Shuifa Energas Gas Co., Ltd. (SHSE:603318) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 33% gain in the last month alone. Notwithstanding the latest gain, the annual share price return of 5.5% isn't as impressive.
After such a large jump in price, given around half the companies in China have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 35x, you may consider Shuifa Energas Gas as a stock to potentially avoid with its 46.9x P/E ratio. However, the P/E might be high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
Earnings have risen firmly for Shuifa Energas Gas recently, which is pleasing to see. It might be that many expect the respectable earnings performance to beat most other companies over the coming period, which has increased investors' willingness to pay up for the stock. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Shuifa Energas Gas' earnings, revenue and cash flow.
What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/E?
Shuifa Energas Gas' P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver solid growth, and importantly, perform better than the market.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company managed to grow earnings per share by a handy 12% last year. Pleasingly, EPS has also lifted 68% in aggregate from three years ago, partly thanks to the last 12 months of growth. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing earnings over that time.
Comparing that to the market, which is predicted to deliver 40% growth in the next 12 months, the company's momentum is weaker based on recent medium-term annualised earnings results.
With this information, we find it concerning that Shuifa Energas Gas is trading at a P/E higher than the market. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited recent growth rates and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent earnings trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.
What We Can Learn From Shuifa Energas Gas' P/E?
Shuifa Energas Gas shares have received a push in the right direction, but its P/E is elevated too. We'd say the price-to-earnings ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
We've established that Shuifa Energas Gas currently trades on a much higher than expected P/E since its recent three-year growth is lower than the wider market forecast. When we see weak earnings with slower than market growth, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the high P/E lower. If recent medium-term earnings trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.
It is also worth noting that we have found 1 warning sign for Shuifa Energas Gas that you need to take into consideration.
Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking at a few good candidates. So take a peek at this free list of companies with a strong growth track record, trading on a low P/E.
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