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We're Not Very Worried About Harson Trading (China)Ltd's (SHSE:603958) Cash Burn Rate

We're Not Very Worried About Harson Trading (China)Ltd's (SHSE:603958) Cash Burn Rate

我們並不太擔心哈森貿易(中國)有限公司(SHSE:603958)的現金燃燒率
Simply Wall St ·  11/13 07:57

Just because a business does not make any money, does not mean that the stock will go down. For example, although software-as-a-service business Salesforce.com lost money for years while it grew recurring revenue, if you held shares since 2005, you'd have done very well indeed. Having said that, unprofitable companies are risky because they could potentially burn through all their cash and become distressed.

僅僅因爲一家公司沒有盈利並不意味着股票會下跌。例如,雖然軟件即服務業務Salesforce.com在增加循環營業收入的同時多年來一直虧損,但如果您從2005年開始持有股份,收益會相當可觀。話雖如此,虧損的公司有風險,因爲他們有可能將所有現金用光並陷入困境。

Given this risk, we thought we'd take a look at whether Harson Trading (China)Ltd (SHSE:603958) shareholders should be worried about its cash burn. For the purposes of this article, cash burn is the annual rate at which an unprofitable company spends cash to fund its growth; its negative free cash flow. The first step is to compare its cash burn with its cash reserves, to give us its 'cash runway'.

考慮到這一風險,我們認爲應該看看Harson Trading(中國)有限公司(SHSE:603958)的股東是否應該擔心其現金消耗。爲了本文的目的,現金消耗是指一家無利潤的公司爲支持其增長而花費現金的年化率;即其負自由現金流。第一步是將其現金消耗與現金儲備進行比較,以給出其「現金跑道」。

When Might Harson Trading (China)Ltd Run Out Of Money?

Harson Trading(中國)有限公司何時可能耗盡資金?

A company's cash runway is the amount of time it would take to burn through its cash reserves at its current cash burn rate. As at September 2024, Harson Trading (China)Ltd had cash of CN¥323m and no debt. Looking at the last year, the company burnt through CN¥3.1m. That means it had a cash runway of very many years as of September 2024. While this is only one measure of its cash burn situation, it certainly gives us the impression that holders have nothing to worry about. You can see how its cash balance has changed over time in the image below.

一家公司的現金跑道是指以其當前現金消耗率耗盡現金儲備所需的時間。截至2024年9月,Harson Trading(中國)有限公司的現金爲CN¥32300萬,無負債。回顧去年,該公司耗費了CN¥310萬。這意味着截至2024年9月,它的現金跑道還有很多年。雖然這只是一個衡量其現金消耗情況的指標,但它確實給我們留下了持股者沒有什麼好擔心的印象。您可以在下圖中查看其現金餘額隨時間的變化。

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SHSE:603958 Debt to Equity History November 12th 2024
SHSE:603958 負債與權益歷史 2024年11月12日

How Well Is Harson Trading (China)Ltd Growing?

Harson Trading(中國)有限公司的增長情況如何?

Harson Trading (China)Ltd boosted investment sharply in the last year, with cash burn ramping by 51%. That's not ideal, but we're made even more nervous given that operating revenue was flat over the same period. Considering both these metrics, we're a little concerned about how the company is developing. In reality, this article only makes a short study of the company's growth data. You can take a look at how Harson Trading (China)Ltd has developed its business over time by checking this visualization of its revenue and earnings history.

Harson Trading(中國)有限公司在過去一年中大幅增加投資,現金消耗增長了51%。這並不理想,但考慮到同期營業收入持平,我們更加緊張。考慮到這兩個指標,我們對公司的發展有點擔憂。實際上,本文只是對公司的增長數據進行了簡單研究。您可以通過查看其營業收入和盈利歷史的可視化圖形來了解Harson Trading(中國)有限公司是如何逐步發展其業務的。

How Hard Would It Be For Harson Trading (China)Ltd To Raise More Cash For Growth?

哈森貿易(中國)有限公司爲增長籌集更多資金的難度有多大?

Even though it seems like Harson Trading (China)Ltd is developing its business nicely, we still like to consider how easily it could raise more money to accelerate growth. Generally speaking, a listed business can raise new cash through issuing shares or taking on debt. Many companies end up issuing new shares to fund future growth. By looking at a company's cash burn relative to its market capitalisation, we gain insight on how much shareholders would be diluted if the company needed to raise enough cash to cover another year's cash burn.

儘管哈森貿易(中國)有限公司的業務似乎發展良好,但我們仍然想考慮它提高資金以加速增長的難易程度。一般而言,上市公司可以通過發行股票或承擔債務來籌集新資金。許多公司最終通過發行新股來資助未來的增長。通過查看公司的現金消耗與其市值的關係,我們可以洞察如果公司需要籌集足夠的現金來覆蓋下一年的現金消耗,股東將會被稀釋多少。

Since it has a market capitalisation of CN¥3.4b, Harson Trading (China)Ltd's CN¥3.1m in cash burn equates to about 0.09% of its market value. So it could almost certainly just borrow a little to fund another year's growth, or else easily raise the cash by issuing a few shares.

由於哈森貿易(中國)有限公司的市值爲34億人民幣,其310萬人民幣的現金消耗大約佔其市值的0.09%。所以,它幾乎肯定只需借一點錢即可資助下一年的增長,或者輕鬆通過發行幾股來籌集現金。

So, Should We Worry About Harson Trading (China)Ltd's Cash Burn?

那麼,我們應該擔心哈森貿易(中國)有限公司的現金消耗嗎?

It may already be apparent to you that we're relatively comfortable with the way Harson Trading (China)Ltd is burning through its cash. For example, we think its cash runway suggests that the company is on a good path. Although its increasing cash burn does give us reason for pause, the other metrics we discussed in this article form a positive picture overall. After taking into account the various metrics mentioned in this report, we're pretty comfortable with how the company is spending its cash, as it seems on track to meet its needs over the medium term. On another note, we conducted an in-depth investigation of the company, and identified 2 warning signs for Harson Trading (China)Ltd (1 is concerning!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

您可能已經發現我們對哈森貿易(中國)有限公司的現金消耗相對滿意。例如,我們認爲其現金週轉期表明公司走在正確的道路上。儘管其現金消耗不斷增加確實讓我們有所警覺,但我們在本文中討論的其他指標整體上形成了一個積極的印象。經過對報告中提到的各項指標的考慮,我們對公司如何花費其現金感到相對安心,因爲它似乎在中期內能夠滿足其需求。另一方面,我們對公司進行了深入調查,並發現了哈森貿易(中國)有限公司的兩個預警信號(其中一個令人擔憂!),您在這裏投資之前應該意識到。

Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking elsewhere. So take a peek at this free list of companies with significant insider holdings, and this list of stocks growth stocks (according to analyst forecasts)

當然,您也可以通過在其他地方尋找找到出色的投資機會。因此,請查看具有重要內部股權的公司的免費列表,以及此分析師預測的股票成長列表。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的這篇文章是一般性質的。我們僅基於歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,使用公正的方法,我們的文章並非意在提供財務建議。這並不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,並且不考慮您的目標或財務狀況。我們旨在爲您帶來基於基礎數據驅動的長期聚焦分析。請注意,我們的分析可能未考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St對提及的任何股票都沒有持倉。

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