AviChina Industry & Technology Company Limited (HKG:2357) Stock's Been Sliding But Fundamentals Look Decent: Will The Market Correct The Share Price In The Future?
AviChina Industry & Technology Company Limited (HKG:2357) Stock's Been Sliding But Fundamentals Look Decent: Will The Market Correct The Share Price In The Future?
AviChina Industry & Technology (HKG:2357) has had a rough week with its share price down 12%. However, stock prices are usually driven by a company's financials over the long term, which in this case look pretty respectable. In this article, we decided to focus on AviChina Industry & Technology's ROE.
中航科工(HKG:2357)本週表現不佳,股價下跌了12%。然而,股票價格通常是由公司的財務狀況在長期內推動的,而在這種情況下看起來相當不錯。在本文中,我們決定專注於中航科工的roe。
Return on Equity or ROE is a test of how effectively a company is growing its value and managing investors' money. In simpler terms, it measures the profitability of a company in relation to shareholder's equity.
股東權益回報率ROE是測試公司增值能力和管理股東投資的有效性的指標。更簡單地說,它衡量公司在股東權益中的盈利能力。
How To Calculate Return On Equity?
如何計算股東權益報酬率?
The formula for ROE is:
roe的公式是:
Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity
淨資產收益率 = 淨利潤(來自持續經營) ÷ 股東權益
So, based on the above formula, the ROE for AviChina Industry & Technology is:
所以,基於上述公式,中航科工的roe爲:
6.8% = CN¥6.1b ÷ CN¥90b (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2024).
6.8% = CN¥61億 ÷ CN¥900億(基於截至2024年6月的過去十二個月)。
The 'return' is the amount earned after tax over the last twelve months. Another way to think of that is that for every HK$1 worth of equity, the company was able to earn HK$0.07 in profit.
「回報」是過去十二個月稅後賺取的金額。另一種理解方式是,每港幣1元的淨資產,公司能賺取0.07港幣的利潤。
What Has ROE Got To Do With Earnings Growth?
roe與盈利增長有何關係?
So far, we've learned that ROE is a measure of a company's profitability. We now need to evaluate how much profit the company reinvests or "retains" for future growth which then gives us an idea about the growth potential of the company. Assuming all else is equal, companies that have both a higher return on equity and higher profit retention are usually the ones that have a higher growth rate when compared to companies that don't have the same features.
到目前爲止,我們已經了解到roe是衡量公司盈利能力的指標。我們現在需要評估公司重新投資或「保留」的利潤量,從而給我們提供有關公司增長潛力的想法。其他條件相同的情況下,roe和利潤保留率均較高的公司通常是增長率比沒有這些特徵的公司高的公司。
AviChina Industry & Technology's Earnings Growth And 6.8% ROE
中航科工行業板塊的收益增長和6.8% roe
On the face of it, AviChina Industry & Technology's ROE is not much to talk about. Next, when compared to the average industry ROE of 9.0%, the company's ROE leaves us feeling even less enthusiastic. AviChina Industry & Technology was still able to see a decent net income growth of 11% over the past five years. So, there might be other aspects that are positively influencing the company's earnings growth. For instance, the company has a low payout ratio or is being managed efficiently.
乍一看,中航科工行業板塊的roe並不算高。相比行業平均roe爲9.0%,公司的roe讓我們感到更加失望。不過,中航科工行業板塊在過去五年中仍然能夠實現11%的淨利潤增長。因此,可能還有其他方面在積極影響公司的收益增長。例如,該公司的派息比例較低,或者管理效率高。
We then compared AviChina Industry & Technology's net income growth with the industry and found that the company's growth figure is lower than the average industry growth rate of 16% in the same 5-year period, which is a bit concerning.
我們接着將中航科工行業板塊的淨利潤增長與行業進行了比較,發現公司的增長數字低於同一5年期內行業平均增長率16%,這讓人有些擔憂。
Earnings growth is an important metric to consider when valuing a stock. It's important for an investor to know whether the market has priced in the company's expected earnings growth (or decline). Doing so will help them establish if the stock's future looks promising or ominous. What is 2357 worth today? The intrinsic value infographic in our free research report helps visualize whether 2357 is currently mispriced by the market.
收益增長是評估股票時一個重要的指標。投資者需要知道市場是否已經考慮了公司的預期收益增長(或下降)。這樣做將幫助他們判斷股票的未來是光明還是黯淡。今天2357的價值是多少?我們免費研究報告中的內在價值信息圖幫助可視化2357是否被市場錯誤定價。
Is AviChina Industry & Technology Efficiently Re-investing Its Profits?
中航科工的行業與科技是否有效地再投資其利潤?
With a three-year median payout ratio of 26% (implying that the company retains 74% of its profits), it seems that AviChina Industry & Technology is reinvesting efficiently in a way that it sees respectable amount growth in its earnings and pays a dividend that's well covered.
根據過去三年的中位支付比例爲26%(這意味着公司保留了74%的利潤),中航科工的行業與科技似乎在再投資方面效率較高,既能實現可觀的收益增長,又能支付覆蓋良好的股息。
Moreover, AviChina Industry & Technology is determined to keep sharing its profits with shareholders which we infer from its long history of paying a dividend for at least ten years. Based on the latest analysts' estimates, we found that the company's future payout ratio over the next three years is expected to hold steady at 29%. Still, forecasts suggest that AviChina Industry & Technology's future ROE will rise to 9.4% even though the the company's payout ratio is not expected to change by much.
此外,中航科工的行業與科技決心繼續與股東分享利潤,這從其至少持續支付十年股息的長期歷史中得以推斷。根據最新的分析師預測,我們發現公司的未來支付比例在接下來的三年內預計保持在29%。儘管公司的支付比例不太可能有太大變化,但預測顯示中航科工的行業與科技未來的roe將上升至9.4%。
Conclusion
結論
In total, it does look like AviChina Industry & Technology has some positive aspects to its business. That is, a decent growth in earnings backed by a high rate of reinvestment. However, we do feel that that earnings growth could have been higher if the business were to improve on the low ROE rate. Especially given how the company is reinvesting a huge chunk of its profits. With that said, the latest industry analyst forecasts reveal that the company's earnings are expected to accelerate. Are these analysts expectations based on the broad expectations for the industry, or on the company's fundamentals? Click here to be taken to our analyst's forecasts page for the company.
總的來說,中航科工科技的業務似乎有一些積極的方面。即,盈利的穩定增長得益於高比例的再投資。然而,我們認爲,如果該業務能夠改善較低的roe水平,盈利增長可能會更高。尤其是考慮到公司正在將大量利潤再投資。 話雖如此,最新的行業分析師預測顯示,公司的盈利預計將加速增長。這些分析師的預期是基於行業的整體預期,還是基於公司的基本面?點擊這裏查看我們分析師對公司的預測頁面。
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