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Hootech Inc.'s (SZSE:301026) Stock Is Rallying But Financials Look Ambiguous: Will The Momentum Continue?

Hootech Inc.'s (SZSE:301026) Stock Is Rallying But Financials Look Ambiguous: Will The Momentum Continue?

鴻特科技公司(SZSE:301026)的股票正在上漲,但財務狀況看似模糊:動能會繼續嗎?
Simply Wall St ·  11/18 17:11

Hootech (SZSE:301026) has had a great run on the share market with its stock up by a significant 31% over the last three months. However, we decided to pay attention to the company's fundamentals which don't appear to give a clear sign about the company's financial health. In this article, we decided to focus on Hootech's ROE.

Hootech(深圳證券交易所代碼:301026)在股票市場上表現良好,其股票在過去三個月中大幅上漲了31%。但是,我們決定關注公司的基本面,這些基本面似乎並未給公司的財務狀況提供明確的信號。在本文中,我們決定重點關注Hootech的投資回報率。

ROE or return on equity is a useful tool to assess how effectively a company can generate returns on the investment it received from its shareholders. Simply put, it is used to assess the profitability of a company in relation to its equity capital.

ROE或股本回報率是評估公司如何有效地從股東那裏獲得的投資中獲得回報的有用工具。簡而言之,它用於評估公司相對於其股權資本的盈利能力。

How Do You Calculate Return On Equity?

你如何計算股本回報率?

Return on equity can be calculated by using the formula:

股本回報率可以使用以下公式計算:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

股本回報率 = 淨利潤(來自持續經營)÷ 股東權益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Hootech is:

因此,根據上述公式,Hootech的投資回報率爲:

6.4% = CN¥100m ÷ CN¥1.6b (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2024).

6.4% = 10000萬元人民幣 ÷ 16元人民幣(基於截至2024年9月的過去十二個月)。

The 'return' is the yearly profit. So, this means that for every CN¥1 of its shareholder's investments, the company generates a profit of CN¥0.06.

「回報」 是每年的利潤。因此,這意味着公司每投資1元人民幣,公司就會產生0.06元人民幣的利潤。

Why Is ROE Important For Earnings Growth?

爲什麼投資回報率對收益增長很重要?

We have already established that ROE serves as an efficient profit-generating gauge for a company's future earnings. Based on how much of its profits the company chooses to reinvest or "retain", we are then able to evaluate a company's future ability to generate profits. Assuming everything else remains unchanged, the higher the ROE and profit retention, the higher the growth rate of a company compared to companies that don't necessarily bear these characteristics.

我們已經確定,投資回報率是衡量公司未來收益的有效盈利指標。根據公司選擇將多少利潤進行再投資或 「保留」,我們便能夠評估公司未來創造利潤的能力。假設其他一切保持不變,那麼與不一定具有這些特徵的公司相比,投資回報率和利潤保留率越高,公司的增長率就越高。

Hootech's Earnings Growth And 6.4% ROE

Hootech的收益增長和6.4%的投資回報率

On the face of it, Hootech's ROE is not much to talk about. Yet, a closer study shows that the company's ROE is similar to the industry average of 7.5%. But then again, Hootech's five year net income shrunk at a rate of 2.7%. Bear in mind, the company does have a slightly low ROE. Therefore, the decline in earnings could also be the result of this.

從表面上看,Hootech的投資回報率沒什麼好談的。然而,一項更仔細的研究表明,該公司的投資回報率與行業平均水平的7.5%相似。但話又說回來,Hootech的五年淨收入萎縮了2.7%。請記住,該公司的投資回報率確實略低。因此,收入的下降也可能是由此造成的。

However, when we compared Hootech's growth with the industry we found that while the company's earnings have been shrinking, the industry has seen an earnings growth of 9.8% in the same period. This is quite worrisome.

但是,當我們將Hootech的增長與該行業的增長進行比較時,我們發現,儘管該公司的收益一直在萎縮,但該行業同期的收益增長了9.8%。這非常令人擔憂。

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SZSE:301026 Past Earnings Growth November 18th 2024
SZSE: 301026 過去的收益增長 2024 年 11 月 18 日

Earnings growth is an important metric to consider when valuing a stock. What investors need to determine next is if the expected earnings growth, or the lack of it, is already built into the share price. By doing so, they will have an idea if the stock is headed into clear blue waters or if swampy waters await. One good indicator of expected earnings growth is the P/E ratio which determines the price the market is willing to pay for a stock based on its earnings prospects. So, you may want to check if Hootech is trading on a high P/E or a low P/E, relative to its industry.

收益增長是對股票進行估值時要考慮的重要指標。投資者接下來需要確定的是,預期的收益增長或缺乏收益是否已經包含在股價中。通過這樣做,他們將知道股票是走向清澈的藍色海水還是沼澤水域在等着呢。衡量預期收益增長的一個很好的指標是市盈率,它根據收益前景決定了市場願意爲股票支付的價格。因此,您可能需要檢查Hootech相對於其行業是高市盈率還是低市盈率。

Is Hootech Using Its Retained Earnings Effectively?

Hootech是否有效地使用了其留存收益?

Despite having a normal three-year median payout ratio of 31% (where it is retaining 69% of its profits), Hootech has seen a decline in earnings as we saw above. So there might be other factors at play here which could potentially be hampering growth. For example, the business has faced some headwinds.

儘管正常的三年派息率中位數爲31%(保留了69%的利潤),但如上所示,Hootech的收益卻有所下降。因此,這裏可能還有其他因素在起作用,這些因素可能會阻礙增長。例如,該業務面臨一些阻力。

Moreover, Hootech has been paying dividends for three years, which is a considerable amount of time, suggesting that management must have perceived that the shareholders prefer consistent dividends even though earnings have been shrinking.

此外,Hootech支付股息已有三年了,這是相當長的時間,這表明管理層一定已經意識到,儘管收益一直在萎縮,但股東更喜歡持續的分紅。

Summary

摘要

On the whole, we feel that the performance shown by Hootech can be open to many interpretations. While the company does have a high rate of reinvestment, the low ROE means that all that reinvestment is not reaping any benefit to its investors, and moreover, its having a negative impact on the earnings growth. Wrapping up, we would proceed with caution with this company and one way of doing that would be to look at the risk profile of the business. You can see the 4 risks we have identified for Hootech by visiting our risks dashboard for free on our platform here.

總的來說,我們認爲Hootech表現出的表現可以有多種解釋。儘管該公司的再投資率確實很高,但低投資回報率意味着所有這些再投資都沒有給投資者帶來任何好處,而且還對收益增長產生了負面影響。總而言之,我們將謹慎對待這家公司,其中一種方法是研究該業務的風險狀況。您可以在此處的平台上免費訪問我們的風險控制面板,查看我們爲Hootech確定的4種風險。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St 的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法提供基於歷史數據和分析師預測的評論,我們的文章並非旨在提供財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不會考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。華爾街只是沒有持有上述任何股票的頭寸。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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