Does Xiamen King Long Motor Group (SHSE:600686) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?
Does Xiamen King Long Motor Group (SHSE:600686) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?
The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. As with many other companies Xiamen King Long Motor Group Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600686) makes use of debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.
巴菲特的伯克希爾哈撒韋基金經理柳魯對此毫不掩飾,他說「最大的投資風險不在於價格的波動,而在於你是否會遭受資本的永久損失。」 當我們考慮一家公司有多大的風險時,我們總是喜歡看它的債務使用情況,因爲債務過載會導致破產。 正如許多其他公司一樣,金龍汽車(600686.SH) 也在使用債務。 但真正的問題是,這些債務是否使公司變得更加危險。
When Is Debt A Problem?
什麼時候負債才是一個問題?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.
一般來說,債務只有在公司無法輕鬆償還,無論是通過籌集資本還是利用自身現金流,才會成爲真正的問題。如果情況真的很糟糕,債權人可以接管企業。雖然這種情況並不常見,但我們經常看到負債的公司因爲債權人強迫其以低價籌集資本而永久稀釋股東。當然,很多公司使用債務來實現增長,而沒有任何負面後果。在考慮公司債務水平時的第一步是考慮其現金和債務的綜合情況。
What Is Xiamen King Long Motor Group's Net Debt?
廈門金龍汽車股份有限公司的淨債務是多少?
As you can see below, Xiamen King Long Motor Group had CN¥5.69b of debt, at September 2024, which is about the same as the year before. You can click the chart for greater detail. However, it does have CN¥8.32b in cash offsetting this, leading to net cash of CN¥2.64b.
正如您下面所看到的,金龍汽車在2024年9月的債務爲56.9億元人民幣,與前一年差不多。 您可以點擊圖表查看更詳細的信息。 然而,它確實有83.2億元人民幣的現金來抵消這筆債務,因此淨現金爲26.4億元人民幣。
A Look At Xiamen King Long Motor Group's Liabilities
瀏覽金龍汽車的負債情況
According to the last reported balance sheet, Xiamen King Long Motor Group had liabilities of CN¥17.8b due within 12 months, and liabilities of CN¥5.88b due beyond 12 months. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥8.32b as well as receivables valued at CN¥5.65b due within 12 months. So its liabilities total CN¥9.66b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
根據最近公佈的資產負債表,金龍汽車應收的債務爲178億人民幣,需在12個月內支付,以及58.8億人民幣的超過12個月到期的債務。 抵消這些債務的是,它手頭有83.2億人民幣的現金以及56.5億人民幣的應收款,在12個月內到期。 因此,其負債總額比現金和短期應收賬款的總和多了96.6億人民幣。
When you consider that this deficiency exceeds the company's CN¥9.44b market capitalization, you might well be inclined to review the balance sheet intently. In the scenario where the company had to clean up its balance sheet quickly, it seems likely shareholders would suffer extensive dilution. Given that Xiamen King Long Motor Group has more cash than debt, we're pretty confident it can handle its debt, despite the fact that it has a lot of liabilities in total. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is Xiamen King Long Motor Group's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.
考慮到這個逆差超過公司94.4億人民幣的市值,您可能會傾向於仔細審查資產負債表。 在公司需要快速清理資產負債表的情況下,股東很可能會遭受嚴重稀釋。 考慮到金龍汽車的現金比債務多,我們相當有信心它能夠應對債務,儘管總負債很高。 毫無疑問,我們大部分關於債務的了解來自資產負債表。 但金龍汽車的盈利將影響資產負債表未來的表現。 因此,在考慮債務時,值得注意的是盈利趨勢。 點擊這裏查看互動快照。
Over 12 months, Xiamen King Long Motor Group made a loss at the EBIT level, and saw its revenue drop to CN¥20b, which is a fall of 9.5%. We would much prefer see growth.
在12個月內,金龍汽車在EBIt級別虧損,並且其營業收入降至200億人民幣,下降了9.5%。 我們更希望看到增長。
So How Risky Is Xiamen King Long Motor Group?
那麼金龍汽車有多大風險?
While Xiamen King Long Motor Group lost money on an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) level, it actually booked a paper profit of CN¥95m. So when you consider it has net cash, along with the statutory profit, the stock probably isn't as risky as it might seem, at least in the short term. Given the lack of transparency around future revenue (and cashflow), we're nervous about this one, until it makes its first big sales. To us, it is a high risk play. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example, we've discovered 3 warning signs for Xiamen King Long Motor Group (1 makes us a bit uncomfortable!) that you should be aware of before investing here.
雖然金龍汽車在利息和稅前利潤(EBIT)水平上虧損,但實際上記錄了9500萬人民幣的賬面利潤。 因此,考慮到它有淨現金以及法定利潤,該股票短期內可能並非像看起來那麼風險。 鑑於未來收入(和現金流)缺乏透明度,我們對這一點感到緊張,直到它完成第一筆大宗銷售。 對我們而言,這是一個高風險的投資。 在分析債務水平時,資產負債表是顯而易見的起點。 然而,並非所有的投資風險都存在於資產負債表中 - 遠非如此。 例如,我們發現了金龍汽車的3個警示信號(其中有一個讓我們有點不安!),您在投資這裏之前應該注意。
If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.
如果您有興趣投資能夠在不負債的情況下增長利潤的企業,請查看這份免費列表,其中列出了在資產負債表上擁有淨現金的成長型企業。
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