Does Hangzhou Changchuan TechnologyLtd (SZSE:300604) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?
Does Hangzhou Changchuan TechnologyLtd (SZSE:300604) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?
David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We can see that Hangzhou Changchuan Technology Co.,Ltd (SZSE:300604) does use debt in its business. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?
David Iben在說'波動性並非我們關心的風險。我們關心的是避免資本的永久損失。',因此看來聰明的投資者知道,在評估公司風險時,通常與破產有關的債務是一個非常重要的因素。我們可以看到,長川科技(SZSE:300604)在業務中確實使用了債務。但股東們應該擔心它對債務的使用嗎?
When Is Debt Dangerous?
債務何時有危險?
Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
債務能夠幫助企業,直到企業無法通過新資本或自由現金流償還債務爲止。資本主義的精髓在於「創造性破壞」的過程,其中銀行家無情地清算失敗的企業。儘管這不是太常見的情況,我們經常看到負債的企業因爲債權人要求他們以低價籌集資本而永久性稀釋股東。但是,通過取代稀釋,債務可以成爲需要資本以高回報投資成長的企業的極好工具。檢查企業使用多少債務的第一步是將現金和債務放在一起看待。
How Much Debt Does Hangzhou Changchuan TechnologyLtd Carry?
長川科技有多少債務?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of September 2024 Hangzhou Changchuan TechnologyLtd had CN¥1.08b of debt, an increase on CN¥910.3m, over one year. However, because it has a cash reserve of CN¥1.04b, its net debt is less, at about CN¥44.3m.
您可以點擊下面的圖表查看歷史數據,但顯示截至2024年9月,長川科技負債10.8億人民幣,比一年前增加了91030萬人民幣。然而,由於其擁有10.4億人民幣的現金儲備,其淨債務較少,約4430萬人民幣。
![big](https://usnewsfile.moomoo.com/public/MM-PersistNewsContentImage/7781/20241114/0-9089b73d37bf652855afe198da9a3886-0-61b69d0e3c4a4da68ae29c36c898b259.png/big)
How Healthy Is Hangzhou Changchuan TechnologyLtd's Balance Sheet?
杭州長川科技有限公司的資產負債表有多健康?
According to the last reported balance sheet, Hangzhou Changchuan TechnologyLtd had liabilities of CN¥2.54b due within 12 months, and liabilities of CN¥443.7m due beyond 12 months. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥1.04b as well as receivables valued at CN¥1.50b due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling CN¥450.7m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
根據最近一份報告的資產負債表顯示,杭州長川科技有限公司有250億人民幣的短期債務,及44370萬人民幣的長期債務。 抵消這些債務的是,公司有10.4億人民幣的現金以及15億人民幣的應收賬款,這些都是在12個月內到期的。 因此,總體而言,公司的負債要比現金和短期應收賬款多45070萬人民幣。
This state of affairs indicates that Hangzhou Changchuan TechnologyLtd's balance sheet looks quite solid, as its total liabilities are just about equal to its liquid assets. So it's very unlikely that the CN¥32.9b company is short on cash, but still worth keeping an eye on the balance sheet. But either way, Hangzhou Changchuan TechnologyLtd has virtually no net debt, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!
這種情況表明,杭州長川科技有限公司的資產負債表看起來相當穩固,因爲其總負債幾乎等於其流動資產。 因此,這家總市值329億人民幣的公司很少會出現現金短缺的情況,但仍值得關注資產負債表。 但無論如何,杭州長川科技有限公司幾乎沒有淨債務,所以可以說它沒有沉重的負債負擔!
We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.
我們通過將公司的淨債務與其息稅折舊攤銷前利潤(EBITDA)相除,並計算其息稅前利潤(EBIT)如何覆蓋其利息費用(利息覆蓋率)來衡量公司的債務負擔相對於其盈利能力。因此,我們同時考慮債務的絕對數量以及所支付的利率。
With debt at a measly 0.085 times EBITDA and EBIT covering interest a whopping 48.6 times, it's clear that Hangzhou Changchuan TechnologyLtd is not a desperate borrower. So relative to past earnings, the debt load seems trivial. Better yet, Hangzhou Changchuan TechnologyLtd grew its EBIT by 1,667% last year, which is an impressive improvement. If maintained that growth will make the debt even more manageable in the years ahead. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Hangzhou Changchuan TechnologyLtd can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
債務與EBITDA的比例僅爲0.085倍,而EBIT利息覆蓋率高達48.6倍,這表明杭州長川科技有限公司並非迫切需要借款。 因此,相對於以往的盈利,債務負擔似乎微不足道。 更好的是,杭州長川科技有限公司去年的EBIT增長了1667%,這是令人印象深刻的進步。 如果能保持這種增長,未來幾年債務將更易管理。 當你分析債務時,資產負債表顯然是需要關注的重點。 但最終業務未來的盈利能力將決定杭州長川科技有限公司是否能隨着時間加強其資產負債表。 因此,如果你想知道專業人士的看法,你可能會發現分析師盈利預測的這份免費報告很有趣。
Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. Over the last three years, Hangzhou Changchuan TechnologyLtd saw substantial negative free cash flow, in total. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.
最後,一家公司只能用冷硬現金償還債務,而不是會計利潤。因此,合理的做法是查看EBIt的比例是否與實際自由現金流匹配。在過去三年裏,長川科技有相當大的負自由現金流總額。雖然投資者無疑期待着這種局面的逆轉,但這明顯意味着其債務使用更加風險。
Our View
我們的觀點
The good news is that Hangzhou Changchuan TechnologyLtd's demonstrated ability to cover its interest expense with its EBIT delights us like a fluffy puppy does a toddler. But we must concede we find its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow has the opposite effect. When we consider the range of factors above, it looks like Hangzhou Changchuan TechnologyLtd is pretty sensible with its use of debt. That means they are taking on a bit more risk, in the hope of boosting shareholder returns. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. To that end, you should be aware of the 2 warning signs we've spotted with Hangzhou Changchuan TechnologyLtd .
好消息是,長川科技展示了用EBIt支付利息費用的能力,就像毛絨玩具狗讓幼兒開心一樣。但我們必須承認,它將EBIt轉化爲自由現金流的效果是相反的。當我們考慮以上因素的範圍時,長川科技在使用債務方面似乎相當明智。這意味着他們正在承擔更多風險,希望提高股東回報。在分析債務水平時,資產負債表是顯而易見的起點。然而,並非所有的投資風險都在資產負債表之內,遠非如此。爲此,您應該注意我們發現的長川科技的2個警示信號。
If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.
如果您有興趣投資能夠在不負債的情況下增長利潤的企業,請查看這份免費列表,其中列出了在資產負債表上擁有淨現金的成長型企業。
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