Despite Lower Earnings Than Five Years Ago, Shanghai Industrial Holdings (HKG:363) Investors Are up 21% Since Then
Despite Lower Earnings Than Five Years Ago, Shanghai Industrial Holdings (HKG:363) Investors Are up 21% Since Then
Ideally, your overall portfolio should beat the market average. But even the best stock picker will only win with some selections. So we wouldn't blame long term Shanghai Industrial Holdings Limited (HKG:363) shareholders for doubting their decision to hold, with the stock down 20% over a half decade. And the share price decline continued over the last week, dropping some 6.7%. However, this move may have been influenced by the broader market, which fell 3.0% in that time.
理想情況下,您的整體投資組合應該能夠超過市場平均水平。但即使是最優秀的股票選擇者,也只有在某些選擇上才能取得勝利。因此,我們不會責怪長揸上海實業控股有限公司(HKG:363)股票的股東對於他們持有的決定產生懷疑,因爲該股五年來下跌了20%。而股價的下跌在過去一週繼續,下跌了6.7%。然而,這一走勢可能受到更廣泛市場的影響,該市場在這段時間內下跌了3.0%。
After losing 6.7% this past week, it's worth investigating the company's fundamentals to see what we can infer from past performance.
在過去一週下跌了6.7%之後,值得調查該公司的基本面,以了解我們能從過去的表現中推斷出什麼。
To quote Buffett, 'Ships will sail around the world but the Flat Earth Society will flourish. There will continue to be wide discrepancies between price and value in the marketplace...' One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).
引用巴菲特的話,「船隻會在世界各地航行,但扁平地球協會將空前盛行。市場上的價格和價值將繼續存在巨大差異… 」檢查市場情緒如何隨時間變化的一種方法是查看公司的股價與每股收益(EPS)之間的互動。
Looking back five years, both Shanghai Industrial Holdings' share price and EPS declined; the latter at a rate of 0.7% per year. Readers should note that the share price has fallen faster than the EPS, at a rate of 4% per year, over the period. This implies that the market is more cautious about the business these days. The low P/E ratio of 3.79 further reflects this reticence.
回顧五年來,上海實業控股的股價和每股收益都有所下降;後者以每年0.7%的速度下降。讀者應該注意,股價下跌的速度比每股收益還要快,以4%的年度速度,這意味着市場在這些日子更謹慎對待這家公司的業務。3.79的低市盈率進一步反映了這種保守態度。
You can see how EPS has changed over time in the image below (click on the chart to see the exact values).
您可以在下面的圖片中查看每股收益如何隨時間變化(單擊圖表以查看確切的價值)。
It's probably worth noting that the CEO is paid less than the median at similar sized companies. But while CEO remuneration is always worth checking, the really important question is whether the company can grow earnings going forward. Before buying or selling a stock, we always recommend a close examination of historic growth trends, available here..
值得注意的是,該公司CEO薪酬低於同等規模公司的中位數。但是,雖然CEO薪酬值得檢查,但真正重要的問題是該公司未來能否增長收益。在購買或出售股票之前,我們始終建議對歷史增長趨勢進行仔細檢查。點擊此處可獲得有關歷史增長趨勢的信息。
What About Dividends?
關於分紅派息的問題
When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. As it happens, Shanghai Industrial Holdings' TSR for the last 5 years was 21%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. The dividends paid by the company have thusly boosted the total shareholder return.
在研究投資回報時,重要的是考慮總股東回報(TSR)和股價回報之間的差異。 TSR是一種回報計算,考慮了現金股利的價值(假設任何收到的股利都被再投資)、任何折讓資本募集和剝離的計算價值。因此,對於支付慷慨股息的公司,TSR往往比股價回報高得多。恰巧上海實業控股過去5年的TSR爲21%,超過了前面提到的股價回報。公司支付的股息因此提升了股東的總回報。
A Different Perspective
另一種看法
It's nice to see that Shanghai Industrial Holdings shareholders have received a total shareholder return of 27% over the last year. Of course, that includes the dividend. Since the one-year TSR is better than the five-year TSR (the latter coming in at 4% per year), it would seem that the stock's performance has improved in recent times. In the best case scenario, this may hint at some real business momentum, implying that now could be a great time to delve deeper. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. Even so, be aware that Shanghai Industrial Holdings is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis , and 1 of those is a bit unpleasant...
看到上海實業控股股東在過去一年內獲得了27%的總股東回報真是令人高興。當然,這包括了股息。由於一年的TSR優於五年的TSR(後者爲每年4%),似乎股票的表現近來有所改善。在最好的情況下,這可能暗示着一些真正的業務勢頭,暗示現在可能是深入了解的好時機。我發現長期來看股價作爲業務表現的替代指標非常有趣。但要真正獲得洞察,我們還需要考慮其他信息。儘管如此,請注意,根據我們的投資分析,上海實業控股顯示出2個警示信號,其中1個有點不愉快...
If you are like me, then you will not want to miss this free list of undervalued small caps that insiders are buying.
如果您和我一樣,那麼您一定不想錯過這份免費的被內部人員買入的低估小盤股清單。
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Hong Kong exchanges.
請注意,本文引述的市場回報率反映了目前在香港交易所上市的股票的市場加權平均回報率。
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
對這篇文章有反饋嗎?對內容感到擔憂嗎?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至editorial-team @ simplywallst.com。
Simply Wall St的這篇文章是一般性質的。我們僅基於歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,使用公正的方法,我們的文章並非意在提供財務建議。這並不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,並且不考慮您的目標或財務狀況。我們旨在爲您帶來基於基礎數據驅動的長期聚焦分析。請注意,我們的分析可能未考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St對提及的任何股票都沒有持倉。