China Zhenhua (Group) Science & Technology's (SZSE:000733) Five-year Total Shareholder Returns Outpace the Underlying Earnings Growth
China Zhenhua (Group) Science & Technology's (SZSE:000733) Five-year Total Shareholder Returns Outpace the Underlying Earnings Growth
When you buy shares in a company, it's worth keeping in mind the possibility that it could fail, and you could lose your money. But on the bright side, if you buy shares in a high quality company at the right price, you can gain well over 100%. One great example is China Zhenhua (Group) Science & Technology Co., Ltd (SZSE:000733) which saw its share price drive 218% higher over five years. It's also good to see the share price up 30% over the last quarter. But this move may well have been assisted by the reasonably buoyant market (up 27% in 90 days).
當你購買一家公司的股票時,請記住它可能會失敗的風險,這樣你可能會失去投資。但是從積極的角度來看,如果你在合適的價格購買一家高質量公司的股票,你的收益有可能超過100%。一個很好的例子就是振華科技(集團)有限公司(SZSE:000733),在五年內其股價上漲了218%。另外,看到過去一個季度股價上漲30%也是件好事。但是,這一走勢可能在一定程度上受到市場的推動(90天內上漲27%)。
Since the long term performance has been good but there's been a recent pullback of 6.4%, let's check if the fundamentals match the share price.
由於長期表現良好,但最近出現了6.4%的回調,所以讓我們檢查基本面是否與股價相匹配。
To quote Buffett, 'Ships will sail around the world but the Flat Earth Society will flourish. There will continue to be wide discrepancies between price and value in the marketplace...' One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.
引用巴菲特的話:「船隻將周遊世界,而『地平派』仍會興旺。市場上的價格和價值仍會存在廣泛的差距……」考慮一家公司在市場上的認知如何變化的一個不完美但簡單的方法是比較每股收益(EPS)的變化和股價的波動。
Over half a decade, China Zhenhua (Group) Science & Technology managed to grow its earnings per share at 27% a year. This EPS growth is reasonably close to the 26% average annual increase in the share price. That suggests that the market sentiment around the company hasn't changed much over that time. In fact, the share price seems to largely reflect the EPS growth.
在過去五年中,振華科技(集團)有限公司的每股收益年均增長27%。這個每股收益的增長與26%的股票價格年均增長相差不大。這表明,在這段時間內,市場對公司的情緒變化不大。事實上,股價在很大程度上反映了每股收益的增長。
You can see below how EPS has changed over time (discover the exact values by clicking on the image).
您可以看到EPS隨時間的變化如下(通過單擊圖像了解確切數值)。
This free interactive report on China Zhenhua (Group) Science & Technology's earnings, revenue and cash flow is a great place to start, if you want to investigate the stock further.
這份關於振華科技(集團)收益、營業收入和現金流的免費互動報告是一個很好的開始,如果您想進一步調查這隻股票。
What About Dividends?
關於分紅派息的問題
When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. We note that for China Zhenhua (Group) Science & Technology the TSR over the last 5 years was 234%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!
在考慮投資回報時,重要的是要考慮總股東回報(TSR)和股價回報之間的差異。TSR考慮了任何剝離或折扣資本籌集的價值,以及任何分紅,假設分紅會被再投資。因此,對於支付豐厚分紅的公司,TSR通常遠高於股價回報。我們注意到,對於振華科技(集團),過去五年的TSR爲234%,這比上述提到的股價回報要好。這在很大程度上是由於其分紅支付!
A Different Perspective
另一種看法
While the broader market gained around 6.0% in the last year, China Zhenhua (Group) Science & Technology shareholders lost 29% (even including dividends). However, keep in mind that even the best stocks will sometimes underperform the market over a twelve month period. Longer term investors wouldn't be so upset, since they would have made 27%, each year, over five years. It could be that the recent sell-off is an opportunity, so it may be worth checking the fundamental data for signs of a long term growth trend. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand China Zhenhua (Group) Science & Technology better, we need to consider many other factors. Consider for instance, the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 1 warning sign with China Zhenhua (Group) Science & Technology , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
雖然整個市場在過去一年中上漲了大約6.0%,但振華科技(集團)股東損失了29%(即使包括分紅)。然而,請記住,即使是最好的股票,有時在12個月內也會表現不及市場。長期投資者則不會太失望,因爲他們在五年內每年獲得了27%的回報。最近的拋售可能是一個機會,因此查看基本數據以尋找長期增長趨勢的跡象可能是值得的。長期跟蹤股價表現總是有趣。但要更好地理解振華科技(集團),我們需要考慮許多其他因素。考慮到投資風險的無處不在,我們已經識別出振華科技(集團)存在1個警告信號,理解這些應該是您投資過程的一部分。
If you would prefer to check out another company -- one with potentially superior financials -- then do not miss this free list of companies that have proven they can grow earnings.
如果您願意查看另一家公司(具有潛在的更好財務狀況),請不要錯過這個免費的公司列表,證明它們可以增長收益。
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.
請注意,本文中引用的市場回報反映了目前在中國交易所上市的股票的市場加權平均回報。
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
對這篇文章有反饋嗎?對內容感到擔憂嗎?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至editorial-team @ simplywallst.com。
Simply Wall St的這篇文章是一般性質的。我們僅基於歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,使用公正的方法,我們的文章並非意在提供財務建議。這並不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,並且不考慮您的目標或財務狀況。我們旨在爲您帶來基於基礎數據驅動的長期聚焦分析。請注意,我們的分析可能未考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St對提及的任何股票都沒有持倉。