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Would Bohai Automotive Systems (SHSE:600960) Be Better Off With Less Debt?

Would Bohai Automotive Systems (SHSE:600960) Be Better Off With Less Debt?

渤海汽車(SHSE:600960)是否應該減少負債以更好發展?
Simply Wall St ·  11/21 06:19

Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. As with many other companies Bohai Automotive Systems CO., LTD. (SHSE:600960) makes use of debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

有人說,波動性,而不是債務,是投資者思考風險的最佳方式,但禾倫·巴菲特曾說過一句名言:「波動性遠非風險的代名詞。」因此,當你評估公司的風險時,看來聰明的貨幣知道債務(通常涉及破產)是一個非常重要的因素。與許多其他公司一樣,渤海汽車系統有限公司(SHSE: 600960) 使用債務。但是這筆債務是股東關心的問題嗎?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

債務何時危險?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

債務是幫助企業增長的工具,但是如果企業無法還清貸款人的債務,那麼債務就任其擺佈。如果情況變得非常糟糕,貸款人可以控制業務。但是,更常見(但仍然昂貴)的情況是,公司爲了控制債務,必須以低廉的股價稀釋股東。當然,許多公司使用債務爲增長提供資金,而不會產生任何負面影響。在考慮企業使用多少債務時,要做的第一件事是同時考慮其現金和債務。

What Is Bohai Automotive Systems's Debt?

渤海汽車系統的債務是多少?

As you can see below, at the end of September 2024, Bohai Automotive Systems had CN¥1.85b of debt, up from CN¥1.67b a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, because it has a cash reserve of CN¥923.5m, its net debt is less, at about CN¥928.5m.

如下所示,截至2024年9月底,渤海汽車系統的債務爲18.5元人民幣,高於去年同期的16.7元人民幣。點擊圖片查看更多細節。但是,由於其現金儲備爲92350萬元人民幣,其淨負債較少,約爲92850萬加元。

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SHSE:600960 Debt to Equity History November 20th 2024
SHSE: 600960 2024 年 11 月 20 日債務與股權比率的歷史記錄

How Strong Is Bohai Automotive Systems' Balance Sheet?

渤海汽車系統的資產負債表有多強?

According to the last reported balance sheet, Bohai Automotive Systems had liabilities of CN¥2.88b due within 12 months, and liabilities of CN¥533.5m due beyond 12 months. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥923.5m and CN¥1.36b worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities total CN¥1.12b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

根據上次報告的資產負債表,渤海汽車系統的負債爲28.8元人民幣,12個月後到期的負債爲53350萬元人民幣。另一方面,它有一年內到期的92350萬元現金和價值13.6元人民幣的應收賬款。因此,其負債總額比其現金和短期應收賬款的總和高出11.2元人民幣。

This deficit isn't so bad because Bohai Automotive Systems is worth CN¥3.89b, and thus could probably raise enough capital to shore up its balance sheet, if the need arose. But it's clear that we should definitely closely examine whether it can manage its debt without dilution. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is Bohai Automotive Systems's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

這種赤字還不錯,因爲渤海汽車系統的市值爲38.9元人民幣,因此,如果需要,可能會籌集足夠的資金來支撐其資產負債表。但很明顯,我們一定要仔細研究它能否在不稀釋的情況下管理債務。毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表中學到的關於債務的知識最多。但是,影響未來資產負債表狀況的是渤海汽車系統的收益。因此,如果你想進一步了解其收益,可能值得看看這張長期收益趨勢圖。

Over 12 months, Bohai Automotive Systems made a loss at the EBIT level, and saw its revenue drop to CN¥4.5b, which is a fall of 2.9%. That's not what we would hope to see.

在過去的12個月中,渤海汽車系統的息稅前利潤水平出現虧損,收入下降至45元人民幣,下降2.9%。這不是我們希望看到的。

Caveat Emptor

Caveat Emptor

Importantly, Bohai Automotive Systems had an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss over the last year. Indeed, it lost CN¥224m at the EBIT level. When we look at that and recall the liabilities on its balance sheet, relative to cash, it seems unwise to us for the company to have any debt. So we think its balance sheet is a little strained, though not beyond repair. Another cause for caution is that is bled CN¥162m in negative free cash flow over the last twelve months. So suffice it to say we do consider the stock to be risky. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for Bohai Automotive Systems that you should be aware of.

重要的是,渤海汽車系統去年出現了息稅前收益(EBIT)虧損。事實上,它在息稅前利潤水平上損失了22400萬元人民幣。當我們審視這一點並回顧其資產負債表上相對於現金的負債時,對我們來說,公司有任何債務似乎是不明智的。因此,我們認爲其資產負債表有些緊張,儘管並非無法修復。另一個需要謹慎的原因是,在過去的十二個月中,自由現金流爲負16200萬加元。因此,只要說我們確實認爲這隻股票有風險就足夠了。資產負債表顯然是分析債務時需要關注的領域。但歸根結底,每家公司都可以控制資產負債表之外存在的風險。例如,我們已經確定了渤海汽車系統的一個警告標誌,你應該注意這一點。

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

如果你有興趣投資能夠在沒有債務負擔的情況下增加利潤的企業,請查看這份資產負債表上有淨現金的成長型企業的免費清單。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St 的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法提供基於歷史數據和分析師預測的評論,我們的文章並非旨在提供財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不會考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。華爾街只是沒有持有上述任何股票的頭寸。

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