Dingdong (Cayman) Limited (NYSE:DDL) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 30% gain in the last month alone. The last month tops off a massive increase of 107% in the last year.
Although its price has surged higher, you could still be forgiven for feeling indifferent about Dingdong (Cayman)'s P/S ratio of 0.3x, since the median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio for the Consumer Retailing industry in the United States is also close to 0.4x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/S.
How Has Dingdong (Cayman) Performed Recently?
Recent revenue growth for Dingdong (Cayman) has been in line with the industry. Perhaps the market is expecting future revenue performance to show no drastic signs of changing, justifying the P/S being at current levels. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this can at least be maintained so that you could pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Dingdong (Cayman) will help you uncover what's on the horizon.
Do Revenue Forecasts Match The P/S Ratio?
In order to justify its P/S ratio, Dingdong (Cayman) would need to produce growth that's similar to the industry.
If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a worthy increase of 4.6%. The latest three year period has also seen a 24% overall rise in revenue, aided somewhat by its short-term performance. So we can start by confirming that the company has actually done a good job of growing revenue over that time.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the six analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 9.2% over the next year. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to only expand by 4.9%, which is noticeably less attractive.
In light of this, it's curious that Dingdong (Cayman)'s P/S sits in line with the majority of other companies. Apparently some shareholders are skeptical of the forecasts and have been accepting lower selling prices.
What Does Dingdong (Cayman)'s P/S Mean For Investors?
Dingdong (Cayman)'s stock has a lot of momentum behind it lately, which has brought its P/S level with the rest of the industry. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
We've established that Dingdong (Cayman) currently trades on a lower than expected P/S since its forecasted revenue growth is higher than the wider industry. There could be some risks that the market is pricing in, which is preventing the P/S ratio from matching the positive outlook. It appears some are indeed anticipating revenue instability, because these conditions should normally provide a boost to the share price.
Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for Dingdong (Cayman) that you should be aware of.
If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.
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