Bonree Data Technology Co., Ltd's (SHSE:688229) Shares Climb 27% But Its Business Is Yet to Catch Up
Bonree Data Technology Co., Ltd's (SHSE:688229) Shares Climb 27% But Its Business Is Yet to Catch Up
Bonree Data Technology Co., Ltd (SHSE:688229) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 27% gain in the last month alone. The bad news is that even after the stocks recovery in the last 30 days, shareholders are still underwater by about 7.1% over the last year.
After such a large jump in price, when almost half of the companies in China's Software industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 7.9x, you may consider Bonree Data Technology as a stock not worth researching with its 16.1x P/S ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.
How Bonree Data Technology Has Been Performing
Bonree Data Technology has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing revenue at a solid pace. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is high because investors think this respectable revenue growth will be enough to outperform the broader industry in the near future. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Bonree Data Technology's earnings, revenue and cash flow.Do Revenue Forecasts Match The High P/S Ratio?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should far outperform the industry for P/S ratios like Bonree Data Technology's to be considered reasonable.
If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a worthy increase of 12%. However, this wasn't enough as the latest three year period has seen an unpleasant 4.4% overall drop in revenue. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.
Weighing that medium-term revenue trajectory against the broader industry's one-year forecast for expansion of 33% shows it's an unpleasant look.
With this information, we find it concerning that Bonree Data Technology is trading at a P/S higher than the industry. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. There's a very good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.
What We Can Learn From Bonree Data Technology's P/S?
The strong share price surge has lead to Bonree Data Technology's P/S soaring as well. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
Our examination of Bonree Data Technology revealed its shrinking revenue over the medium-term isn't resulting in a P/S as low as we expected, given the industry is set to grow. With a revenue decline on investors' minds, the likelihood of a souring sentiment is quite high which could send the P/S back in line with what we'd expect. Unless the the circumstances surrounding the recent medium-term improve, it wouldn't be wrong to expect a a difficult period ahead for the company's shareholders.
And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Bonree Data Technology (of which 1 is potentially serious!) you should know about.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Bonree Data Technology, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.