Hangzhou Yitong New Material Co., LTD (SZSE:300930) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 30% gain in the last month alone. Taking a wider view, although not as strong as the last month, the full year gain of 20% is also fairly reasonable.
Since its price has surged higher, Hangzhou Yitong New Material's price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 65.8x might make it look like a strong sell right now compared to the market in China, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios below 35x and even P/E's below 20x are quite common. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.
For instance, Hangzhou Yitong New Material's receding earnings in recent times would have to be some food for thought. It might be that many expect the company to still outplay most other companies over the coming period, which has kept the P/E from collapsing. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
Although there are no analyst estimates available for Hangzhou Yitong New Material, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.
How Is Hangzhou Yitong New Material's Growth Trending?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as steep as Hangzhou Yitong New Material's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the market decidedly.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 27% decrease to the company's bottom line. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk EPS by 52% in aggregate. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been undesirable for the company.
Weighing that medium-term earnings trajectory against the broader market's one-year forecast for expansion of 40% shows it's an unpleasant look.
In light of this, it's alarming that Hangzhou Yitong New Material's P/E sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. There's a very good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/E falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.
What We Can Learn From Hangzhou Yitong New Material's P/E?
Shares in Hangzhou Yitong New Material have built up some good momentum lately, which has really inflated its P/E. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-earnings ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
We've established that Hangzhou Yitong New Material currently trades on a much higher than expected P/E since its recent earnings have been in decline over the medium-term. Right now we are increasingly uncomfortable with the high P/E as this earnings performance is highly unlikely to support such positive sentiment for long. If recent medium-term earnings trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.
Before you take the next step, you should know about the 4 warning signs for Hangzhou Yitong New Material (2 are concerning!) that we have uncovered.
It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).
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