We Think You Can Look Beyond Dynatrace's (NYSE:DT) Lackluster Earnings
We Think You Can Look Beyond Dynatrace's (NYSE:DT) Lackluster Earnings
The most recent earnings report from Dynatrace, Inc. (NYSE:DT) was disappointing for shareholders. While the headline numbers were soft, we believe that investors might be missing some encouraging factors.
Dynatrace, Inc.(紐交所:DT)最近的業績讓股東感到失望。雖然主要數字表現不佳,但我們認爲投資者可能忽視了一些積極因素。
A Closer Look At Dynatrace's Earnings
深入分析Dynatrace的收益
Many investors haven't heard of the accrual ratio from cashflow, but it is actually a useful measure of how well a company's profit is backed up by free cash flow (FCF) during a given period. To get the accrual ratio we first subtract FCF from profit for a period, and then divide that number by the average operating assets for the period. This ratio tells us how much of a company's profit is not backed by free cashflow.
許多投資者沒有聽說過現金流量淨額的應計比率,但它實際上是衡量公司利潤在一個給定期間內是否有自由現金流(FCF)支持的有用指標。我們首先將FCF從一個期間的利潤中減去,然後將該數字除以該期間的平均營運資產。這個比率告訴我們,公司利潤有多少不是由自由現金流支持的。
Therefore, it's actually considered a good thing when a company has a negative accrual ratio, but a bad thing if its accrual ratio is positive. While it's not a problem to have a positive accrual ratio, indicating a certain level of non-cash profits, a high accrual ratio is arguably a bad thing, because it indicates paper profits are not matched by cash flow. Notably, there is some academic evidence that suggests that a high accrual ratio is a bad sign for near-term profits, generally speaking.
因此,當一家公司的應計比率變爲負數時,這實際上是一件好事,但如果應計比率是正數,則是一件壞事。雖然應計比率爲正數並不是問題,這表明一定程度的非現金利潤,但高應計比率被認爲是一件壞事,因爲它表明紙面利潤無法與現金流相匹配。值得注意的是,一些學術證據表明,高應計比率通常是近期利潤的一個不好的跡象。
Over the twelve months to September 2024, Dynatrace recorded an accrual ratio of -0.24. That indicates that its free cash flow quite significantly exceeded its statutory profit. Indeed, in the last twelve months it reported free cash flow of US$436m, well over the US$163.3m it reported in profit. Dynatrace shareholders are no doubt pleased that free cash flow improved over the last twelve months.
在截至2024年9月的十二個月中,Dynatrace記錄了-0.24的應計比率。這表明其自由現金流顯著超過了法定利潤。確實,在過去的十二個月中,它報告的自由現金流爲43600萬美元,遠超其報告的16330萬美元利潤。Dynatrace的股東毫無疑問會對過去十二個月自由現金流的改善感到滿意。
That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.
這可能會讓您想知道分析師對未來盈利能力的預測。幸運的是,您可以單擊此處查看基於其估計的未來盈利能力的互動圖表。
Our Take On Dynatrace's Profit Performance
我們對dynatrace盈利表現的看法
Happily for shareholders, Dynatrace produced plenty of free cash flow to back up its statutory profit numbers. Based on this observation, we consider it possible that Dynatrace's statutory profit actually understates its earnings potential! And on top of that, its earnings per share have grown at an extremely impressive rate over the last three years. Of course, we've only just scratched the surface when it comes to analysing its earnings; one could also consider margins, forecast growth, and return on investment, among other factors. Ultimately, this article has formed an opinion based on historical data. However, it can also be great to think about what analysts are forecasting for the future. Luckily, you can check out what analysts are forecasting by clicking here.
幸運的是,對於股東來說,dynatrace產生了豐富的自由現金流來支持其法定利潤數字。基於這一觀察,我們認爲dynatrace的法定利潤實際上低估了其盈利潛力!此外,其每股收益在過去三年中以極爲令人印象深刻的速度增長。當然,在分析其盈利時,我們只觸及了表面;還可以考慮利潤率、預測增長和投資回報率等其他因素。最終,這篇文章基於歷史數據形成了一個觀點。然而,考慮分析師對未來的預測也是很好的。幸運的是,您可以點擊這裏查看分析師的預測。
This note has only looked at a single factor that sheds light on the nature of Dynatrace's profit. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with significant insider holdings to be useful.
這篇文章只關注了一個能夠說明dynatrace盈利性質的單一因素。但還有許多其他方法可以幫助您了解一家公司。有些人認爲高股本回報率是優質業務的良好標誌。雖然這可能需要您進行一些研究,但您可能會發現這一免費高股本回報率公司集合,或者這一內部持股顯著的股票列表對您有幫助。
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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Simply Wall St的這篇文章是一般性質的。我們僅基於歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,使用公正的方法,我們的文章並非意在提供財務建議。這並不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,並且不考慮您的目標或財務狀況。我們旨在爲您帶來基於基礎數據驅動的長期聚焦分析。請注意,我們的分析可能未考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St對提及的任何股票都沒有持倉。