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The Past Three-year Earnings Decline for Longyan Zhuoyue New Energy (SHSE:688196) Likely Explains Shareholders Long-term Losses

The Past Three-year Earnings Decline for Longyan Zhuoyue New Energy (SHSE:688196) Likely Explains Shareholders Long-term Losses

開多卓越新能(上證:688196) 過去三年收益下降可能解釋股東的長期損失
Simply Wall St ·  2024/11/19 13:36

It is doubtless a positive to see that the Longyan Zhuoyue New Energy Co., Ltd. (SHSE:688196) share price has gained some 63% in the last three months. But that cannot eclipse the less-than-impressive returns over the last three years. In fact, the share price is down 47% in the last three years, falling well short of the market return.

毫無疑問,看到卓越新能源有限公司(SHSE:688196)的股價在過去三個月上漲了約63%是件好事。 但這不能掩蓋過去三年回報的不盡如人意。 實際上,股價在過去三年下跌了47%,遠低於市場回報。

The recent uptick of 15% could be a positive sign of things to come, so let's take a look at historical fundamentals.

最近的15%反彈可能是事情朝好的方向發展的積極跡象,所以讓我們看看歷史基本面。

While markets are a powerful pricing mechanism, share prices reflect investor sentiment, not just underlying business performance. One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.

雖然市場是一個強大的定價機制,但股價反映的不僅僅是企業的基本業績,還有投資者的情緒。一個不完美但簡單的方式來考慮公司市場意識的變化是比較每股收益(EPS)的變化和股價的變化。

Longyan Zhuoyue New Energy saw its EPS decline at a compound rate of 58% per year, over the last three years. This fall in the EPS is worse than the 19% compound annual share price fall. This suggests that the market retains some optimism around long term earnings stability, despite past EPS declines. With a P/E ratio of 210.13, it's fair to say the market sees a brighter future for the business.

在過去三年中,卓越新能源的每股收益以每年58%的複合速度下降。 每股收益的下跌比19%的年複合股價下跌更爲嚴重。 這表明儘管過去的每股收益下降,市場仍對長期盈利穩定性保留了一些樂觀態度。 以210.13的市盈率來看,市場對這項業務的未來持更爲樂觀的看法。

You can see how EPS has changed over time in the image below (click on the chart to see the exact values).

您可以在下面的圖片中查看每股收益如何隨時間變化(單擊圖表以查看確切的價值)。

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SHSE:688196 Earnings Per Share Growth November 19th 2024
SHSE:688196 每股收益增長 2024年11月19日

Before buying or selling a stock, we always recommend a close examination of historic growth trends, available here.

在購買或出售股票之前,我們始終建議對歷史增長趨勢進行仔細研究,可以在這裏找到相關信息。

What About Dividends?

關於分紅派息的問題

It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. It's fair to say that the TSR gives a more complete picture for stocks that pay a dividend. We note that for Longyan Zhuoyue New Energy the TSR over the last 3 years was -43%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!

考慮總股東回報以及股票價格回報對任何給定股票是很重要的。 股票價格回報僅反映股價變化,而總股東回報則包括股息的價值(假設它們被再投資)以及任何折扣融資或分拆的收益。 可以公平地說,整體股東回報爲支付股息的股票提供了更全面的視角。 我們注意到,卓越新能在過去三年內的整體股東回報爲-43%,這比上述股價回報要好。這主要是由於其分紅!

A Different Perspective

另一種看法

While the broader market gained around 4.1% in the last year, Longyan Zhuoyue New Energy shareholders lost 23% (even including dividends). However, keep in mind that even the best stocks will sometimes underperform the market over a twelve month period. Regrettably, last year's performance caps off a bad run, with the shareholders facing a total loss of 3% per year over five years. Generally speaking long term share price weakness can be a bad sign, though contrarian investors might want to research the stock in hope of a turnaround. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. Case in point: We've spotted 3 warning signs for Longyan Zhuoyue New Energy you should be aware of, and 2 of them are concerning.

儘管廣泛的市場在過去一年中增長了約4.1%,但卓越新能的股東卻損失了23%(即使包括分紅)。 但請記住,即便是最好的股票有時也會在十二個月內跑輸市場。 可惜的是,去年的表現結束了一段糟糕的時期,股東在五年內面臨每年3%的總損失。 一般來說,長期股價疲軟可能是一個不好的信號,儘管逆勢投資者可能希望研究這隻股票,希望能夠逆轉。 我發現長期股價作爲業務表現的代理人非常有趣。 但要真正獲得洞察力,我們還需要考慮其他信息。 舉個例子:我們發現卓越新能有3個警告信號需要引起注意,其中2個信號令人擔憂。

If you are like me, then you will not want to miss this free list of undervalued small caps that insiders are buying.

如果您和我一樣,那麼您一定不想錯過這份免費的被內部人員買入的低估小盤股清單。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.

請注意,本文中引用的市場回報反映了目前在中國交易所上市的股票的市場加權平均回報。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對這篇文章有反饋嗎?對內容感到擔憂嗎?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至editorial-team @ simplywallst.com。
Simply Wall St的這篇文章是一般性質的。我們僅基於歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,使用公正的方法,我們的文章並非意在提供財務建議。這並不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,並且不考慮您的目標或財務狀況。我們旨在爲您帶來基於基礎數據驅動的長期聚焦分析。請注意,我們的分析可能未考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St對提及的任何股票都沒有持倉。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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