Is EMCOR Group, Inc.'s (NYSE:EME) Recent Stock Performance Tethered To Its Strong Fundamentals?
Is EMCOR Group, Inc.'s (NYSE:EME) Recent Stock Performance Tethered To Its Strong Fundamentals?
EMCOR Group's (NYSE:EME) stock is up by a considerable 35% over the past three months. Given the company's impressive performance, we decided to study its financial indicators more closely as a company's financial health over the long-term usually dictates market outcomes. Particularly, we will be paying attention to EMCOR Group's ROE today.
Return on Equity or ROE is a test of how effectively a company is growing its value and managing investors' money. In simpler terms, it measures the profitability of a company in relation to shareholder's equity.
How To Calculate Return On Equity?
ROE can be calculated by using the formula:
Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity
So, based on the above formula, the ROE for EMCOR Group is:
34% = US$926m ÷ US$2.8b (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2024).
The 'return' is the income the business earned over the last year. That means that for every $1 worth of shareholders' equity, the company generated $0.34 in profit.
Why Is ROE Important For Earnings Growth?
Thus far, we have learned that ROE measures how efficiently a company is generating its profits. We now need to evaluate how much profit the company reinvests or "retains" for future growth which then gives us an idea about the growth potential of the company. Assuming everything else remains unchanged, the higher the ROE and profit retention, the higher the growth rate of a company compared to companies that don't necessarily bear these characteristics.
EMCOR Group's Earnings Growth And 34% ROE
First thing first, we like that EMCOR Group has an impressive ROE. Secondly, even when compared to the industry average of 14% the company's ROE is quite impressive. So, the substantial 28% net income growth seen by EMCOR Group over the past five years isn't overly surprising.
As a next step, we compared EMCOR Group's net income growth with the industry, and pleasingly, we found that the growth seen by the company is higher than the average industry growth of 16%.
The basis for attaching value to a company is, to a great extent, tied to its earnings growth. The investor should try to establish if the expected growth or decline in earnings, whichever the case may be, is priced in. Doing so will help them establish if the stock's future looks promising or ominous. What is EME worth today? The intrinsic value infographic in our free research report helps visualize whether EME is currently mispriced by the market.
Is EMCOR Group Efficiently Re-investing Its Profits?
EMCOR Group's ' three-year median payout ratio is on the lower side at 6.7% implying that it is retaining a higher percentage (93%) of its profits. So it looks like EMCOR Group is reinvesting profits heavily to grow its business, which shows in its earnings growth.
Moreover, EMCOR Group is determined to keep sharing its profits with shareholders which we infer from its long history of paying a dividend for at least ten years. Our latest analyst data shows that the future payout ratio of the company is expected to drop to 3.7% over the next three years. Regardless, the future ROE for EMCOR Group is predicted to decline to 26% despite the anticipated decrease in the payout ratio. We reckon that there could probably be other factors that could be driving the forseen decline in the company's ROE.
Conclusion
On the whole, we feel that EMCOR Group's performance has been quite good. Particularly, we like that the company is reinvesting heavily into its business, and at a high rate of return. Unsurprisingly, this has led to an impressive earnings growth. With that said, the latest industry analyst forecasts reveal that the company's earnings growth is expected to slow down. To know more about the company's future earnings growth forecasts take a look at this free report on analyst forecasts for the company to find out more.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.