Unfortunately for some shareholders, the Acadia Healthcare Company, Inc. (NASDAQ:ACHC) share price has dived 27% in the last thirty days, prolonging recent pain. Instead of being rewarded, shareholders who have already held through the last twelve months are now sitting on a 48% share price drop.
In spite of the heavy fall in price, it's still not a stretch to say that Acadia Healthcare Company's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1.1x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" compared to the Healthcare industry in the United States, where the median P/S ratio is around 1x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/S.
How Acadia Healthcare Company Has Been Performing
There hasn't been much to differentiate Acadia Healthcare Company's and the industry's revenue growth lately. Perhaps the market is expecting future revenue performance to show no drastic signs of changing, justifying the P/S being at current levels. If this is the case, then at least existing shareholders won't be losing sleep over the current share price.
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Acadia Healthcare Company.
Is There Some Revenue Growth Forecasted For Acadia Healthcare Company?
The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/S like Acadia Healthcare Company's is when the company's growth is tracking the industry closely.
If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a worthy increase of 9.1%. This was backed up an excellent period prior to see revenue up by 38% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have definitely welcomed those medium-term rates of revenue growth.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the twelve analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 9.6% per year over the next three years. With the industry only predicted to deliver 7.2% each year, the company is positioned for a stronger revenue result.
In light of this, it's curious that Acadia Healthcare Company's P/S sits in line with the majority of other companies. It may be that most investors aren't convinced the company can achieve future growth expectations.
The Final Word
Following Acadia Healthcare Company's share price tumble, its P/S is just clinging on to the industry median P/S. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.
Looking at Acadia Healthcare Company's analyst forecasts revealed that its superior revenue outlook isn't giving the boost to its P/S that we would've expected. There could be some risks that the market is pricing in, which is preventing the P/S ratio from matching the positive outlook. It appears some are indeed anticipating revenue instability, because these conditions should normally provide a boost to the share price.
Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 1 warning sign for Acadia Healthcare Company that you should be aware of.
If you're unsure about the strength of Acadia Healthcare Company's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
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