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Texas Pacific Land's (NYSE:TPL) Promising Earnings May Rest On Soft Foundations

Texas Pacific Land's (NYSE:TPL) Promising Earnings May Rest On Soft Foundations

texas pacific land(紐交所:TPL)的前景光明收益可能建立在脆弱的基礎之上
Simply Wall St ·  11/14 05:36

Unsurprisingly, Texas Pacific Land Corporation's (NYSE:TPL) stock price was strong on the back of its healthy earnings report. However, we think that shareholders may be missing some concerning details in the numbers.

毫不奇怪,得克薩斯太平洋土地公司(紐約證券交易所代碼:TPL)的股價因其健康的收益報告而表現強勁。但是,我們認爲股東們可能遺漏了一些與數字相關的細節。

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NYSE:TPL Earnings and Revenue History November 14th 2024
紐約證券交易所:TPL 收益和收入歷史記錄 2024 年 11 月 14 日

Zooming In On Texas Pacific Land's Earnings

放大德克薩斯太平洋置地的收益

One key financial ratio used to measure how well a company converts its profit to free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio. The accrual ratio subtracts the FCF from the profit for a given period, and divides the result by the average operating assets of the company over that time. You could think of the accrual ratio from cashflow as the 'non-FCF profit ratio'.

用於衡量公司將其利潤轉換爲自由現金流(FCF)的情況的一個關鍵財務比率是應計比率。應計比率從給定時期的利潤中減去FCF,然後將結果除以該時間內公司的平均運營資產。你可以將現金流的應計比率視爲 「非FCF利潤率」。

That means a negative accrual ratio is a good thing, because it shows that the company is bringing in more free cash flow than its profit would suggest. That is not intended to imply we should worry about a positive accrual ratio, but it's worth noting where the accrual ratio is rather high. To quote a 2014 paper by Lewellen and Resutek, "firms with higher accruals tend to be less profitable in the future".

這意味着負應計比率是一件好事,因爲它表明該公司帶來的自由現金流超出了其利潤所暗示的範圍。這並不意味着我們應該擔心應計比率爲正,但值得注意的是,應計比率相當高的地方。引用Lewellen和Resutek在2014年發表的一篇論文,「應計額較高的公司未來的利潤往往會降低」。

Over the twelve months to September 2024, Texas Pacific Land recorded an accrual ratio of 0.28. We can therefore deduce that its free cash flow fell well short of covering its statutory profit. To wit, it produced free cash flow of US$334m during the period, falling well short of its reported profit of US$448.7m. Texas Pacific Land shareholders will no doubt be hoping that its free cash flow bounces back next year, since it was down over the last twelve months. One positive for Texas Pacific Land shareholders is that it's accrual ratio was significantly better last year, providing reason to believe that it may return to stronger cash conversion in the future. Shareholders should look for improved cashflow relative to profit in the current year, if that is indeed the case.

在截至2024年9月的十二個月中,德州太平洋地產的應計比率爲0.28。因此,我們可以推斷出其自由現金流遠不足以支付其法定利潤。換句話說,它在此期間產生了3.34億美元的自由現金流,遠低於其報告的4.487億美元利潤。毫無疑問,得克薩斯太平洋地產的股東們將希望其自由現金流能夠在明年反彈,因爲在過去的十二個月中一直處於下降狀態。對於德州太平洋置地股東來說,一個積極因素是,去年的應計比率明顯改善,這使人們有理由相信它將來可能會恢復更強勁的現金轉換。如果確實如此,股東應尋求在本年度的現金流相對於利潤的改善。

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Texas Pacific Land.

注意:我們始終建議投資者檢查資產負債表的實力。點擊此處查看我們對德州太平洋置地的資產負債表分析。

Our Take On Texas Pacific Land's Profit Performance

我們對德州太平洋地產盈利表現的看法

Texas Pacific Land's accrual ratio for the last twelve months signifies cash conversion is less than ideal, which is a negative when it comes to our view of its earnings. Because of this, we think that it may be that Texas Pacific Land's statutory profits are better than its underlying earnings power. But the good news is that its EPS growth over the last three years has been very impressive. Of course, we've only just scratched the surface when it comes to analysing its earnings; one could also consider margins, forecast growth, and return on investment, among other factors. If you want to do dive deeper into Texas Pacific Land, you'd also look into what risks it is currently facing. Every company has risks, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for Texas Pacific Land you should know about.

德州太平洋置地過去十二個月的應計比率表明現金轉換率不理想,就我們對收益的看法而言,這是負數。因此,我們認爲德州太平洋地產的法定利潤可能好於其基礎盈利能力。但好消息是,其在過去三年中的每股收益增長非常令人印象深刻。當然,我們只是在分析其收益時才浮出水面;人們還可以考慮利潤率、預測增長和投資回報率等因素。如果你想更深入地了解德克薩斯太平洋陸地,你還需要研究它目前面臨的風險。每家公司都有風險,我們發現了一個你應該知道的德州太平洋置地的警告信號。

Today we've zoomed in on a single data point to better understand the nature of Texas Pacific Land's profit. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with significant insider holdings to be useful.

今天,我們放大了單個數據點,以更好地了解德州太平洋地產利潤的性質。但是,如果你能夠將注意力集中在細節上,總會有更多的事情需要發現。例如,許多人認爲高股本回報率是有利的商業經濟的標誌,而另一些人則喜歡 「關注資金」,尋找內部人士正在買入的股票。雖然可能需要你進行一些研究,但你可能會發現這份免費收集的擁有高股本回報率的公司,或者這份擁有大量內幕持股的股票清單很有用。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St 的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法提供基於歷史數據和分析師預測的評論,我們的文章並非旨在提供財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不會考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。華爾街只是沒有持有上述任何股票的頭寸。

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