Should You Think About Buying Swire Pacific Limited (HKG:19) Now?
Should You Think About Buying Swire Pacific Limited (HKG:19) Now?
Today we're going to take a look at the well-established Swire Pacific Limited (HKG:19). The company's stock saw significant share price movement during recent months on the SEHK, rising to highs of HK$70.25 and falling to the lows of HK$60.45. Some share price movements can give investors a better opportunity to enter into the stock, and potentially buy at a lower price. A question to answer is whether Swire Pacific's current trading price of HK$65.25 reflective of the actual value of the large-cap? Or is it currently undervalued, providing us with the opportunity to buy? Let's take a look at Swire Pacific's outlook and value based on the most recent financial data to see if there are any catalysts for a price change.
今天我們將來看看歷史悠久的太古有限公司(HKG: 19)。近幾個月來,該公司的股票在聯交所的股價出現了重大波動,升至70.25港元的高位,跌至60.45港元的低點。一些股價走勢可以爲投資者提供更好的入股機會,並有可能以較低的價格買入。需要回答的問題是,太古太平洋目前的65.25港元交易價格是否反映了大盤股的實際價值?還是它目前的估值被低估了,爲我們提供了買入的機會?讓我們根據最新的財務數據來看看太古太平洋的前景和價值,看看是否有任何價格變動的催化劑。
What's The Opportunity In Swire Pacific?
太古太平洋的機會是什麼?
Great news for investors – Swire Pacific is still trading at a fairly cheap price according to our price multiple model, where we compare the company's price-to-earnings ratio to the industry average. In this instance, we've used the price-to-earnings (PE) ratio given that there is not enough information to reliably forecast the stock's cash flows. we find that Swire Pacific's ratio of 3.16x is below its peer average of 5.86x, which indicates the stock is trading at a lower price compared to the Industrials industry. What's more interesting is that, Swire Pacific's share price is quite stable, which could mean two things: firstly, it may take the share price a while to move closer to its industry peers, and secondly, there may be less chances to buy low in the future once it reaches that value. This is because the stock is less volatile than the wider market given its low beta.
對投資者來說是個好消息——根據我們的多重價格模型,太古太平洋仍然以相當便宜的價格進行交易,我們將公司的市盈率與行業平均水平進行了比較。在這種情況下,鑑於沒有足夠的信息來可靠地預測股票的現金流,我們使用了市盈率(PE)。我們發現太古太平洋3.16倍的比率低於其同行平均水平的5.86倍,這表明該股的交易價格低於工業行業的交易價格。更有趣的是,太古太平洋的股價相當穩定,這可能意味着兩件事:首先,股價可能需要一段時間才能接近業內同行;其次,一旦股價達到該價值,未來低價買入的機會可能就會減少。這是因爲鑑於其低貝塔值,該股票的波動性小於整個市場。
What does the future of Swire Pacific look like?
太古太平洋的未來會是什麼樣子?
Future outlook is an important aspect when you're looking at buying a stock, especially if you are an investor looking for growth in your portfolio. Although value investors would argue that it's the intrinsic value relative to the price that matter the most, a more compelling investment thesis would be high growth potential at a cheap price. Though in the case of Swire Pacific, it is expected to deliver a highly negative earnings growth in the next few years, which doesn't help build up its investment thesis. It appears that risk of future uncertainty is high, at least in the near term.
當你考慮買入股票時,未來前景是一個重要的方面,特別是如果你是尋求投資組合增長的投資者。儘管價值投資者會爭辯說,最重要的是相對於價格的內在價值,但更有說服力的投資論點是以低廉的價格獲得高增長潛力。但是,就太古太平洋而言,預計其未來幾年將實現高度負的收益增長,這無助於其建立投資理念。看來未來不確定性的風險很高,至少在短期內是如此。
What This Means For You
這對你意味着什麼
Are you a shareholder? Although 19 is currently trading below the industry PE ratio, the adverse prospect of negative growth brings about some degree of risk. We recommend you think about whether you want to increase your portfolio exposure to 19, or whether diversifying into another stock may be a better move for your total risk and return.
你是股東嗎?儘管19目前的交易價格低於行業市盈率,但負增長的不利前景帶來了一定程度的風險。我們建議您考慮是否要將投資組合敞口增加到19%,或者分散投資其他股票是否是提高總體風險和回報的更好舉措。
Are you a potential investor? If you've been keeping tabs on 19 for some time, but hesitant on making the leap, we recommend you research further into the stock. Given its current price multiple, now is a great time to make a decision. But keep in mind the risks that come with negative growth prospects in the future.
你是潛在的投資者嗎?如果你對19號的關注已經有一段時間了,但對飛躍猶豫不決,我們建議你進一步研究該股。鑑於其當前的價格倍數,現在是做出決定的好時機。但請記住未來負增長前景帶來的風險。
So if you'd like to dive deeper into this stock, it's crucial to consider any risks it's facing. When we did our research, we found 3 warning signs for Swire Pacific (1 doesn't sit too well with us!) that we believe deserve your full attention.
因此,如果你想更深入地研究這隻股票,那麼考慮它面臨的任何風險至關重要。當我們進行研究時,我們發現了太古太平洋的三個警告信號(其中一個不太適合我們!)我們認爲值得你全神貫注。
If you are no longer interested in Swire Pacific, you can use our free platform to see our list of over 50 other stocks with a high growth potential.
如果您不再對太古太平洋感興趣,您可以使用我們的免費平台查看我們列出的其他50多隻具有高增長潛力的股票清單。
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
對這篇文章有反饋嗎?擔心內容嗎?直接聯繫我們。或者,發送電子郵件給編輯組(網址爲)simplywallst.com。
Simply Wall St 的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法提供基於歷史數據和分析師預測的評論,我們的文章並非旨在提供財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不會考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。華爾街只是沒有持有上述任何股票的頭寸。