Investors More Bullish on Anhui Zhongyuan New Materials (SHSE:603527) This Week as Stock Soars 16%, Despite Earnings Trending Downwards Over Past Five Years
Investors More Bullish on Anhui Zhongyuan New Materials (SHSE:603527) This Week as Stock Soars 16%, Despite Earnings Trending Downwards Over Past Five Years
When we invest, we're generally looking for stocks that outperform the market average. And the truth is, you can make significant gains if you buy good quality businesses at the right price. To wit, the Anhui Zhongyuan New Materials share price has climbed 43% in five years, easily topping the market return of 20% (ignoring dividends).
當我們投資時,我們通常是在尋找表現超過市場平均水平的股票。事實是,如果你以合適的價格購買高質量的企業,你可以獲得可觀的收益。換句話說,安徽中元新材的股價在五年內上漲了43%,輕鬆超過了20%的市場回報率(不計股息)。
Since the stock has added CN¥434m to its market cap in the past week alone, let's see if underlying performance has been driving long-term returns.
由於該股僅在過去一週的市值就增加了43400萬元人民幣,因此讓我們看看基礎表現是否推動了長期回報。
There is no denying that markets are sometimes efficient, but prices do not always reflect underlying business performance. By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.
不可否認,市場有時是有效的,但價格並不總是能反映潛在的業務表現。通過比較每股收益(EPS)和一段時間內的股價變化,我們可以了解投資者對公司的態度是如何隨着時間的推移而變化的。
Anhui Zhongyuan New Materials' earnings per share are down 0.1% per year, despite strong share price performance over five years.
儘管五年來股價表現強勁,但安徽中源新材的每股收益每年下降0.1%。
By glancing at these numbers, we'd posit that the decline in earnings per share is not representative of how the business has changed over the years. Since the change in EPS doesn't seem to correlate with the change in share price, it's worth taking a look at other metrics.
通過瀏覽這些數字,我們可以假設每股收益的下降並不能代表業務多年來的變化。由於每股收益的變化似乎與股價的變化無關,因此值得一看其他指標。
In contrast revenue growth of 19% per year is probably viewed as evidence that Anhui Zhongyuan New Materials is growing, a real positive. In that case, the company may be sacrificing current earnings per share to drive growth.
相比之下,每年19%的收入增長可能被視爲安徽中元新材正在增長的證據,這是一個真正的積極因素。在這種情況下,該公司可能會犧牲當前的每股收益來推動增長。
The company's revenue and earnings (over time) are depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).
公司的收入和收益(隨着時間的推移)如下圖所示(點擊查看確切數字)。
Take a more thorough look at Anhui Zhongyuan New Materials' financial health with this free report on its balance sheet.
通過這份免費的資產負債表報告,更全面地了解安徽中源新材的財務狀況。
What About Dividends?
那股息呢?
When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. In the case of Anhui Zhongyuan New Materials, it has a TSR of 57% for the last 5 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. The dividends paid by the company have thusly boosted the total shareholder return.
在考慮投資回報時,重要的是要考慮股東總回報(TSR)和股價回報率之間的差異。基於股息再投資的假設,股東總回報率納入了任何分拆或貼現資本籌集的價值以及任何股息。可以說,股東總回報率更全面地描述了股票產生的回報。以安徽中元新材爲例,其過去5年的股東回報率爲57%。這超過了我們之前提到的其股價回報率。因此,公司支付的股息提高了股東的總回報率。
A Different Perspective
不同的視角
Investors in Anhui Zhongyuan New Materials had a tough year, with a total loss of 14% (including dividends), against a market gain of about 6.0%. Even the share prices of good stocks drop sometimes, but we want to see improvements in the fundamental metrics of a business, before getting too interested. Longer term investors wouldn't be so upset, since they would have made 9%, each year, over five years. If the fundamental data continues to indicate long term sustainable growth, the current sell-off could be an opportunity worth considering. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. Like risks, for instance. Every company has them, and we've spotted 3 warning signs for Anhui Zhongyuan New Materials (of which 2 are a bit concerning!) you should know about.
安徽中源新材的投資者經歷了艱難的一年,總虧損了14%(包括股息),而市場漲幅約爲6.0%。即使是優質股票的股價有時也會下跌,但我們希望在過於感興趣之前看到企業基本指標的改善。長期投資者不會那麼沮喪,因爲他們本可以在五年內每年賺9%。如果基本面數據繼續顯示長期可持續增長,那麼當前的拋售可能是一個值得考慮的機會。儘管市場狀況可能對股價產生的不同影響值得考慮,但還有其他因素更爲重要。比如風險。每家公司都有它們,我們已經發現了安徽中元新材的3個警告標誌(其中2個有點令人擔憂!)你應該知道。
We will like Anhui Zhongyuan New Materials better if we see some big insider buys. While we wait, check out this free list of undervalued stocks (mostly small caps) with considerable, recent, insider buying.
如果我們看到一些重大的內幕收購,我們會更喜歡安徽中元新材。在我們等待的同時,請查看這份被低估的股票(主要是小盤股)的免費清單,這些股票最近有大量的內幕買盤。
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.
請注意,本文引用的市場回報反映了目前在中國交易所交易的股票的市場加權平均回報率。
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
對這篇文章有反饋嗎?擔心內容嗎?直接聯繫我們。或者,發送電子郵件給編輯組(網址爲)simplywallst.com。
Simply Wall St 的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法提供基於歷史數據和分析師預測的評論,我們的文章並非旨在提供財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不會考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。華爾街只是沒有持有上述任何股票的頭寸。