Goldwind Science&Technology Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002202) Stock Is Going Strong But Fundamentals Look Uncertain: What Lies Ahead ?
Goldwind Science&Technology Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002202) Stock Is Going Strong But Fundamentals Look Uncertain: What Lies Ahead ?
Most readers would already be aware that Goldwind Science&Technology's (SZSE:002202) stock increased significantly by 37% over the past three months. However, we wonder if the company's inconsistent financials would have any adverse impact on the current share price momentum. Particularly, we will be paying attention to Goldwind Science&Technology's ROE today.
大多數讀者已經意識到,金風科技(SZSE:002202)的股票在過去三個月中大幅上漲了37%。但是,我們想知道該公司財務狀況不穩定是否會對當前的股價勢頭產生任何不利影響。特別是,我們今天將關注金風科技的投資回報率。
ROE or return on equity is a useful tool to assess how effectively a company can generate returns on the investment it received from its shareholders. In simpler terms, it measures the profitability of a company in relation to shareholder's equity.
投資回報率或股本回報率是評估公司如何有效地從股東那裏獲得投資回報的有用工具。簡而言之,它衡量公司相對於股東權益的盈利能力。
How Is ROE Calculated?
ROE 是如何計算的?
The formula for return on equity is:
股本回報率的公式是:
Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity
股本回報率 = 淨利潤(來自持續經營)÷ 股東權益
So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Goldwind Science&Technology is:
因此,根據上述公式,金風科技的投資回報率爲:
4.9% = CN¥2.0b ÷ CN¥41b (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2024).
4.9% = 20元人民幣 ÷ 410元人民幣(基於截至2024年9月的過去十二個月)。
The 'return' is the yearly profit. So, this means that for every CN¥1 of its shareholder's investments, the company generates a profit of CN¥0.05.
「回報」 是每年的利潤。因此,這意味着其股東每投資1元人民幣,公司就會產生0.05元人民幣的利潤。
Why Is ROE Important For Earnings Growth?
爲什麼投資回報率對收益增長很重要?
So far, we've learned that ROE is a measure of a company's profitability. Depending on how much of these profits the company reinvests or "retains", and how effectively it does so, we are then able to assess a company's earnings growth potential. Generally speaking, other things being equal, firms with a high return on equity and profit retention, have a higher growth rate than firms that don't share these attributes.
到目前爲止,我們已經了解到,投資回報率是衡量公司盈利能力的指標。然後,根據公司對這些利潤進行再投資或 「保留」 的金額及其有效性,我們就能評估公司的盈利增長潛力。一般而言,在其他條件相同的情況下,股本回報率和利潤保留率高的公司比不具備這些屬性的公司的增長率更高。
Goldwind Science&Technology's Earnings Growth And 4.9% ROE
金風科技的收益增長和4.9%的投資回報率
On the face of it, Goldwind Science&Technology's ROE is not much to talk about. Next, when compared to the average industry ROE of 6.4%, the company's ROE leaves us feeling even less enthusiastic. Given the circumstances, the significant decline in net income by 14% seen by Goldwind Science&Technology over the last five years is not surprising. We reckon that there could also be other factors at play here. For instance, the company has a very high payout ratio, or is faced with competitive pressures.
從表面上看,金風科技的投資回報率沒什麼好談的。接下來,與6.4%的行業平均投資回報率相比,該公司的投資回報率使我們感到不那麼熱情。在這種情況下,金風科技在過去五年中淨收入大幅下降了14%,這並不奇怪。我們認爲,這裏可能還有其他因素在起作用。例如,該公司的派息率非常高,或者面臨競爭壓力。
However, when we compared Goldwind Science&Technology's growth with the industry we found that while the company's earnings have been shrinking, the industry has seen an earnings growth of 10% in the same period. This is quite worrisome.
但是,當我們將金風科技的增長與該行業的增長進行比較時,我們發現,儘管該公司的收益一直在萎縮,但該行業同期的收益增長了10%。這非常令人擔憂。
Earnings growth is a huge factor in stock valuation. What investors need to determine next is if the expected earnings growth, or the lack of it, is already built into the share price. This then helps them determine if the stock is placed for a bright or bleak future. If you're wondering about Goldwind Science&Technology's's valuation, check out this gauge of its price-to-earnings ratio, as compared to its industry.
收益增長是股票估值的重要因素。投資者接下來需要確定的是,預期的收益增長或缺乏收益是否已經包含在股價中。然後,這可以幫助他們確定股票是面向光明還是暗淡的未來。如果你想知道金風科技的估值,可以看看這個衡量其與行業相比的市盈率指標。
Is Goldwind Science&Technology Using Its Retained Earnings Effectively?
金風科技是否有效地使用了其留存收益?
In spite of a normal three-year median payout ratio of 30% (that is, a retention ratio of 70%), the fact that Goldwind Science&Technology's earnings have shrunk is quite puzzling. It looks like there might be some other reasons to explain the lack in that respect. For example, the business could be in decline.
儘管正常的三年派息率中位數爲30%(即留存率爲70%),但金風科技的收益萎縮這一事實還是相當令人費解的。看來可能還有其他一些原因可以解釋這方面的不足。例如,業務可能會下滑。
In addition, Goldwind Science&Technology has been paying dividends over a period of at least ten years suggesting that keeping up dividend payments is way more important to the management even if it comes at the cost of business growth. Based on the latest analysts' estimates, we found that the company's future payout ratio over the next three years is expected to hold steady at 29%. Regardless, the future ROE for Goldwind Science&Technology is predicted to rise to 7.8% despite there being not much change expected in its payout ratio.
此外,Goldwind Science&Technology已經派發了至少十年的股息,這表明即使以業務增長爲代價,維持股息支付對管理層來說也更爲重要。根據分析師的最新估計,我們發現該公司未來三年的派息率預計將穩定在29%。無論如何,儘管預計金風科技的派息率沒有太大變化,但其未來的投資回報率預計將升至7.8%。
Conclusion
結論
Overall, we have mixed feelings about Goldwind Science&Technology. While the company does have a high rate of reinvestment, the low ROE means that all that reinvestment is not reaping any benefit to its investors, and moreover, its having a negative impact on the earnings growth. Having said that, looking at current analyst estimates, we found that the company's earnings growth rate is expected to see a huge improvement. Are these analysts expectations based on the broad expectations for the industry, or on the company's fundamentals? Click here to be taken to our analyst's forecasts page for the company.
總的來說,我們對金風科技的看法喜憂參半。儘管該公司的再投資率確實很高,但低投資回報率意味着所有這些再投資都沒有給投資者帶來任何好處,而且還對收益增長產生了負面影響。話雖如此,從分析師目前的估計來看,我們發現該公司的收益增長率預計將出現巨大改善。這些分析師的預期是基於對該行業的廣泛預期,還是基於公司的基本面?點擊此處進入我們分析師對公司的預測頁面。
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Simply Wall St 的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法提供基於歷史數據和分析師預測的評論,我們的文章並非旨在提供財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不會考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。華爾街只是沒有持有上述任何股票的頭寸。