Zhejiang Hechuan Technology Co., Ltd. (SHSE:688320) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 28% gain in the last month alone. Unfortunately, the gains of the last month did little to right the losses of the last year with the stock still down 23% over that time.
After such a large jump in price, Zhejiang Hechuan Technology may be sending sell signals at present with a price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 6x, when you consider almost half of the companies in the Electronic industry in China have P/S ratios under 4.7x and even P/S lower than 2x aren't out of the ordinary. However, the P/S might be high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
How Zhejiang Hechuan Technology Has Been Performing
While the industry has experienced revenue growth lately, Zhejiang Hechuan Technology's revenue has gone into reverse gear, which is not great. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is high because investors think this poor revenue performance will turn the corner. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.
Keen to find out how analysts think Zhejiang Hechuan Technology's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.
How Is Zhejiang Hechuan Technology's Revenue Growth Trending?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as high as Zhejiang Hechuan Technology's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the industry.
Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 22%. This has soured the latest three-year period, which nevertheless managed to deliver a decent 16% overall rise in revenue. Although it's been a bumpy ride, it's still fair to say the revenue growth recently has been mostly respectable for the company.
Turning to the outlook, the next year should generate growth of 24% as estimated by the dual analysts watching the company. With the industry predicted to deliver 27% growth, the company is positioned for a weaker revenue result.
With this information, we find it concerning that Zhejiang Hechuan Technology is trading at a P/S higher than the industry. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than analysts indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as this level of revenue growth is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.
What Does Zhejiang Hechuan Technology's P/S Mean For Investors?
The large bounce in Zhejiang Hechuan Technology's shares has lifted the company's P/S handsomely. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
We've concluded that Zhejiang Hechuan Technology currently trades on a much higher than expected P/S since its forecast growth is lower than the wider industry. Right now we aren't comfortable with the high P/S as the predicted future revenues aren't likely to support such positive sentiment for long. Unless these conditions improve markedly, it's very challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.
It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 1 warning sign with Zhejiang Hechuan Technology, and understanding should be part of your investment process.
It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).
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