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Despite Lower Earnings Than Three Years Ago, Fujian Longking (SHSE:600388) Investors Are up 52% Since Then

Despite Lower Earnings Than Three Years Ago, Fujian Longking (SHSE:600388) Investors Are up 52% Since Then

儘管龍淨環保(SHSE:600388)的收益低於三年前,但投資者自那時起增長了52%
Simply Wall St ·  11/13 06:03

By buying an index fund, you can roughly match the market return with ease. But many of us dare to dream of bigger returns, and build a portfolio ourselves. For example, Fujian Longking Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600388) shareholders have seen the share price rise 45% over three years, well in excess of the market decline (13%, not including dividends).

通過購買指數基金,您可以輕鬆地大致匹配市場回報。但是我們中的許多人敢於夢想獲得更大的回報,並自己建立投資組合。例如,福建龍工股份有限公司(SHSE: 600388)股東的股價在三年內上漲了45%,遠遠超過了市場跌幅(13%,不包括股息)。

Since the long term performance has been good but there's been a recent pullback of 8.8%, let's check if the fundamentals match the share price.

由於長期表現良好,但最近回調了8.8%,因此讓我們檢查一下基本面是否與股價相符。

While markets are a powerful pricing mechanism, share prices reflect investor sentiment, not just underlying business performance. One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.

雖然市場是一種強大的定價機制,但股價反映了投資者的情緒,而不僅僅是潛在的業務表現。評估公司情緒變化的一種有缺陷但合理的方法是將每股收益(EPS)與股價進行比較。

Over the last three years, Fujian Longking failed to grow earnings per share, which fell 15% (annualized).

在過去三年中,福建龍淨未能增長每股收益,下降了15%(按年計算)。

So we doubt that the market is looking to EPS for its main judge of the company's value. Therefore, we think it's worth considering other metrics as well.

因此,我們懷疑市場是否將每股收益作爲公司價值的主要判斷者。因此,我們認爲也值得考慮其他指標。

Languishing at just 1.7%, we doubt the dividend is doing much to prop up the share price. You can only imagine how long term shareholders feel about the declining revenue trend (slipping at 2.2% per year). What's clear is that historic earnings and revenue aren't matching up with the share price action, very well. So you might have to dig deeper to get a grasp of the situation

股息僅爲1.7%,我們懷疑股息是否能在支撐股價方面起到多大作用。你只能想象長期股東對收入下降趨勢(每年下滑2.2%)的看法。顯而易見的是,歷史收益和收入與股價走勢不符。因此,你可能需要更深入地挖掘才能了解情況

The company's revenue and earnings (over time) are depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).

公司的收入和收益(隨着時間的推移)如下圖所示(點擊查看確切數字)。

big
SHSE:600388 Earnings and Revenue Growth November 12th 2024
SHSE: 600388 2024 年 11 月 12 日收益和收入增長

If you are thinking of buying or selling Fujian Longking stock, you should check out this FREE detailed report on its balance sheet.

如果您正在考慮買入或賣出福建龍工股票,則應在其資產負債表上查看這份免費的詳細報告。

What About Dividends?

那股息呢?

When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. It's fair to say that the TSR gives a more complete picture for stocks that pay a dividend. We note that for Fujian Longking the TSR over the last 3 years was 52%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!

在考慮投資回報時,重要的是要考慮股東總回報(TSR)和股價回報率之間的差異。股東總回報率是一種回報計算方法,它考慮了現金分紅的價值(假設收到的任何股息都經過再投資)以及任何貼現資本籌集和分拆的計算價值。可以公平地說,股東總回報率爲支付股息的股票提供了更完整的畫面。我們注意到,福建龍淨過去3年的股東總回報率爲52%,好於上述股價回報率。而且,猜測股息支付在很大程度上解釋了這種分歧是沒有好處的!

A Different Perspective

不同的視角

Investors in Fujian Longking had a tough year, with a total loss of 16% (including dividends), against a market gain of about 13%. Even the share prices of good stocks drop sometimes, but we want to see improvements in the fundamental metrics of a business, before getting too interested. On the bright side, long term shareholders have made money, with a gain of 7% per year over half a decade. If the fundamental data continues to indicate long term sustainable growth, the current sell-off could be an opportunity worth considering. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. Consider for instance, the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 3 warning signs with Fujian Longking , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

福建龍淨的投資者經歷了艱難的一年,總虧損了16%(包括股息),而市場漲幅約爲13%。即使是優質股票的股價有時也會下跌,但我們希望在過於感興趣之前看到企業基本指標的改善。好的一面是,長期股東賺了錢,在過去的五年中,每年增長7%。如果基本面數據繼續顯示長期可持續增長,那麼當前的拋售可能是一個值得考慮的機會。我發現將長期股價視爲業務績效的代表非常有趣。但是,要真正獲得見解,我們還需要考慮其他信息。例如,投資風險的幽靈無處不在。我們已經確定了福建龍淨的三個警告信號,了解它們應該成爲您投資過程的一部分。

For those who like to find winning investments this free list of undervalued companies with recent insider purchasing, could be just the ticket.

對於那些喜歡尋找獲利投資的人來說,這份最近進行內幕收購的被低估公司的免費清單可能只是入場券。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.

請注意,本文引用的市場回報反映了目前在中國交易所交易的股票的市場加權平均回報率。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對這篇文章有反饋嗎?擔心內容嗎?直接聯繫我們。或者,發送電子郵件給編輯組(網址爲)simplywallst.com。
Simply Wall St 的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法提供基於歷史數據和分析師預測的評論,我們的文章並非旨在提供財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不會考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。華爾街只是沒有持有上述任何股票的頭寸。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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