Investing in Gen Digital (NASDAQ:GEN) a Year Ago Would Have Delivered You a 45% Gain
Investing in Gen Digital (NASDAQ:GEN) a Year Ago Would Have Delivered You a 45% Gain
These days it's easy to simply buy an index fund, and your returns should (roughly) match the market. But if you pick the right individual stocks, you could make more than that. For example, the Gen Digital Inc. (NASDAQ:GEN) share price is up 42% in the last 1 year, clearly besting the market return of around 30% (not including dividends). If it can keep that out-performance up over the long term, investors will do very well! Having said that, the longer term returns aren't so impressive, with stock gaining just 20% in three years.
這些天僅僅購買一個指數基金非常容易,你的回報應該(大致)與市場匹配。但如果你選擇了正確的個別股票,你甚至可以賺取更多。例如,納斯達克上的Gen Digital Inc.(NASDAQ:GEN)股價在過去一年上漲了42%,明顯優於市場回報約30%(不包括分紅)。如果它能在長期內保持這種優異表現,投資者將表現得非常好!話雖如此,長期回報並不那麼令人印象深刻,股票在三年內僅上漲了20%。
So let's assess the underlying fundamentals over the last 1 year and see if they've moved in lock-step with shareholder returns.
那麼讓我們評估過去一年的基本面,並看看它們是否與股東回報同步變化。
While markets are a powerful pricing mechanism, share prices reflect investor sentiment, not just underlying business performance. One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.
雖然市場是一個強大的定價機制,但股價反映了投資者情緒,不僅僅是基本業績。一種有缺陷但合理的評估公司周圍情緒如何變化的方法是將每股收益(EPS)與股價進行比較。
Over the last twelve months, Gen Digital actually shrank its EPS by 55%.
在過去的十二個月中,Gen Digital 其實將其每股收益縮水了55%。
So we don't think that investors are paying too much attention to EPS. Indeed, when EPS is declining but the share price is up, it often means the market is considering other factors.
因此,我們認爲投資者並沒有過多關注每股收益。實際上,當每股收益下降但股價上漲時,這通常意味着市場正在考慮其他因素。
We doubt the modest 1.7% dividend yield is doing much to support the share price. Revenue was pretty stable on last year, so deeper research might be needed to explain the share price rise.
我們懷疑1.7%的較低分紅派息對支撐股價沒有太大幫助。去年的營業收入相當穩定,因此可能需要進行更深入的研究來解釋股價上漲。
The image below shows how earnings and revenue have tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).
以下圖片顯示了收益和營收隨時間的變化(如果你點擊圖片,可以看到更詳細的信息)。
Balance sheet strength is crucial. It might be well worthwhile taking a look at our free report on how its financial position has changed over time.
資產負債表實力非常重要。查看我們關於其財務狀況如何隨時間變化的免費報告可能非常值得。
What About Dividends?
關於分紅派息的問題
As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. It's fair to say that the TSR gives a more complete picture for stocks that pay a dividend. We note that for Gen Digital the TSR over the last 1 year was 45%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!
除了衡量股價回報外,投資者還應考慮總股東回報(TSR)。 TSR是一種回報計算,考慮了現金分紅的價值(假設任何收到的分紅都重新投資)以及任何折現的增資和分拆的計算價值。可以說TSR爲支付股息的股票提供了更完整的圖片。我們注意到,對於Gen Digital,過去1年的TSR爲45%,優於上述股價回報。這在很大程度上是其分紅派息的結果!
A Different Perspective
另一種看法
It's good to see that Gen Digital has rewarded shareholders with a total shareholder return of 45% in the last twelve months. Of course, that includes the dividend. Since the one-year TSR is better than the five-year TSR (the latter coming in at 18% per year), it would seem that the stock's performance has improved in recent times. In the best case scenario, this may hint at some real business momentum, implying that now could be a great time to delve deeper. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. For instance, we've identified 4 warning signs for Gen Digital (1 shouldn't be ignored) that you should be aware of.
很高興看到Gen Digital在過去十二個月內以45%的股東總回報獎勵股東。當然,這包括了分紅派息。由於一年的TSR優於五年的TSR(後者爲每年18%),似乎股票表現近期有所改善。在最好的情況下,這可能暗示着一些真實的業務勢頭,這意味着現在可能是深入了解的好時機。我發現長期股價作爲業績的代理非常有趣。但要真正獲得洞察力,我們也需要考慮其他信息。例如,我們已經確認了Gen Digital的4個警示信號(其中1個不應被忽視),你應該注意。
Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking elsewhere. So take a peek at this free list of companies we expect will grow earnings.
當然,您可能通過在其他地方尋找會找到一筆極好的投資。因此,請查看我們預計會增長收入的公司免費名單。
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on American exchanges.
請注意,本文所引述的市場回報反映了目前在美國交易所上市的股票的市場加權平均回報。
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
對這篇文章有反饋嗎?對內容感到擔憂嗎?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至editorial-team @ simplywallst.com。
Simply Wall St的這篇文章是一般性質的。我們僅基於歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,使用公正的方法,我們的文章並非意在提供財務建議。這並不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,並且不考慮您的目標或財務狀況。我們旨在爲您帶來基於基礎數據驅動的長期聚焦分析。請注意,我們的分析可能未考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St對提及的任何股票都沒有持倉。