Does Vipshop Holdings (NYSE:VIPS) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?
Does Vipshop Holdings (NYSE:VIPS) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?
Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We can see that Vipshop Holdings Limited (NYSE:VIPS) does use debt in its business. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?
傳奇基金經理李錄(查理·芒格支持的)曾說過:「最大的投資風險不是價格的波動,而是你是否會遭受永久性資本損失。」當我們考慮一家公司的風險時,我們總是喜歡查看它的債務使用情況,因爲債務過重可能導致破產。我們可以看到,唯品會(紐交所:VIPS)確實在其業務中使用債務。但這對股東來說是否是一個問題呢?
When Is Debt A Problem?
何時債務成爲問題?
Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
債務可以支持企業,直到企業難以償還債務,無論是通過新的資本還是通過自由現金流。如果公司無法履行償還債務的法律義務,股東可能會什麼都得不到。然而,更常見的(但仍然代價高昂)的情況是,公司必須以低價發行股票,永久性稀釋股東,只是爲了鞏固其資產負債表。當然,債務的好處在於,它通常代表便宜的資本,特別是在它替代了稀釋的情況下,企業能夠高回報率進行再投資。當我們考慮一家公司的債務使用時,我們首先查看現金和債務的組合。
What Is Vipshop Holdings's Debt?
唯品會控股的債務是多少?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of September 2024 Vipshop Holdings had CN¥5.40b of debt, an increase on CN¥791.2m, over one year. But it also has CN¥23.4b in cash to offset that, meaning it has CN¥18.0b net cash.
您可以點擊下面的圖形查看歷史數據,但它顯示截至2024年9月,唯品會的債務爲54億人民幣,相比於79120萬人民幣增加了一年。但它同時擁有234億人民幣的現金來抵消這些債務,這意味着它擁有180億人民幣的淨現金。

How Healthy Is Vipshop Holdings' Balance Sheet?
唯品會控制表現如何?
Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Vipshop Holdings had liabilities of CN¥27.2b due within 12 months and liabilities of CN¥3.20b due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥23.4b as well as receivables valued at CN¥4.09b due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling CN¥2.84b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
仔細查看最新的資產負債表數據,我們可以看到唯品會的負債爲272億人民幣,12個月內到期,超過12個月到期的負債爲32億人民幣。爲了抵消這些義務,它有234億人民幣的現金以及價值40.9億人民幣的應收款項,12個月內到期。因此,它的負債總計比現金和短期應收款項高出28.4億人民幣。
Of course, Vipshop Holdings has a market capitalization of CN¥49.3b, so these liabilities are probably manageable. But there are sufficient liabilities that we would certainly recommend shareholders continue to monitor the balance sheet, going forward. Despite its noteworthy liabilities, Vipshop Holdings boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!
當然,唯品會的市值爲493億人民幣,所以這些負債可能是可管理的。 但有足夠的負債,我們肯定會建議股東繼續監視資產負債表的發展。 儘管負債值得注意,但唯品會擁有淨現金,所以可以說它並沒有沉重的債務負擔!
Also positive, Vipshop Holdings grew its EBIT by 21% in the last year, and that should make it easier to pay down debt, going forward. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Vipshop Holdings can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
同樣積極的是,唯品會在過去一年中其EBIT增長了21%,這應該使其更容易償還債務。分析債務水平時,資產負債表顯然是一個重要的起點。但最終,業務的未來盈利能力將決定唯品會是否能夠隨時間推移增強其資產負債表。因此,如果你關注未來,可以查看這份免費的報告,顯示分析師的盈利預測。
But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. Vipshop Holdings may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. During the last three years, Vipshop Holdings produced sturdy free cash flow equating to 64% of its EBIT, about what we'd expect. This free cash flow puts the company in a good position to pay down debt, when appropriate.
但我們最後的考慮也很重要,因爲公司無法用紙面利潤償還債務;它需要真實的現金。唯品會可能在資產負債表上有淨現金,但查看該公司如何將息稅前利潤(EBIT)轉化爲自由現金流仍然很有趣,因爲這將影響其對債務的需求及管理債務的能力。在過去三年中,唯品會產生了強勁的自由現金流,相當於其EBIT的64%,這大約是我們所期望的。這一自由現金流使公司在合適的時候較好地償還債務。
Summing Up
總結
We could understand if investors are concerned about Vipshop Holdings's liabilities, but we can be reassured by the fact it has has net cash of CN¥18.0b. And we liked the look of last year's 21% year-on-year EBIT growth. So we don't think Vipshop Holdings's use of debt is risky. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Be aware that Vipshop Holdings is showing 1 warning sign in our investment analysis , you should know about...
我們可以理解投資者對唯品會的負債感到擔憂,但我們可以通過它擁有180億人民幣的淨現金這一事實來讓自己安心。而且我們喜歡去年的21%年增長的EBIT表現。因此,我們認爲唯品會的債務使用並不風險。資產負債表顯然是分析債務時需要關注的重點。但最終,每家公司都可能存在資產負債表外的風險。請注意,唯品會在我們的投資分析中顯示出一個警告信號,您應該了解...
If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.
如果您有興趣投資那些能夠在沒有債務負擔的情況下增長利潤的業務,請查看這個自由名單,其中列出了在資產負債表上有淨現金的成長型企業。
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這篇來自Simply Wall ST的文章是一般性的。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,採用無偏見的方法,我們的文章並不旨在提供財務建議。它不構成對任何股票的買入或賣出建議,也未考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們旨在爲您提供以基本數據驅動的長期分析。請注意,我們的分析可能未考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall ST在提到的任何股票中均沒有持倉。