Is Jiangxi Welgao Electronics (SZSE:301251) Using Too Much Debt?
Is Jiangxi Welgao Electronics (SZSE:301251) Using Too Much Debt?
Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We can see that Jiangxi Welgao Electronics Co., Ltd. (SZSE:301251) does use debt in its business. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
霍華德·馬克斯說得很好,他說與其擔心股價波動,'我擔心的是永久損失的可能性... 我認識的每位實際投資者都擔心這一點。' 當我們考慮一家公司有多大風險時,我們總是喜歡看看它的債務使用情況,因爲債務過重可能導致破產。我們可以看到江西微高電子股份有限公司(SZSE:301251)在業務中確實使用了債務。但更重要的問題是:這些債務帶來了多少風險?
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
債務是幫助企業成長的工具,但如果企業無力償還債務,則存在於債權人的掌控之下。在最壞的情況下,如果企業無法償還債務,則可能破產。雖然破產不太常見,但我們經常看到陷入債務困境的公司因爲債權人以折價的價格強迫它們籌集資本而永久性地稀釋股東的利益。當然,債務可以成爲企業的重要工具,特別是對於資本密集型企業而言。當我們考慮一家公司債務的使用時,首先要考慮現金和債務的總和。
What Is Jiangxi Welgao Electronics's Net Debt?
江西微高電子的淨債務是多少?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of September 2024 Jiangxi Welgao Electronics had CN¥301.9m of debt, an increase on CN¥160.8m, over one year. However, it does have CN¥959.1m in cash offsetting this, leading to net cash of CN¥657.2m.
您可以點擊下面的圖表查看歷史數據,但數據顯示,截至2024年9月,江西微高電子的債務爲30190萬人民幣,較一年前的16080萬人民幣增加。然而,它確實有95910萬人民幣的現金來抵消這一筆債務,導致淨現金爲65720萬人民幣。
How Strong Is Jiangxi Welgao Electronics' Balance Sheet?
江西維高電子的資產負債表有多強?
Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Jiangxi Welgao Electronics had liabilities of CN¥836.5m due within 12 months and liabilities of CN¥6.49m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥959.1m as well as receivables valued at CN¥300.5m due within 12 months. So it can boast CN¥416.5m more liquid assets than total liabilities.
深入研究最新的資產負債表數據,我們可以看到江西維高電子的負債中有因爲12個月到期的83650萬人民幣,超過12個月到期的649萬人民幣。 抵消這些義務,它有95910萬人民幣的現金以及12個月到期的30050萬人民幣應收款項。 因此,它擁有比總負債多41650萬人民幣的流動資產。
This short term liquidity is a sign that Jiangxi Welgao Electronics could probably pay off its debt with ease, as its balance sheet is far from stretched. Simply put, the fact that Jiangxi Welgao Electronics has more cash than debt is arguably a good indication that it can manage its debt safely.
這種短期流動性表明江西維高電子很可能能輕鬆償還債務,因爲其資產負債表遠未擴張。 簡而言之,江西維高電子擁有更多現金而不是債務,這可能是它可以安全管理債務的良好指標。
It is just as well that Jiangxi Welgao Electronics's load is not too heavy, because its EBIT was down 57% over the last year. When it comes to paying off debt, falling earnings are no more useful than sugary sodas are for your health. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is Jiangxi Welgao Electronics's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.
幸好江西維高電子的負擔並不太重,因爲其息稅前利潤在過去一年下降了57%。 當涉及償還債務時,下降的收入跟糖水對健康沒有任何幫助一樣。 毫無疑問,我們大多數關於債務的了解都來自資產負債表。 但正是江西維高電子的盈利將影響資產負債表未來的表現。 因此,如果您渴望更多了解其盈利情況,值得查看其長期盈利趨勢圖。
But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. While Jiangxi Welgao Electronics has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. Over the last three years, Jiangxi Welgao Electronics saw substantial negative free cash flow, in total. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.
但我們的最終考慮也同樣重要,因爲公司無法用紙面利潤償還債務;它需要真金白銀。 雖然江西維高電子在資產負債表上有淨現金,但值得一看的是其將息稅前利潤(EBIT)轉化爲自由現金流的能力,幫助我們了解其現金餘額是如何快速增加(或減少)的。 在過去三年中,江西維高電子的自由現金流總體上看到了大量負增長。 雖然投資者無疑期待這種情況會很快扭轉,但這明顯意味着其債務的使用更加風險。
Summing Up
總之
While it is always sensible to investigate a company's debt, in this case Jiangxi Welgao Electronics has CN¥657.2m in net cash and a decent-looking balance sheet. So although we see some areas for improvement, we're not too worried about Jiangxi Welgao Electronics's balance sheet. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. We've identified 3 warning signs with Jiangxi Welgao Electronics (at least 1 which can't be ignored) , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
儘管調查公司的債務是明智的,但在這種情況下,江西韋高電子公司具有65720萬人民幣的淨現金和一個看起來不錯的資產負債表。所以儘管我們看到一些需要改進的地方,但我們對江西韋高電子公司的資產負債表並不太擔心。在分析債務水平時,資產負債表是明顯的起點。然而,並非所有的投資風險都在資產負債表中,遠非如此。我們已經確定了江西韋高電子公司的3個警示信號(至少有1個不可忽視的),了解它們應該成爲您的投資過程的一部分。
When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.
當一切塵埃落定時,有時更容易專注於那些甚至不需要債務的公司。讀者可以立即免費查看零淨債務的成長股列表。
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