Investing in Bristol-Myers Squibb (NYSE:BMY) a Year Ago Would Have Delivered You a 24% Gain
Investing in Bristol-Myers Squibb (NYSE:BMY) a Year Ago Would Have Delivered You a 24% Gain
There's no doubt that investing in the stock market is a truly brilliant way to build wealth. But if when you choose to buy stocks, some of them will be below average performers. For example, the Bristol-Myers Squibb Company (NYSE:BMY), share price is up over the last year, but its gain of 18% trails the market return. However, the longer term returns haven't been so impressive, with the stock up just 2.5% in the last three years.
毫無疑問,投資股票市場是積累財富的絕佳方式。但是,如果你選擇買入股票,其中一些股票的表現將低於平均水平。例如,百時美施貴寶公司(紐約證券交易所代碼:BMY)的股價在去年上漲,但其18%的漲幅落後於市場回報率。但是,長期回報並不那麼令人印象深刻,該股在過去三年中僅上漲了2.5%。
Let's take a look at the underlying fundamentals over the longer term, and see if they've been consistent with shareholders returns.
讓我們來看看長期的基本面,看看它們是否與股東的回報一致。
While markets are a powerful pricing mechanism, share prices reflect investor sentiment, not just underlying business performance. By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.
雖然市場是一種強大的定價機制,但股價反映了投資者的情緒,而不僅僅是潛在的業務表現。通過比較每股收益(EPS)和一段時間內的股價變化,我們可以了解投資者對公司的態度是如何隨着時間的推移而變化的。
Over the last twelve months Bristol-Myers Squibb went from profitable to unprofitable. While some may see this as temporary, we're a skeptical bunch, and so we're a little surprised to see the share price go up. We might get a clue to explain the share price move by looking to other metrics.
在過去的十二個月中,百時美施貴寶從盈利變爲無利可圖。儘管有些人可能認爲這是暫時的,但我們持懷疑態度,因此看到股價上漲我們有點驚訝。我們可能會通過研究其他指標來獲得線索來解釋股價的走勢。
We note that the most recent dividend payment is higher than the payment a year ago, so that may have assisted the share price. Income-seeking investors probably helped bid up the stock price. Though we must add that the revenue growth of 5.6% year on year would have helped paint a pretty picture.
我們注意到,最近的股息支付高於一年前的股息,因此這可能對股價有所幫助。尋求收入的投資者可能幫助推高了股價。但我們必須補充一點,收入同比增長5.6%本來可以幫助描繪一幅漂亮的畫面。
The company's revenue and earnings (over time) are depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).
公司的收入和收益(隨着時間的推移)如下圖所示(點擊查看確切數字)。
It's good to see that there was some significant insider buying in the last three months. That's a positive. On the other hand, we think the revenue and earnings trends are much more meaningful measures of the business. So it makes a lot of sense to check out what analysts think Bristol-Myers Squibb will earn in the future (free profit forecasts).
很高興看到在過去三個月中出現了一些大規模的內幕買盤。這是積極的。另一方面,我們認爲收入和收益趨勢是衡量業務的更有意義的指標。因此,看看分析師認爲百時美施貴寶未來的收入(自由利潤預測)很有意義。
What About Dividends?
那股息呢?
It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. In the case of Bristol-Myers Squibb, it has a TSR of 24% for the last 1 year. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. The dividends paid by the company have thusly boosted the total shareholder return.
重要的是要考慮任何給定股票的股東總回報率和股價回報率。股東總回報率包含任何分拆或貼現資本籌集的價值,以及任何股息,前提是股息是再投資的。因此,對於支付豐厚股息的公司來說,股東總回報率通常遠高於股價回報率。就百時美施貴寶而言,在過去一年的股東回報率爲24%。這超過了我們之前提到的其股價回報率。因此,公司支付的股息提高了股東的總回報率。
A Different Perspective
不同的視角
Bristol-Myers Squibb shareholders are up 24% for the year (even including dividends). But that return falls short of the market. On the bright side, that's still a gain, and it's actually better than the average return of 4% over half a decade It is possible that returns will improve along with the business fundamentals. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. To that end, you should be aware of the 2 warning signs we've spotted with Bristol-Myers Squibb .
百時美施貴寶的股東今年上漲了24%(甚至包括股息)。但是這種回報不及市場。好的一面是,這仍然是一個收益,實際上比五年來4%的平均回報率要好。隨着業務基本面的改善,回報可能會有所改善。我發現將長期股價視爲業務績效的代表非常有趣。但是,要真正獲得見解,我們還需要考慮其他信息。爲此,你應該注意我們在百時美施貴寶身上發現的兩個警告信號。
There are plenty of other companies that have insiders buying up shares. You probably do not want to miss this free list of undervalued small cap companies that insiders are buying.
還有許多其他公司有內部人士購買股票。你可能不想錯過這份內部人士正在收購的被低估的小盤股公司的免費清單。
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on American exchanges.
請注意,本文引用的市場回報反映了目前在美國交易所交易的股票的市場加權平均回報率。
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
對這篇文章有反饋嗎?擔心內容嗎?直接聯繫我們。或者,發送電子郵件給編輯組(網址爲)simplywallst.com。
Simply Wall St 的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法提供基於歷史數據和分析師預測的評論,我們的文章並非旨在提供財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不會考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。華爾街只是沒有持有上述任何股票的頭寸。