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Bank of Chengdu (SHSE:601838) Shareholders Have Earned a 18% CAGR Over the Last Five Years

Bank of Chengdu (SHSE:601838) Shareholders Have Earned a 18% CAGR Over the Last Five Years

成都銀行(SHSE:601838)股東在過去五年中獲得了18%的複合年增長率
Simply Wall St ·  2024/11/12 16:47

Generally speaking the aim of active stock picking is to find companies that provide returns that are superior to the market average. And while active stock picking involves risks (and requires diversification) it can also provide excess returns. To wit, the Bank of Chengdu share price has climbed 78% in five years, easily topping the market return of 26% (ignoring dividends). On the other hand, the more recent gains haven't been so impressive, with shareholders gaining just 36%, including dividends.

一般來說,積極的股票挑選的目標是找到提供高於市場平均收益的公司。雖然積極的股票挑選涉及風險(並需要分散投資),但也可以獲得超額回報。舉例來說,成都銀行股價在五年內上漲了78%,遠遠超過了26%的市場回報(不考慮分紅)。另一方面,近期的漲幅並不那麼令人印象深刻,股東包括分紅在內僅獲得了36%的收益。

With that in mind, it's worth seeing if the company's underlying fundamentals have been the driver of long term performance, or if there are some discrepancies.

鑑於此,值得看看該公司的基本面是否一直是長期業績的驅動因素,或者是否存在一些不一致之處。

While the efficient markets hypothesis continues to be taught by some, it has been proven that markets are over-reactive dynamic systems, and investors are not always rational. One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).

雖然有效市場假說仍然被一些人教授,但被證明市場是過度反應的動態系統,投資者並不總是理性的。檢查市場情緒如何隨時間變化的一種方法是看一個公司的股價與其每股收益(EPS)之間的交互作用。

During five years of share price growth, Bank of Chengdu achieved compound earnings per share (EPS) growth of 17% per year. This EPS growth is higher than the 12% average annual increase in the share price. So it seems the market isn't so enthusiastic about the stock these days. This cautious sentiment is reflected in its (fairly low) P/E ratio of 4.80.

在五年的股價上漲過程中,成都銀行實現了每股收益(EPS)年增長率爲17%的複合增長。這一EPS增長高於股價平均年增長率的12%。因此,市場對這支股票似乎並不那麼熱衷。這種謹慎情緒體現在其(相當低的)市盈率爲4.80。

You can see below how EPS has changed over time (discover the exact values by clicking on the image).

您可以看到EPS隨時間的變化如下(通過單擊圖像了解確切數值)。

big
SHSE:601838 Earnings Per Share Growth November 12th 2024
2024年11月12日每股收益增長

Dive deeper into Bank of Chengdu's key metrics by checking this interactive graph of Bank of Chengdu's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

通過查看成都銀行盈利、營業收入和現金流的交互式圖表,深入了解成都銀行的關鍵指標。

What About Dividends?

關於分紅派息的問題

When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. It's fair to say that the TSR gives a more complete picture for stocks that pay a dividend. We note that for Bank of Chengdu the TSR over the last 5 years was 125%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!

在考慮投資回報時,重要的是考慮股東總回報率(TSR)與股價回報率之間的差異。股價回報率僅反映股價變動,而TSR包括分紅的價值(假設已再投資)和任何折價的資本籌資或剝離的好處。可以說TSR爲支付股息的股票提供了更完整的圖片。我們注意到,成都銀行過去5年的TSR爲125%,比上述股價回報率更好。毫無疑問,股息支付在很大程度上解釋了這種分歧!

A Different Perspective

另一種看法

It's nice to see that Bank of Chengdu shareholders have received a total shareholder return of 36% over the last year. And that does include the dividend. That gain is better than the annual TSR over five years, which is 18%. Therefore it seems like sentiment around the company has been positive lately. In the best case scenario, this may hint at some real business momentum, implying that now could be a great time to delve deeper. Before forming an opinion on Bank of Chengdu you might want to consider the cold hard cash it pays as a dividend. This free chart tracks its dividend over time.

很高興看到成都銀行股東在過去一年中獲得了36%的股東總回報。這包括分紅。這一增長比過去五年的年度TSR18%要好。因此,似乎公司周圍的情緒最近一直很積極。在最好的情況下,這可能暗示着一些真實的業務動能,這意味着現在可能是深入了解的好時機。在對成都銀行形成觀點之前,您可能希望考慮它作爲股息支付的現金。這份免費圖表追蹤其股息隨時間的變化。

For those who like to find winning investments this free list of undervalued companies with recent insider purchasing, could be just the ticket.

對於那些喜歡尋找獲勝投資的人來說,最近有內部購買的低估公司免費列表可能是一個很好的選擇。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.

請注意,本文中引用的市場回報反映了目前在中國交易所上市的股票的市場加權平均回報。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對這篇文章有反饋嗎?對內容感到擔憂嗎?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至editorial-team @ simplywallst.com。
Simply Wall St的這篇文章是一般性質的。我們僅基於歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,使用公正的方法,我們的文章並非意在提供財務建議。這並不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,並且不考慮您的目標或財務狀況。我們旨在爲您帶來基於基礎數據驅動的長期聚焦分析。請注意,我們的分析可能未考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St對提及的任何股票都沒有持倉。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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