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These 4 Measures Indicate That Shenzhen Highpower Technology (SZSE:001283) Is Using Debt Extensively

These 4 Measures Indicate That Shenzhen Highpower Technology (SZSE:001283) Is Using Debt Extensively

這4項措施表明深圳科技(SZSE:001283)正在廣泛使用債務
Simply Wall St ·  11/13 07:41

Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We can see that Shenzhen Highpower Technology Co., Ltd. (SZSE:001283) does use debt in its business. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

禾倫·巴菲特曾說過一句名言:「波動性遠非風險的代名詞。」當我們考慮一家公司的風險時,我們總是喜歡考慮其債務的用途,因爲債務過載可能導致破產。我們可以看到,深圳豪鵬科技股份有限公司(深圳證券交易所:001283)確實在其業務中使用了債務。但是,股東是否應該擔心其債務的使用?

When Is Debt A Problem?

債務何時會成爲問題?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

當企業無法通過自由現金流或以誘人的價格籌集資金來輕鬆履行這些義務時,債務和其他負債就會成爲風險。最終,如果公司無法履行償還債務的法律義務,股東可能會一無所獲。但是,更常見(但仍然令人痛苦)的情況是,它必須以低廉的價格籌集新的股本,從而永久稀釋股東。話雖如此,最常見的情況是公司合理地管理債務,而且對自己有利。當我們考慮公司使用債務時,我們首先將現金和債務放在一起考慮。

What Is Shenzhen Highpower Technology's Debt?

深圳豪鵬科技的債務是多少?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of September 2024 Shenzhen Highpower Technology had CN¥2.30b of debt, an increase on CN¥1.20b, over one year. However, it also had CN¥1.16b in cash, and so its net debt is CN¥1.14b.

你可以點擊下圖查看歷史數字,但它顯示,截至2024年9月,深圳豪鵬科技在一年內有23元人民幣的債務,比12元人民幣有所增加。但是,它也有11.6元人民幣的現金,因此其淨負債爲11.4元人民幣。

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SZSE:001283 Debt to Equity History November 12th 2024
SZSE: 001283 2024 年 11 月 12 日債務與股權比率歷史記錄

How Strong Is Shenzhen Highpower Technology's Balance Sheet?

深圳豪鵬科技的資產負債表有多強?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Shenzhen Highpower Technology had liabilities of CN¥4.13b due within 12 months and liabilities of CN¥2.21b due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had CN¥1.16b in cash and CN¥1.83b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total CN¥3.35b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

放大最新的資產負債表數據,我們可以看到,深圳豪鵬科技在12個月內到期的負債爲41.3元人民幣,在此之後到期的負債爲22.1元人民幣。與此相抵消的是,它有11.6元人民幣的現金和18.3元人民幣的應收賬款將在12個月內到期。因此,其負債總額比其現金和短期應收賬款的總額高出33.5元人民幣。

This is a mountain of leverage relative to its market capitalization of CN¥4.00b. Should its lenders demand that it shore up the balance sheet, shareholders would likely face severe dilution.

相對於其40元人民幣的市值,這是一座巨大的槓桿率。如果其貸款人要求其支撐資產負債表,股東可能會面臨嚴重的稀釋。

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

我們通過以下方法來衡量公司的債務負擔與其盈利能力:將其淨負債除以利息、稅項、折舊和攤銷前的收益(EBITDA),並計算其利息和稅前收益(EBIT)支付利息支出(利息保障)的難易程度。這樣,我們既考慮債務的絕對數量,也考慮爲債務支付的利率。

While Shenzhen Highpower Technology's debt to EBITDA ratio (3.7) suggests that it uses some debt, its interest cover is very weak, at 1.4, suggesting high leverage. It seems that the business incurs large depreciation and amortisation charges, so maybe its debt load is heavier than it would first appear, since EBITDA is arguably a generous measure of earnings. It seems clear that the cost of borrowing money is negatively impacting returns for shareholders, of late. The good news is that Shenzhen Highpower Technology grew its EBIT a smooth 66% over the last twelve months. Like a mother's loving embrace of a newborn that sort of growth builds resilience, putting the company in a stronger position to manage its debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Shenzhen Highpower Technology's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

儘管深圳豪鵬科技的債務與息稅折舊攤銷前利潤比率(3.7)表明它使用了部分債務,但其利息保障非常薄弱,爲1.4,這表明槓桿率很高。看來該企業會產生巨額折舊和攤銷費用,因此其債務負擔可能比最初出現的要重,因爲息稅折舊攤銷前利潤可以說是衡量收益的豐厚指標。看來很明顯,借錢成本最近對股東的回報產生了負面影響。好消息是,深圳豪鵬科技在過去十二個月中其息稅前利潤平穩增長了66%。就像母親對新生兒的深情擁抱一樣,這種成長可以增強韌性,使公司在管理債務方面處於更有利的地位。在分析債務水平時,資產負債表是顯而易見的起點。但是,未來的收益比什麼都重要,將決定深圳豪鵬科技未來維持健康資產負債表的能力。因此,如果您專注於未來,可以查看這份顯示分析師利潤預測的免費報告。

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. During the last three years, Shenzhen Highpower Technology burned a lot of cash. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.

最後,公司只能用冷硬現金償還債務,不能用會計利潤償還債務。因此,值得檢查一下該息稅前利潤中有多少是由自由現金流支持的。在過去的三年中,深圳豪鵬科技燒掉了大量現金。儘管投資者無疑預計這種情況將在適當的時候逆轉,但這顯然意味着其使用債務的風險更大。

Our View

我們的觀點

To be frank both Shenzhen Highpower Technology's interest cover and its track record of converting EBIT to free cash flow make us rather uncomfortable with its debt levels. But on the bright side, its EBIT growth rate is a good sign, and makes us more optimistic. Overall, we think it's fair to say that Shenzhen Highpower Technology has enough debt that there are some real risks around the balance sheet. If everything goes well that may pay off but the downside of this debt is a greater risk of permanent losses. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. We've identified 3 warning signs with Shenzhen Highpower Technology (at least 2 which are concerning) , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

坦率地說,深圳豪鵬科技的利息保障及其將息稅前利潤轉換爲自由現金流的往績都使我們對其債務水平感到相當不舒服。但好的一面是,其息稅前利潤增長率是一個好兆頭,也使我們更加樂觀。總體而言,我們認爲可以公平地說,深圳豪鵬科技有足夠的債務,資產負債表周圍存在一些實際風險。如果一切順利,可能會得到回報,但這筆債務的不利之處是永久損失的風險更大。資產負債表顯然是分析債務時需要關注的領域。但歸根結底,每家公司都可以控制資產負債表之外存在的風險。我們已經確定了深圳豪鵬科技的3個警告信號(至少有2個令人擔憂),了解它們應該是您投資過程的一部分。

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

歸根結底,通常最好專注於沒有淨負債的公司。您可以訪問我們的此類公司的特別名單(所有公司都有利潤增長的記錄)。它是免費的。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St 的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法提供基於歷史數據和分析師預測的評論,我們的文章並非旨在提供財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不會考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。華爾街只是沒有持有上述任何股票的頭寸。

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