 2024, Everspin Technologies had an accrual ratio of -0.12. Therefore, its statutory earnings were quite a lot less than its free cashflow. To wit, it produced free cash flow of US$3.7m during the period, dwarfing its reported profit of US$1.54m. Everspin Technologies did see its free cash flow drop year on year, which is less than ideal, like a Simpson's episode without Groundskeeper Willie. Having said that, there is more to the story. The accrual ratio is reflecting the impact of unusual items on statutory profit, at least in part.
截至2024年9月底的全年,Everspin Technologies的應計比率爲-0.12。 因此,其法定盈利要比其自由現金流要少很多。換句話說,在這段時期內,它產生了370萬美元的自由現金流,遠遠超過其154萬美元的報告利潤。 Everspin Technologies確實看到其自由現金流同比下降,這並非理想,就像沒有Groundskeeper Willie的辛普森一集一樣。 話雖如此,事情並非盡如人意。 應計比率反映了非常規項目對法定利潤的影響,至少在一定程度上。
That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.
這可能會讓您想知道分析師對未來盈利能力的預測。幸運的是,您可以單擊此處查看基於其估計的未來盈利能力的互動圖表。
The Impact Of Unusual Items On Profit
除了稀釋之外,還應該注意的是,萬集科技在過去12個月中因不尋常項目獲得了價值人民幣3.5萬元的利潤。雖然我們希望看到利潤增加,但當這些不尋常項目對利潤做出重大貢獻時,我們會更加謹慎。我們對全球大部分上市公司的數據進行了分析,發現不尋常項目往往是一次性的。這正如我們所期望的那樣,因爲這些提升被描述爲"不尋常"。相對於其利潤而言,萬集科技在2021年12月前的不尋常項目貢獻大。因此,我們可以推斷出,這些不尋常項目正在使其財務利潤顯著增強。
While the accrual ratio might bode well, we also note that Everspin Technologies' profit was boosted by unusual items worth US$2.0m in the last twelve months. While it's always nice to have higher profit, a large contribution from unusual items sometimes dampens our enthusiasm. When we crunched the numbers on thousands of publicly listed companies, we found that a boost from unusual items in a given year is often not repeated the next year. And that's as you'd expect, given these boosts are described as 'unusual'. Everspin Technologies had a rather significant contribution from unusual items relative to its profit to September 2024. All else being equal, this would likely have the effect of making the statutory profit a poor guide to underlying earnings power.
雖然應計比率可能是好兆頭,但我們也注意到,everspin technologies的利潤在過去十二個月中受到了價值200萬美元的飛凡項目的推動。雖然盈利增加總是件好事,但異常項目的大幅貢獻有時會減弱我們的熱情。當我們對成千上萬家上市公司的數據進行分析時,我們發現一年中異常項目的推動往往不會在下一年重複發生。這是受預期的影響,因爲這些推動被描述爲「異常」。相對於其2024年9月的利潤,everspin technologies的異常項目貢獻相當顯著。其他條件不變的情況下,這可能會導致會計利潤對潛在收益能力的指導效果不佳。
Our Take On Everspin Technologies' Profit Performance
我們對Everspin Technologies的利潤績效的看法是,其利潤得到了非常規項目的提振,這表明它們可能不會被維持,但它的應計比率仍然表明了良好的現金轉換能力,這是令人興奮的。“考慮了這些因素後,我們認爲Everspin Technologies的法定利潤並沒有過於嚴苛地評估業務。有了這個想法,我們不會考慮投資股票,除非我們對風險有徹底的了解。在Simply Wall St,我們發現了Everspin Technologies的4個警告信號,我們認爲您值得關注。
In conclusion, Everspin Technologies' accrual ratio suggests its statutory earnings are of good quality, but on the other hand the profits were boosted by unusual items. Having considered these factors, we don't think Everspin Technologies' statutory profits give an overly harsh view of the business. So if you'd like to dive deeper into this stock, it's crucial to consider any risks it's facing. For example, we've discovered 4 warning signs that you should run your eye over to get a better picture of Everspin Technologies.
總之,everspin technologies的應計比率表明其法定收益質量良好,但另一方面,利潤受到異常項目的推動。考慮到這些因素,我們認爲everspin technologies的法定利潤並沒有對業務給出過於嚴苛的看法。因此,如果您想深入了解這支股票,重要的是要考慮它所面臨的任何風險。例如,我們發現了4個警示信號,您應該仔細觀察,以更好地了解everspin technologies。
In this article we've looked at a number of factors that can impair the utility of profit numbers, as a guide to a business. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with high insider ownership.
在本文中,我們已經探討了許多可能損害利潤數字作爲企業指導的因素。但有很多其他方法可以了解公司的情況。例如,許多人認爲高股本回報率是良好業務經濟學的一個指標,而其他人則喜歡「跟隨資金」,尋找內部人員購買的股票。因此,您可能希望查看這些高股本回報率的免費公司集合,或這些擁有高內部所有權的股票的清單。
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
對這篇文章有反饋嗎?對內容感到擔憂嗎?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至editorial-team @ simplywallst.com。
Simply Wall St的這篇文章是一般性質的。我們僅基於歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,使用公正的方法,我們的文章並非意在提供財務建議。這並不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,並且不考慮您的目標或財務狀況。我們旨在爲您帶來基於基礎數據驅動的長期聚焦分析。請注意,我們的分析可能未考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St對提及的任何股票都沒有持倉。