Earnings Are Growing at Shanghai Haixin Group (SHSE:600851) but Shareholders Still Don't Like Its Prospects
Earnings Are Growing at Shanghai Haixin Group (SHSE:600851) but Shareholders Still Don't Like Its Prospects
Shanghai Haixin Group Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600851) shareholders should be happy to see the share price up 16% in the last quarter. But that doesn't help the fact that the three year return is less impressive. In fact, the share price is down 33% in the last three years, falling well short of the market return.
海欣b股(SHSE:600851)股東們應該很高興看到最後一個季度股價上漲了16%。 但這並不能改變一個事實:過去三年的回報率並不那麼令人印象深刻。 其實,過去三年股價下跌了33%,遠遠低於市場回報。
Since Shanghai Haixin Group has shed CN¥374m from its value in the past 7 days, let's see if the longer term decline has been driven by the business' economics.
由於過去7天海欣b股的價值已經下跌了37400萬元人民幣,讓我們看看長期下跌是否是由公司的經濟狀況所驅動。
In his essay The Superinvestors of Graham-and-Doddsville Warren Buffett described how share prices do not always rationally reflect the value of a business. By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.
禾倫·巴菲特在他的論文《格雷厄姆-道德斯維爾的超級投資者》中描述了股票價格並不總是合理地反映企業的價值。通過比較每股收益(EPS)和股價隨時間變化的變化,我們可以了解到投資者對某家公司的態度如何隨時間而變化。
During the unfortunate three years of share price decline, Shanghai Haixin Group actually saw its earnings per share (EPS) improve by 6.5% per year. Given the share price reaction, one might suspect that EPS is not a good guide to the business performance during the period (perhaps due to a one-off loss or gain). Or else the company was over-hyped in the past, and so its growth has disappointed.
在不幸的三年股價下跌期間,海欣b股實際上每年的每股收益(EPS)增長了6.5%。考慮到股價反應,人們可能會懷疑EPS在此期間並不是業績良好的良好指標(可能是由於一次性損益導致)。 或者公司在過去過度炒作,因此其增長令人失望。
It's worth taking a look at other metrics, because the EPS growth doesn't seem to match with the falling share price.
值得關注其他指標,因爲EPS增長似乎與股價下跌不符。
With a rather small yield of just 1.1% we doubt that the stock's share price is based on its dividend. Arguably the revenue decline of 14% per year has people thinking Shanghai Haixin Group is shrinking. After all, if revenue keeps shrinking, it may be difficult to find earnings growth in the future.
考慮到股息僅爲1.1%,我們懷疑該股股價並非基於其股息。可以說,每年14%的營業收入下降使人們認爲上海海欣b股正在萎縮。畢竟,如果營業收入不斷下降,未來要找到盈利增長可能會很困難。
The graphic below depicts how earnings and revenue have changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).
下面的圖表顯示了收益和營收隨時間的變化情況(通過單擊圖像揭示確切的值)。
Take a more thorough look at Shanghai Haixin Group's financial health with this free report on its balance sheet.
通過這份關於上海海欣b股資產負債表的免費報告,更深入地了解其財務狀況。
A Different Perspective
另一種看法
Shanghai Haixin Group shareholders are down 13% for the year (even including dividends), but the market itself is up 11%. Even the share prices of good stocks drop sometimes, but we want to see improvements in the fundamental metrics of a business, before getting too interested. Unfortunately, last year's performance may indicate unresolved challenges, given that it was worse than the annualised loss of 3% over the last half decade. We realise that Baron Rothschild has said investors should "buy when there is blood on the streets", but we caution that investors should first be sure they are buying a high quality business. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. Consider for instance, the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 1 warning sign with Shanghai Haixin Group , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
上海海欣b股的股東今年(包括分紅在內)損失了13%,但市場本身上漲了11%。即使是優質股票的股價有時也會下跌,但我們希望看到企業基本指標的改善才會產生濃厚興趣。不幸的是,去年的業績可能表明尚未解決的挑戰,因爲它比過去五年每年3%的年化損失還要糟糕。我們意識到Baron Rothschild曾說過投資者應該"在街上有血的時候買入",但我們警告投資者首先要確保他們正在購買的是一個高質量的企業。雖然考慮市場狀況可能對股價造成的不同影響是很值得的,但有些因素更加重要。例如,要考慮的就是投資風險始終存在的威脅。我們已確定上海海欣b股存在1個警告信號,了解這些信號應成爲您的投資流程的一部分。
Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking elsewhere. So take a peek at this free list of companies we expect will grow earnings.
當然,您可能通過在其他地方尋找會找到一筆極好的投資。因此,請查看我們預計會增長收入的公司免費名單。
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.
請注意,本文中引用的市場回報反映了目前在中國交易所上市的股票的市場加權平均回報。
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
對這篇文章有反饋嗎?對內容感到擔憂嗎?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至editorial-team @ simplywallst.com。
Simply Wall St的這篇文章是一般性質的。我們僅基於歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,使用公正的方法,我們的文章並非意在提供財務建議。這並不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,並且不考慮您的目標或財務狀況。我們旨在爲您帶來基於基礎數據驅動的長期聚焦分析。請注意,我們的分析可能未考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St對提及的任何股票都沒有持倉。