Is Accelink Technologies CoLtd (SZSE:002281) A Risky Investment?
Is Accelink Technologies CoLtd (SZSE:002281) A Risky Investment?
Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We note that Accelink Technologies Co,Ltd. (SZSE:002281) does have debt on its balance sheet. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?
霍華德·馬克斯說得好,他說的不是擔心股價的波動,而是 「永久損失的可能性是我擔心的風險... 也是我認識的每位實際投資者所擔心的風險。」當我們思考一家公司的風險有多大時,我們總是喜歡考慮其債務的用途,因爲債務過載可能導致破產。我們注意到,光迅科技股份有限公司(深圳證券交易所:002281)的資產負債表上確實有債務。但是這筆債務是股東關心的問題嗎?
When Is Debt Dangerous?
債務何時危險?
Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
債務可以幫助企業,直到企業難以償還債務,無論是新資本還是自由現金流。如果情況變得非常糟糕,貸款人可以控制業務。但是,更常見(但仍然昂貴)的情況是,公司爲了控制債務,必須以低廉的股價稀釋股東。當然,債務的好處在於它通常代表廉價資本,尤其是當它以高回報率進行再投資的能力取代公司的稀釋時。當我們考慮公司使用債務時,我們首先將現金和債務放在一起考慮。
How Much Debt Does Accelink Technologies CoLtd Carry?
光迅科技有限公司揹負了多少債務?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Accelink Technologies CoLtd had debt of CN¥398.9m at the end of September 2024, a reduction from CN¥485.6m over a year. However, its balance sheet shows it holds CN¥2.86b in cash, so it actually has CN¥2.46b net cash.
您可以點擊下圖查看更多詳情,該圖片顯示,截至2024年9月底,光迅科技有限公司的債務爲39890萬元人民幣,較一年內的48560萬元人民幣有所減少。但是,其資產負債表顯示其持有28.6元人民幣的現金,因此實際淨現金爲24.6元人民幣。
How Healthy Is Accelink Technologies CoLtd's Balance Sheet?
光迅科技有限公司的資產負債表有多健康?
The latest balance sheet data shows that Accelink Technologies CoLtd had liabilities of CN¥4.25b due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥500.9m falling due after that. Offsetting this, it had CN¥2.86b in cash and CN¥3.23b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it actually has CN¥1.34b more liquid assets than total liabilities.
最新的資產負債表數據顯示,Accelink Technologies有限公司的負債爲42.5元人民幣,此後到期的負債爲50090萬元人民幣。與此相抵消的是,它有28.6元人民幣的現金和32.3元人民幣的應收賬款將在12個月內到期。因此,它的流動資產實際上比總負債多13.4元人民幣。
This surplus suggests that Accelink Technologies CoLtd has a conservative balance sheet, and could probably eliminate its debt without much difficulty. Succinctly put, Accelink Technologies CoLtd boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!
這種盈餘表明,Accelink Technologies Coltd的資產負債表比較保守,可以毫不費力地消除債務。簡而言之,Accelink Technologies Coltd擁有淨現金,因此可以公平地說,它沒有沉重的債務負擔!
In addition to that, we're happy to report that Accelink Technologies CoLtd has boosted its EBIT by 82%, thus reducing the spectre of future debt repayments. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Accelink Technologies CoLtd can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
除此之外,我們很高興地報告,光迅科技有限公司已將其息稅前利潤提高了82%,從而減少了對未來債務償還的擔憂。毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表中學到的關於債務的知識最多。但最終,該業務未來的盈利能力將決定Accelink Technologies有限公司能否隨着時間的推移加強其資產負債表。因此,如果你想看看專業人士的想法,你可能會發現這份關於分析師利潤預測的免費報告很有趣。
Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. Accelink Technologies CoLtd may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. During the last three years, Accelink Technologies CoLtd burned a lot of cash. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.
最後,公司只能用冷硬現金償還債務,不能用會計利潤償還債務。Accelink Technologies Coltd的資產負債表上可能有淨現金,但研究該企業將其利息和稅前收益(EBIT)轉換爲自由現金流的效果仍然很有趣,因爲這將影響其對債務的需求和管理能力。在過去的三年中,光迅科技有限公司消耗了大量現金。儘管投資者無疑預計這種情況將在適當的時候逆轉,但這顯然意味着其使用債務的風險更大。
Summing Up
總結
While it is always sensible to investigate a company's debt, in this case Accelink Technologies CoLtd has CN¥2.46b in net cash and a decent-looking balance sheet. And it impressed us with its EBIT growth of 82% over the last year. So we don't have any problem with Accelink Technologies CoLtd's use of debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example, we've discovered 1 warning sign for Accelink Technologies CoLtd that you should be aware of before investing here.
儘管調查公司的債務總是明智的,但在本案中,Accelink Technologies Coltd的淨現金爲24.6元人民幣,資產負債表看起來不錯。去年,它的息稅前利潤增長了82%,給我們留下了深刻的印象。因此,我們對光迅科技有限公司使用債務沒有任何問題。毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表中學到的關於債務的知識最多。但歸根結底,每家公司都可以控制資產負債表之外存在的風險。例如,我們發現了光迅科技有限公司的一個警告信號,在這裏投資之前,你應該注意這個信號。
At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.
歸根結底,通常最好專注於沒有淨負債的公司。您可以訪問我們的此類公司的特別名單(所有公司都有利潤增長的記錄)。它是免費的。
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