Is Dongjiang Environmental (HKG:895) Using Debt In A Risky Way?
Is Dongjiang Environmental (HKG:895) Using Debt In A Risky Way?
The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. As with many other companies Dongjiang Environmental Company Limited (HKG:895) makes use of debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.
由伯克希爾·哈撒韋公司的查理·芒格支持的外部基金經理李露對此毫不掩飾,他說:「最大的投資風險不是價格的波動,而是你是否會遭受永久的資本損失。」因此,很明顯,當你考慮任何給定股票的風險時,你需要考慮債務,因爲過多的債務會使公司陷入困境。與許多其他公司一樣,東江環境有限公司(HKG: 895)也使用債務。但真正的問題是這筆債務是否使公司面臨風險。
When Is Debt A Problem?
債務何時會成爲問題?
Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.
債務可以幫助企業,直到企業難以償還債務,無論是新資本還是自由現金流。資本主義的組成部分是 「創造性破壞」 過程,在這種過程中,倒閉的企業被銀行家無情地清算。但是,更常見(但仍然令人痛苦)的情況是,它必須以低廉的價格籌集新的股本,從而永久稀釋股東。當然,債務的好處在於它通常代表廉價資本,尤其是當它以高回報率進行再投資的能力取代公司的稀釋時。考慮公司的債務水平的第一步是同時考慮其現金和債務。
What Is Dongjiang Environmental's Net Debt?
東江環境的淨負債是多少?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at September 2024 Dongjiang Environmental had debt of CN¥5.57b, up from CN¥5.35b in one year. However, it also had CN¥960.9m in cash, and so its net debt is CN¥4.60b.
您可以點擊下圖查看更多詳情,該圖片顯示,截至2024年9月,東江環境的債務爲55.7元人民幣,高於一年內的53.5元人民幣。但是,它也有96090萬元的現金,因此其淨負債爲46元人民幣。
How Strong Is Dongjiang Environmental's Balance Sheet?
東江環境的資產負債表有多強?
Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Dongjiang Environmental had liabilities of CN¥3.83b due within 12 months and liabilities of CN¥3.17b due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had CN¥960.9m in cash and CN¥1.40b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CN¥4.64b.
放大最新的資產負債表數據,我們可以看出,東江環境在12個月內到期的負債爲38.3元人民幣,在此之後到期的負債爲31.7元人民幣。與此相抵消的是,它有96090萬元的現金和14元人民幣的應收賬款將在12個月內到期。因此,其負債超過其現金和(短期)應收賬款總額46.4元人民幣。
This is a mountain of leverage relative to its market capitalization of CN¥4.70b. This suggests shareholders would be heavily diluted if the company needed to shore up its balance sheet in a hurry. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is Dongjiang Environmental's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.
相對於其47元人民幣的市值,這是一座巨大的槓桿率。這表明,如果公司需要迅速支撐資產負債表,股東將被嚴重稀釋。毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表中學到的關於債務的知識最多。但是,影響未來資產負債表狀況的是東江環境的收益。因此,如果你想進一步了解其收益,可能值得看看這張長期收益趨勢圖。
Over 12 months, Dongjiang Environmental made a loss at the EBIT level, and saw its revenue drop to CN¥3.5b, which is a fall of 13%. That's not what we would hope to see.
在過去的12個月中,東江環境在息稅前利潤水平上出現虧損,收入降至35元人民幣,下降了13%。這不是我們希望看到的。
Caveat Emptor
Caveat Emptor
While Dongjiang Environmental's falling revenue is about as heartwarming as a wet blanket, arguably its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss is even less appealing. Indeed, it lost a very considerable CN¥534m at the EBIT level. Considering that alongside the liabilities mentioned above does not give us much confidence that company should be using so much debt. So we think its balance sheet is a little strained, though not beyond repair. However, it doesn't help that it burned through CN¥210m of cash over the last year. So to be blunt we think it is risky. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example - Dongjiang Environmental has 2 warning signs we think you should be aware of.
儘管東江環境收入的下降就像開玩笑一樣令人心動,但可以說,其息稅前收益(EBIT)虧損的吸引力更小。事實上,它在息稅前利潤水平上損失了可觀的53400萬元人民幣。考慮到除了上述負債外,我們對公司應該使用如此多的債務沒有太大的信心。因此,我們認爲其資產負債表有些緊張,儘管並非無法修復。但是,去年它消耗了21000萬加元的現金,這無濟於事。因此,坦率地說,我們認爲這是有風險的。毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表中學到的關於債務的知識最多。但歸根結底,每家公司都可以控制資產負債表之外存在的風險。例如,東江環境有兩個警示標誌,我們認爲你應該注意。
If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.
畢竟,如果你對一家資產負債表堅如磐石的快速成長型公司更感興趣,那麼請立即查看我們的淨現金增長股票清單。
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
對這篇文章有反饋嗎?擔心內容嗎?直接聯繫我們。或者,發送電子郵件給編輯組(網址爲)simplywallst.com。
Simply Wall St 的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法提供基於歷史數據和分析師預測的評論,我們的文章並非旨在提供財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不會考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。華爾街只是沒有持有上述任何股票的頭寸。