share_log

YUNDA Holding Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:002120) Financials Are Too Obscure To Link With Current Share Price Momentum: What's In Store For the Stock?

YUNDA Holding Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:002120) Financials Are Too Obscure To Link With Current Share Price Momentum: What's In Store For the Stock?

韻達股份有限公司(SZSE:002120)的財務數據過於模糊,難以與當前股價勢頭聯繫起來:股票的未來發展如何?
Simply Wall St ·  11/18 22:41

YUNDA Holding's (SZSE:002120) stock is up by a considerable 28% over the past three months. But the company's key financial indicators appear to be differing across the board and that makes us question whether or not the company's current share price momentum can be maintained. Specifically, we decided to study YUNDA Holding's ROE in this article.

運達控股(深圳證券交易所:002120)的股票在過去三個月中上漲了28%。但是該公司的關鍵財務指標似乎各不相同,這使我們質疑該公司目前的股價勢頭是否可以維持。具體而言,我們決定在本文中研究運達控股的投資回報率。

Return on Equity or ROE is a test of how effectively a company is growing its value and managing investors' money. Simply put, it is used to assess the profitability of a company in relation to its equity capital.

股本回報率或投資回報率是對公司增值和管理投資者資金的有效性的考驗。簡而言之,它用於評估公司相對於其股權資本的盈利能力。

How To Calculate Return On Equity?

如何計算股本回報率?

The formula for return on equity is:

股本回報率的公式是:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

股本回報率 = 淨利潤(來自持續經營)÷ 股東權益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for YUNDA Holding is:

因此,根據上述公式,運達控股的投資回報率爲:

9.4% = CN¥1.9b ÷ CN¥20b (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2024).

9.4% = 19元人民幣 ÷ 200元人民幣(基於截至2024年9月的過去十二個月)。

The 'return' refers to a company's earnings over the last year. That means that for every CN¥1 worth of shareholders' equity, the company generated CN¥0.09 in profit.

「回報」 是指公司去年的收益。這意味着,每持有價值1元人民幣的股權,公司就會產生0.09元人民幣的利潤。

Why Is ROE Important For Earnings Growth?

爲什麼投資回報率對收益增長很重要?

Thus far, we have learned that ROE measures how efficiently a company is generating its profits. Based on how much of its profits the company chooses to reinvest or "retain", we are then able to evaluate a company's future ability to generate profits. Assuming all else is equal, companies that have both a higher return on equity and higher profit retention are usually the ones that have a higher growth rate when compared to companies that don't have the same features.

到目前爲止,我們已經了解到,投資回報率衡量的是公司創造利潤的效率。根據公司選擇將多少利潤進行再投資或 「保留」,我們便能夠評估公司未來創造利潤的能力。假設其他條件都一樣,與功能不相同的公司相比,具有更高股本回報率和更高利潤保留率的公司通常具有更高的增長率。

YUNDA Holding's Earnings Growth And 9.4% ROE

運達控股的收益增長和9.4%的投資回報率

On the face of it, YUNDA Holding's ROE is not much to talk about. However, its ROE is similar to the industry average of 8.3%, so we won't completely dismiss the company. But then again, YUNDA Holding's five year net income shrunk at a rate of 5.7%. Bear in mind, the company does have a slightly low ROE. Therefore, the decline in earnings could also be the result of this.

從表面上看,運達控股的投資回報率沒什麼好談的。但是,其投資回報率與行業平均水平的8.3%相似,因此我們不會完全解散該公司。但話又說回來,運達控股的五年淨收入以5.7%的速度萎縮。請記住,該公司的投資回報率確實略低。因此,收入的下降也可能是由此造成的。

However, when we compared YUNDA Holding's growth with the industry we found that while the company's earnings have been shrinking, the industry has seen an earnings growth of 7.8% in the same period. This is quite worrisome.

