Is AbbVie (NYSE:ABBV) Using Too Much Debt?
Is AbbVie (NYSE:ABBV) Using Too Much Debt?
Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. As with many other companies AbbVie Inc. (NYSE:ABBV) makes use of debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.
禾倫·巴菲特曾說過一句名言:「波動性遠非風險的代名詞。」當你檢查公司的資產負債表的風險時,考慮它的資產負債表是很自然的,因爲企業倒閉時通常會涉及債務。與許多其他公司一樣,艾伯維公司(紐約證券交易所代碼:ABBV)也使用債務。但真正的問題是這筆債務是否使公司面臨風險。
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
債務帶來什麼風險?
Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
債務可以幫助企業,直到企業難以償還債務,無論是新資本還是自由現金流。資本主義的組成部分是 「創造性破壞」 過程,在這種過程中,倒閉的企業被銀行家無情地清算。儘管這種情況並不常見,但我們經常會看到負債公司永久稀釋股東,因爲貸款人迫使他們以不良价格籌集資金。當然,債務的好處在於它通常代表廉價資本,尤其是當它以高回報率進行再投資的能力取代公司的稀釋時。當我們考慮公司使用債務時,我們首先將現金和債務放在一起考慮。
How Much Debt Does AbbVie Carry?
艾伯維揹負了多少債務?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of September 2024 AbbVie had US$71.3b of debt, an increase on US$61.2b, over one year. However, because it has a cash reserve of US$7.29b, its net debt is less, at about US$64.0b.
你可以點擊下圖查看歷史數字,但它顯示,截至2024年9月,艾伯維在一年內有713億美元的債務,比612億美元有所增加。但是,由於其現金儲備爲72.9億美元,其淨負債較少,約爲640億美元。
A Look At AbbVie's Liabilities
看看艾伯維的負債
Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that AbbVie had liabilities of US$43.1b due within 12 months and liabilities of US$94.3b due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had US$7.29b in cash and US$11.5b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling US$118.6b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
放大最新的資產負債表數據,我們可以看到,艾伯維在12個月內到期的負債爲431億美元,之後到期的負債爲943億美元。與此相抵消的是,它有72.9億美元的現金和115億美元的應收賬款將在12個月內到期。因此,它的負債總額比其現金和短期應收賬款的總和多出1186億美元。
AbbVie has a very large market capitalization of US$301.0b, so it could very likely raise cash to ameliorate its balance sheet, if the need arose. However, it is still worthwhile taking a close look at its ability to pay off debt.
艾伯維的市值非常大,爲3010億美元,因此,如果有需要,它很可能會籌集資金以改善其資產負債表。但是,仍然值得仔細研究其償還債務的能力。
In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.
爲了擴大公司相對於收益的負債規模,我們計算其淨負債除以利息、稅項、折舊和攤銷前的收益(EBITDA),將其利息和稅前收益(EBIT)除以利息支出(利息保障)。因此,我們將債務與收益的關係考慮在內,包括和不包括折舊和攤銷費用。
AbbVie's net debt of 2.5 times EBITDA suggests graceful use of debt. And the fact that its trailing twelve months of EBIT was 9.0 times its interest expenses harmonizes with that theme. The bad news is that AbbVie saw its EBIT decline by 10% over the last year. If earnings continue to decline at that rate then handling the debt will be more difficult than taking three children under 5 to a fancy pants restaurant. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine AbbVie's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
艾伯維的淨負債爲息稅折舊攤銷前利潤的2.5倍,這表明債務的合理使用。而且,其過去十二個月的息稅前利潤是其利息支出的9.0倍,這一事實與這一主題一致。壞消息是,艾伯維的息稅前利潤比去年下降了10%。如果收入繼續以這種速度下降,那麼處理債務將比帶三個5萬億以下的孩子更困難。一家高檔褲子餐廳。毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表中學到的關於債務的知識最多。但是,未來的收益比什麼都重要,將決定艾伯維未來維持健康資產負債表的能力。因此,如果您專注於未來,可以查看這份顯示分析師利潤預測的免費報告。
But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. Happily for any shareholders, AbbVie actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT over the last three years. That sort of strong cash conversion gets us as excited as the crowd when the beat drops at a Daft Punk concert.
但是我們最終的考慮因素也很重要,因爲公司無法用紙面利潤來償還債務;它需要冷硬現金。因此,我們總是檢查該息稅前利潤中有多少轉化爲自由現金流。令所有股東感到高興的是,在過去三年中,艾伯維產生的自由現金流實際上超過了息稅前利潤。當Daft Punk音樂會的節拍下降時,這種強勁的現金轉換讓我們和觀衆一樣興奮。
Our View
我們的觀點
On our analysis AbbVie's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow should signal that it won't have too much trouble with its debt. However, our other observations weren't so heartening. For instance it seems like it has to struggle a bit to grow its EBIT. When we consider all the elements mentioned above, it seems to us that AbbVie is managing its debt quite well. But a word of caution: we think debt levels are high enough to justify ongoing monitoring. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Case in point: We've spotted 3 warning signs for AbbVie you should be aware of.
根據我們的分析,艾伯維將息稅前利潤轉換爲自由現金流應該表明其債務不會遇到太多問題。但是,我們的其他觀察結果並不那麼令人鼓舞。例如,它似乎必須努力才能增加其息稅前利潤。當我們考慮上述所有因素時,在我們看來,AbbVie的債務管理得很好。但要謹慎一點:我們認爲債務水平足夠高,足以證明持續監測是合理的。毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表中學到的關於債務的知識最多。但歸根結底,每家公司都可以控制資產負債表之外存在的風險。一個很好的例子:我們已經發現了你應該注意的3種AbbVie警告信號。
If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.
如果你有興趣投資能夠在沒有債務負擔的情況下增加利潤的企業,請查看這份資產負債表上有淨現金的成長型企業的免費清單。
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
對這篇文章有反饋嗎?擔心內容嗎?直接聯繫我們。或者,發送電子郵件給編輯組(網址爲)simplywallst.com。
Simply Wall St 的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法提供基於歷史數據和分析師預測的評論,我們的文章並非旨在提供財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不會考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。華爾街只是沒有持有上述任何股票的頭寸。