share_log

We Think Shandong Xinjufeng Technology Packaging (SZSE:301296) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt

We Think Shandong Xinjufeng Technology Packaging (SZSE:301296) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt

我們認爲山東新居豐科技包裝(深交所代碼:301296)能夠保持在債務之上
Simply Wall St ·  2024/11/21 06:07

Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We note that Shandong Xinjufeng Technology Packaging Co., Ltd. (SZSE:301296) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

禾倫·巴菲特 famously 說過:『波動性與風險並不完全等同。』 當我們考慮一家公司的風險時,我們總是喜歡觀察其債務的使用,因爲債務過多可能會導致毀滅。 我們注意到山東新聚豐科技包裝有限公司(SZSE:301296)的資產負債表上確實有債務。 但真正的問題是,這些債務是否讓公司變得風險更高。

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

一般來說,只有在公司無法輕鬆償還債務時,債務才會成爲真正的問題,或者通過籌集資本或自有現金流支付。在最壞的情況下,如果不能向債權人支付欠款,公司就可能破產。然而,更常見(但仍然代價高昂)的情況是,公司必須以低於成本的價格發行股票,從而永久稀釋股東,以扶持其資產負債表。當然,負債的好處是,它通常代表了廉價資本,尤其是當它代替具有以高回報率進行再投資能力的公司的稀釋時。在考慮企業使用多少債務時,要做的第一件事是查看其現金和債務的總體情況。

How Much Debt Does Shandong Xinjufeng Technology Packaging Carry?

山東新聚豐科技包裝公司揹負了多少債務?

As you can see below, Shandong Xinjufeng Technology Packaging had CN¥231.4m of debt at September 2024, down from CN¥270.9m a year prior. However, it does have CN¥453.4m in cash offsetting this, leading to net cash of CN¥222.1m.

正如下方所示,截止2024年9月,山東新聚豐科技包裝公司的債務爲23140萬人民幣,較前一年下降了27090萬人民幣。 然而,它擁有45340萬人民幣的現金來抵消這部分債務,導致淨現金爲22210萬人民幣。

big
SZSE:301296 Debt to Equity History November 20th 2024
SZSE:301296 債務與股本歷史 2024年11月20日

A Look At Shandong Xinjufeng Technology Packaging's Liabilities

山東新聚豐科技包裝的負債情況

The latest balance sheet data shows that Shandong Xinjufeng Technology Packaging had liabilities of CN¥796.0m due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥94.4m falling due after that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥453.4m as well as receivables valued at CN¥625.7m due within 12 months. So it can boast CN¥188.7m more liquid assets than total liabilities.

最新的資產負債表數據顯示,山東新聚豐科技包裝的負債爲79600萬元,需在一年內到期,9440萬元的負債在此之後到期。抵消這些義務的,還有45340萬元的現金和價值62570萬元的應收賬款將在12個月內到期。因此,它的流動資產比總負債多出18870萬元。

This short term liquidity is a sign that Shandong Xinjufeng Technology Packaging could probably pay off its debt with ease, as its balance sheet is far from stretched. Simply put, the fact that Shandong Xinjufeng Technology Packaging has more cash than debt is arguably a good indication that it can manage its debt safely.

這種短期流動性表明,山東新聚豐科技包裝可能能夠輕鬆償還其債務,因爲其資產負債表狀況相當健康。簡單來說,山東新聚豐科技包裝現金超過債務,這無疑是一個良好的跡象,表明它能夠安全地管理債務。

But the other side of the story is that Shandong Xinjufeng Technology Packaging saw its EBIT decline by 3.3% over the last year. That sort of decline, if sustained, will obviously make debt harder to handle. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Shandong Xinjufeng Technology Packaging can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

但故事的另一方面是,山東新聚豐科技包裝的EBIT在過去一年中下降了3.3%。如果這種下降持續下去,毫無疑問,會使債務管理變得更加困難。我們毫無疑問地從資產負債表中了解到大多數債務情況。但最終,業務的未來盈利能力將決定山東新聚豐科技包裝能否隨着時間的推移增強其資產負債表。因此,如果你關注未來,可以查看這份顯示分析師利潤預測的免費報告。

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. Shandong Xinjufeng Technology Packaging may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. Looking at the most recent three years, Shandong Xinjufeng Technology Packaging recorded free cash flow of 41% of its EBIT, which is weaker than we'd expect. That's not great, when it comes to paying down debt.

最後,雖然稅務官可能喜歡會計利潤,貸款人只接受現金。山東新聚豐科技包裝在資產負債表上可能有淨現金,但觀察企業將息稅前利潤(EBIT)轉化爲自由現金流的能力仍然很有趣,因爲這將影響它對債務的需求和管理能力。觀察最近三年的情況,山東新聚豐科技包裝記錄的自由現金流佔EBIT的41%,低於我們的預期。在償還債務方面,這並不理想。

Summing Up

總之

While it is always sensible to investigate a company's debt, in this case Shandong Xinjufeng Technology Packaging has CN¥222.1m in net cash and a decent-looking balance sheet. So we are not troubled with Shandong Xinjufeng Technology Packaging's debt use. Over time, share prices tend to follow earnings per share, so if you're interested in Shandong Xinjufeng Technology Packaging, you may well want to click here to check an interactive graph of its earnings per share history.

雖然調查一家公司的債務總是明智的,但在這種情況下,山東新聚豐科技包裝公司擁有萬元22210萬的淨現金以及看起來合理的資產負債表。 因此,我們對山東新聚豐科技包裝公司的債務使用並不感到困擾。 隨着時間的推移,股價往往會跟隨每股收益,因此如果您對山東新聚豐科技包裝公司感興趣,您可能希望點擊這裏查看其每股收益歷史的互動圖表。

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

每天結束時,通常更好地關注那些沒有淨債務的公司。您可以查看我們特別名單上的這些公司(所有這些公司都有盈利增長記錄)。這是免費的。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對這篇文章有反饋嗎?對內容感到擔憂嗎?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至editorial-team @ simplywallst.com。
Simply Wall St的這篇文章是一般性質的。我們僅基於歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,使用公正的方法,我們的文章並非意在提供財務建議。這並不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,並且不考慮您的目標或財務狀況。我們旨在爲您帶來基於基礎數據驅動的長期聚焦分析。請注意,我們的分析可能未考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St對提及的任何股票都沒有持倉。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
    搶先評論