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Is Shaanxi Huaqin Technology IndustryLtd (SHSE:688281) A Risky Investment?

Is Shaanxi Huaqin Technology IndustryLtd (SHSE:688281) A Risky Investment?

陝西華勤科技產業有限公司(SHSE:688281)是一個風險投資嗎?
Simply Wall St ·  2024/11/19 20:28

Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We can see that Shaanxi Huaqin Technology Industry Co.,Ltd. (SHSE:688281) does use debt in its business. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

有人認爲,作爲投資者,考慮風險的最佳方式是考慮波動性而不是債務,但禾倫·巴菲特曾經說過:'波動性與風險遠非同義詞。' 當你檢視一家公司有多大風險時,自然會考慮其資產負債表,因爲許多企業崩盤時債務常常涉及其中。我們可以看到陝西華勤科技產業有限公司(SHSE:688281)確實在業務中使用了債務。但更重要的問題是:這筆債務造成了多大風險?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

債務何時有危險?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

當企業無法用自由現金流或以有吸引力的價格籌措資本來輕鬆履行債務和其他負債時,債務和其他負債就成爲企業面臨的風險。資本主義的一部分是「創造性破壞」的過程,銀行家會毫不留情地清算破產企業。然而,更常見(但仍然代價高昂)的情況是公司必須以低至谷底價格發行股票,永久稀釋股東,以支撐它的資產負債表。話雖如此,最常見的情況是公司合理地管理債務 - 並以自己的優勢爲自己服務。當我們考慮一家公司的債務使用時,首先要看現金和債務。

What Is Shaanxi Huaqin Technology IndustryLtd's Debt?

陝西華勤科技產業有限公司的債務是什麼?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at September 2024 Shaanxi Huaqin Technology IndustryLtd had debt of CN¥555.0m, up from CN¥107.7m in one year. However, its balance sheet shows it holds CN¥2.93b in cash, so it actually has CN¥2.37b net cash.

下面的圖片(點擊可放大查看),顯示到2024年9月,陝西華勤科技產業有限公司的債務爲人民幣55500萬,比一年前的10770萬增加。然而,其資產負債表顯示它持有29.3億現金,因此實際上有23.7億淨現金。

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SHSE:688281 Debt to Equity History November 20th 2024
SHSE:688281債務與股本歷史數據,日期爲2024年11月20日

A Look At Shaanxi Huaqin Technology IndustryLtd's Liabilities

查看陝西華勤科技行業有限公司的負債情況

The latest balance sheet data shows that Shaanxi Huaqin Technology IndustryLtd had liabilities of CN¥416.4m due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥693.5m falling due after that. Offsetting this, it had CN¥2.93b in cash and CN¥723.4m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it actually has CN¥2.54b more liquid assets than total liabilities.

最新的資產負債表數據顯示,陝西華勤科技行業有限公司一年內到期的負債爲41640萬人民幣,之後到期的負債爲69350萬人民幣。抵消這些,公司擁有29.3億現金和12個月內到期的72340萬應收賬款。因此,其流動資產比總負債多25.4億人民幣。

This short term liquidity is a sign that Shaanxi Huaqin Technology IndustryLtd could probably pay off its debt with ease, as its balance sheet is far from stretched. Simply put, the fact that Shaanxi Huaqin Technology IndustryLtd has more cash than debt is arguably a good indication that it can manage its debt safely.

這種短期流動性表明陝西華勤科技行業有限公司可能輕鬆償還債務,因爲其資產負債表遠未過度緊張。簡而言之,陝西華勤科技行業有限公司現金多於債務的事實可能是其能夠安全管理債務的一個良好指示。

It is just as well that Shaanxi Huaqin Technology IndustryLtd's load is not too heavy, because its EBIT was down 34% over the last year. When it comes to paying off debt, falling earnings are no more useful than sugary sodas are for your health. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Shaanxi Huaqin Technology IndustryLtd can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

幸好陝西華勤科技行業有限公司的負擔並不太重,因爲其息稅前利潤在過去一年下降了34%。在償還債務方面,營收下降和飲料對健康無用一樣沒有幫助。毫無疑問,我們最多通過資產負債表了解債務。但最終業務的未來盈利能力將決定陝西華勤科技行業有限公司是否能隨着時間加強其資產負債表。因此,如果你想知道專業人士的看法,你可能會發現分析師盈利預測的這份免費報告很有趣。

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. While Shaanxi Huaqin Technology IndustryLtd has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. Over the last three years, Shaanxi Huaqin Technology IndustryLtd saw substantial negative free cash flow, in total. While that may be a result of expenditure for growth, it does make the debt far more risky.

但我們最後的考慮也很重要,因爲公司不能用虛擬利潤償還債務;而需要的是冰冷的現金。儘管陝西華勤科技行業有限公司的資產負債表上有淨現金,但我們仍需要關注其將息稅前利潤(EBIT)轉化爲自由現金流的能力,以幫助我們了解其構建(或侵蝕)現金餘額的速度。在過去三年,陝西華勤科技行業有限公司看到了大量負的自由現金流總額。雖然這可能是用於增長支出的結果,但這確實使得債務變得更加風險。

Summing Up

總之

While it is always sensible to investigate a company's debt, in this case Shaanxi Huaqin Technology IndustryLtd has CN¥2.37b in net cash and a decent-looking balance sheet. So while Shaanxi Huaqin Technology IndustryLtd does not have a great balance sheet, it's certainly not too bad. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Shaanxi Huaqin Technology IndustryLtd (of which 1 is a bit concerning!) you should know about.

儘管調查公司的債務始終是明智的做法,但在這種情況下,陝西華勤科技實業有限公司淨現金達到23.7億人民幣,並且資產負債表看起來還不錯。因此,儘管陝西華勤科技實業有限公司的資產負債表不算很好,但也絕對不算太糟糕。在分析債務水平時,資產負債表是顯而易見的起點。然而,並不是所有的投資風險都體現在資產負債表上 - 遠非如此。這些風險可能很難發現。每家公司都存在這些風險,我們已經發現了陝西華勤科技實業有限公司的2個警示信號(其中1個有點令人擔憂!)你應該了解。

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

如果在所有這些之後,您更感興趣的是具有堅實資產負債表的快速增長公司,那麼不要拖延,查看我們的淨現金增長股票列表。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的這篇文章是一般性質的。我們僅基於歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,使用公正的方法,我們的文章並非意在提供財務建議。這並不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,並且不考慮您的目標或財務狀況。我們旨在爲您帶來基於基礎數據驅動的長期聚焦分析。請注意,我們的分析可能未考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St對提及的任何股票都沒有持倉。

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