Investors in Mastercard (NYSE:MA) Have Seen Favorable Returns of 90% Over the Past Five Years
Investors in Mastercard (NYSE:MA) Have Seen Favorable Returns of 90% Over the Past Five Years
These days it's easy to simply buy an index fund, and your returns should (roughly) match the market. But you can do a lot better than that by buying good quality businesses for attractive prices. For example, the Mastercard Incorporated (NYSE:MA) share price is up 85% in the last five years, slightly above the market return. We're also happy to report the stock is up a healthy 30% in the last year.
這些天簡單買入一個指數基金很容易,您的回報應該(大致)與市場相匹配。但是,如果您以有吸引力的價格買入優質企業,您可以做得比這好得多。例如,萬事達股份有限公司(NYSE: MA)的股價在過去五年中上漲了85%,略高於市場回報率。我們也很高興地報告,股票在過去一年中上漲了30%。
Let's take a look at the underlying fundamentals over the longer term, and see if they've been consistent with shareholders returns.
讓我們長期看一下潛在的基本面,看看它們是否與股東回報一致。
There is no denying that markets are sometimes efficient, but prices do not always reflect underlying business performance. By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.
市場有時候是有效的,但價格並不總是反映公司的基本業務表現。通過比較每股收益和股價變化,我們可以了解投資者對公司的看法如何隨着時間變化而變化。
During five years of share price growth, Mastercard achieved compound earnings per share (EPS) growth of 15% per year. So the EPS growth rate is rather close to the annualized share price gain of 13% per year. That suggests that the market sentiment around the company hasn't changed much over that time. In fact, the share price seems to largely reflect the EPS growth.
在五年的股價增長期間,萬事達實現了每股收益(EPS)年複合增長率達到了15%。因此,EPS增長率與每年13%的股價增長率相當接近。這表明, 市場情緒 在這段時間內,公司周圍的情況並沒有發生太大變化。實際上,股價似乎主要反映了EPS的增長。
The graphic below depicts how EPS has changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).
下圖顯示了EPS隨時間變化的情況(點擊圖像以顯示確切值)。
We know that Mastercard has improved its bottom line lately, but is it going to grow revenue? Check if analysts think Mastercard will grow revenue in the future.
我們知道萬事達最近改善了其底線,但它是否將增長營業收入?請查看分析師是否認爲萬事達將來會增長營業收入。
What About Dividends?
關於分紅派息的問題
As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. It's fair to say that the TSR gives a more complete picture for stocks that pay a dividend. We note that for Mastercard the TSR over the last 5 years was 90%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!
除了衡量股價回報外,投資者還應考慮股東總回報率(TSR)。TSR是一種回報計算,考慮了現金分紅的價值(假設已再投資任何分紅)以及任何折現的增資和剝離的計算價值。可以說TSR爲支付股息的股票提供了更全面的圖片。我們注意到,在過去5年中,萬事達的TSR爲90%,這比上面提到的股價回報更好。可以毫不誇張地說,股息支付在很大程度上解釋了這種分歧!
A Different Perspective
另一種看法
Mastercard provided a TSR of 31% over the year (including dividends). That's fairly close to the broader market return. That gain looks pretty satisfying, and it is even better than the five-year TSR of 14% per year. Even if the share price growth slows down from here, there's a good chance that this is business worth watching in the long term. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand Mastercard better, we need to consider many other factors. For example, we've discovered 1 warning sign for Mastercard that you should be aware of before investing here.
萬事達今年提供的TSR爲31%(包括股息)。這相當接近更廣泛的市場回報。這一增益看起來相當令人滿意,甚至比每年14%的五年TSR更好。即使股價增長從現在開始放緩,這也是一個長期值得關注的業務。長期來看,跟蹤股價表現總是很有趣。但要更好地了解萬事達,我們需要考慮許多其他因素。例如,我們發現了1個關於萬事達的警示標誌,您在此之前投資時應該注意。
We will like Mastercard better if we see some big insider buys. While we wait, check out this free list of undervalued stocks (mostly small caps) with considerable, recent, insider buying.
如果我們看到一些大額內部人員買入,我們會更喜歡萬事達。在等待的時候,請查看這份免費的低估股票列表(大部分是小市值股票),其中包括相當多的最近內部人員購買。
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on American exchanges.
請注意,本文所引述的市場回報反映了目前在美國交易所上市的股票的市場加權平均回報。
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
對這篇文章有反饋嗎?對內容感到擔憂嗎?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至editorial-team @ simplywallst.com。
Simply Wall St的這篇文章是一般性質的。我們僅基於歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,使用公正的方法,我們的文章並非意在提供財務建議。這並不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,並且不考慮您的目標或財務狀況。我們旨在爲您帶來基於基礎數據驅動的長期聚焦分析。請注意,我們的分析可能未考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St對提及的任何股票都沒有持倉。