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Wuhu Token Sciences Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300088) Is Going Strong But Fundamentals Appear To Be Mixed : Is There A Clear Direction For The Stock?

Wuhu Token Sciences Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300088) Is Going Strong But Fundamentals Appear To Be Mixed : Is There A Clear Direction For The Stock?

長信科技股份有限公司(SZSE:300088)業績強勁但基本面似乎不太穩定:股票走向是否明朗?
Simply Wall St ·  2024/11/19 09:29

Wuhu Token Sciences' (SZSE:300088) stock is up by a considerable 55% over the past three months. However, we wonder if the company's inconsistent financials would have any adverse impact on the current share price momentum. Specifically, we decided to study Wuhu Token Sciences' ROE in this article.

長信科技(深交所代碼:300088)的股票在過去三個月上漲了55%。然而,我們想知道該公司不一致的財務數據是否會對當前的分享價格走勢產生不利影響。具體來說,我們決定在本文中研究長信科技的roe。

Return on Equity or ROE is a test of how effectively a company is growing its value and managing investors' money. In other words, it is a profitability ratio which measures the rate of return on the capital provided by the company's shareholders.

淨資產收益率(ROE)是衡量公司增值和管理投資者資金有效性的測試。換句話說,它是一種盈利能力比率,用於衡量公司股東提供的資金回報率。

How Is ROE Calculated?

淨資產收益率怎麼計算?

The formula for return on equity is:

權益回報率的計算公式是:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

淨資產收益率 = 淨利潤(來自持續經營) ÷ 股東權益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Wuhu Token Sciences is:

因此,根據上述公式,長信科技的roe爲:

3.0% = CN¥264m ÷ CN¥8.9b (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2024).

3.0% = CN¥26400萬 ÷ CN¥89億(基於截至2024年9月的過去十二個月的數據)。

The 'return' refers to a company's earnings over the last year. That means that for every CN¥1 worth of shareholders' equity, the company generated CN¥0.03 in profit.

『回報』指的是公司過去一年的盈利。這意味着,對於每1元股東權益,公司創造了0.03元的利潤。

Why Is ROE Important For Earnings Growth?

ROE爲什麼對淨利潤增長很重要?

So far, we've learned that ROE is a measure of a company's profitability. We now need to evaluate how much profit the company reinvests or "retains" for future growth which then gives us an idea about the growth potential of the company. Generally speaking, other things being equal, firms with a high return on equity and profit retention, have a higher growth rate than firms that don't share these attributes.

到目前爲止,我們已經知道roe是衡量公司盈利能力的一種方法。現在我們需要評估公司重新投資或「保留」的利潤有多少,以此來了解公司的增長潛力。一般來說,其他因素相同的情況下,roe和利潤保留都較高的公司比不具備這些屬性的公司具有更高的增長率。

A Side By Side comparison of Wuhu Token Sciences' Earnings Growth And 3.0% ROE

長信科技的盈利增長與3.0%的roe的並排比較

As you can see, Wuhu Token Sciences' ROE looks pretty weak. Not just that, even compared to the industry average of 6.3%, the company's ROE is entirely unremarkable. For this reason, Wuhu Token Sciences' five year net income decline of 22% is not surprising given its lower ROE. However, there could also be other factors causing the earnings to decline. For instance, the company has a very high payout ratio, or is faced with competitive pressures.

如你所見,長信科技的roe看起來非常弱。 不僅如此,即使與行業平均的6.3%相比,該公司的roe也顯得毫不起眼。 因此,考慮到其較低的roe,長信科技五年來淨利潤下降22%也就不令人意外。 然而,還有其他因素可能導致盈利下降。 例如,公司的分紅派息比率非常高,或者面臨競爭壓力。

However, when we compared Wuhu Token Sciences' growth with the industry we found that while the company's earnings have been shrinking, the industry has seen an earnings growth of 3.9% in the same period. This is quite worrisome.

然而,當我們將長信科技的增長與行業進行比較時,我們發現雖然公司的盈利在縮減,但行業在同一時期的盈利增長達到了3.9%。這令人相當擔憂。

big
SZSE:300088 Past Earnings Growth November 19th 2024
SZSE:300088過去的盈利增長 2024年11月19日

The basis for attaching value to a company is, to a great extent, tied to its earnings growth. What investors need to determine next is if the expected earnings growth, or the lack of it, is already built into the share price. By doing so, they will have an idea if the stock is headed into clear blue waters or if swampy waters await. One good indicator of expected earnings growth is the P/E ratio which determines the price the market is willing to pay for a stock based on its earnings prospects. So, you may want to check if Wuhu Token Sciences is trading on a high P/E or a low P/E, relative to its industry.

對公司的價值附加基礎在很大程度上與其盈利增長有關。投資者接下來需要判斷的是預期的盈利增長,或者其缺失,是否已經反映在股價中。通過這樣做,他們將了解到股票是朝着曠闊的沃特世前進,還是等待在泥濘的水域中。預期盈利增長的一個良好指標是市盈率,它判斷市場願意爲股票支付多少價格,基於其盈利前景。因此,你可能想要檢查長信科技相對於其行業是以高市盈率還是低市盈率在交易。

Is Wuhu Token Sciences Efficiently Re-investing Its Profits?

長信科技是否有效地再投資其利潤?

In spite of a normal three-year median payout ratio of 40% (that is, a retention ratio of 60%), the fact that Wuhu Token Sciences' earnings have shrunk is quite puzzling. So there could be some other explanations in that regard. For instance, the company's business may be deteriorating.

儘管正常情況下三年的中位支付比例爲40%(即保留比例爲60%),但長信科技的盈利萎縮是相當令人困惑的。因此,可能還有其他解釋。例如,該公司的業務可能正在惡化。

Moreover, Wuhu Token Sciences has been paying dividends for at least ten years or more suggesting that management must have perceived that the shareholders prefer dividends over earnings growth.

此外,長信科技至少已經支付了十年以上的分紅派息,這表明管理層可能意識到股東更喜歡分紅派息而非盈利增長。

Conclusion

結論

On the whole, we feel that the performance shown by Wuhu Token Sciences can be open to many interpretations. Even though it appears to be retaining most of its profits, given the low ROE, investors may not be benefitting from all that reinvestment after all. The low earnings growth suggests our theory correct. That being so, the latest industry analyst forecasts show that the analysts are expecting to see a huge improvement in the company's earnings growth rate. Are these analysts expectations based on the broad expectations for the industry, or on the company's fundamentals? Click here to be taken to our analyst's forecasts page for the company.

總體而言,我們認爲長信科技的表現可以有多種解讀。雖然看起來它保留了大部分利潤,但考慮到低roe,投資者可能並沒有真正從所有的再投資中受益。低盈利增長表明我們的理論是正確的。因此,最新的行業分析師預測顯示,分析師們預計公司盈利增長率將大幅改善。這些分析師的預期是基於行業的整體預期,還是公司的基本面?點擊此處查看我們分析師對公司的預測頁面。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的這篇文章是一般性質的。我們僅基於歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,使用公正的方法,我們的文章並非意在提供財務建議。這並不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,並且不考慮您的目標或財務狀況。我們旨在爲您帶來基於基礎數據驅動的長期聚焦分析。請注意,我們的分析可能未考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St對提及的任何股票都沒有持倉。

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