但是,當我們將運達控股的增長與該行業的增長進行比較時,我們發現,儘管該公司的收益一直在萎縮,但該行業同期的收益增長了7.8%。這非常令人擔憂。

big
SZSE:002120 Past Earnings Growth November 19th 2024
SZSE: 002120 過去的收益增長 2024 年 11 月 19 日

Earnings growth is an important metric to consider when valuing a stock. The investor should try to establish if the expected growth or decline in earnings, whichever the case may be, is priced in. Doing so will help them establish if the stock's future looks promising or ominous. One good indicator of expected earnings growth is the P/E ratio which determines the price the market is willing to pay for a stock based on its earnings prospects. So, you may want to check if YUNDA Holding is trading on a high P/E or a low P/E, relative to its industry.

收益增長是對股票進行估值時要考慮的重要指標。無論情況如何,投資者都應設法確定預期的收益增長或下降是否已計入其中。這樣做將幫助他們確定股票的未來是樂觀還是不祥的。衡量預期收益增長的一個很好的指標是市盈率,它根據收益前景決定了市場願意爲股票支付的價格。因此,您可能需要檢查一下與其行業相比,雲達控股的市盈率是高還是低。

Is YUNDA Holding Efficiently Re-investing Its Profits?

運達控股是否有效地將其利潤再投資?

YUNDA Holding's low three-year median payout ratio of 10% (or a retention ratio of 90%) over the last three years should mean that the company is retaining most of its earnings to fuel its growth but the company's earnings have actually shrunk. The low payout should mean that the company is retaining most of its earnings and consequently, should see some growth. So there could be some other explanations in that regard. For example, the company's business may be deteriorating.

在過去三年中,運達控股的三年中位數派息率很低,爲10%(或90%的留存率),這應該意味着該公司保留了大部分收益來推動增長,但該公司的收益實際上已經萎縮。低支出應意味着該公司保留了大部分收益,因此應該會出現一些增長。因此,在這方面可能還有其他解釋。例如,該公司的業務可能正在惡化。

Additionally, YUNDA Holding has paid dividends over a period of eight years, which means that the company's management is rather focused on keeping up its dividend payments, regardless of the shrinking earnings. Our latest analyst data shows that the future payout ratio of the company is expected to rise to 16% over the next three years. Despite the higher expected payout ratio, the company's ROE is not expected to change by much.

此外,運達控股已在八年內派發了股息,這意味着無論收益如何萎縮,該公司的管理層都相當專注於維持股息支付。我們最新的分析師數據顯示,該公司的未來派息率預計將在未來三年內上升至16%。儘管預期派息率更高,但該公司的投資回報率預計不會有太大變化。

Summary

摘要

In total, we're a bit ambivalent about YUNDA Holding's performance. Even though it appears to be retaining most of its profits, given the low ROE, investors may not be benefitting from all that reinvestment after all. The low earnings growth suggests our theory correct. That being so, the latest industry analyst forecasts show that the analysts are expecting to see a huge improvement in the company's earnings growth rate. To know more about the company's future earnings growth forecasts take a look at this free report on analyst forecasts for the company to find out more.

總的來說,我們對運達控股的表現有點矛盾。儘管鑑於投資回報率低,它似乎保留了大部分利潤,但投資者畢竟可能無法從所有這些再投資中受益。低收入增長表明我們的理論是正確的。既然如此,最新的行業分析師預測顯示,分析師預計公司的收益增長率將得到巨大改善。要了解有關公司未來收益增長預測的更多信息,請查看這份關於分析師預測的免費報告,以了解更多信息。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對這篇文章有反饋嗎?擔心內容嗎?直接聯繫我們。或者,發送電子郵件給編輯組(網址爲)simplywallst.com。
Simply Wall St 的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法提供基於歷史數據和分析師預測的評論,我們的文章並非旨在提供財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不會考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。華爾街只是沒有持有上述任何股票的頭寸。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
    搶先評論