Is Weakness In Zhongjin Gold Corp.,Ltd (SHSE:600489) Stock A Sign That The Market Could Be Wrong Given Its Strong Financial Prospects?
Is Weakness In Zhongjin Gold Corp.,Ltd (SHSE:600489) Stock A Sign That The Market Could Be Wrong Given Its Strong Financial Prospects?
It is hard to get excited after looking at Zhongjin GoldLtd's (SHSE:600489) recent performance, when its stock has declined 15% over the past three months. However, a closer look at its sound financials might cause you to think again. Given that fundamentals usually drive long-term market outcomes, the company is worth looking at. Specifically, we decided to study Zhongjin GoldLtd's ROE in this article.
看了中金黃金有限公司(SHSE: 600489)最近的表現,很難感到興奮,當時的股票在過去三個月中下跌了15%。但是,仔細觀察其穩健的財務狀況可能會讓你重新考慮。鑑於基本面通常會推動長期市場業績,因此該公司值得關注。具體而言,我們決定在本文中研究中金黃金有限公司的投資回報率。
Return on Equity or ROE is a test of how effectively a company is growing its value and managing investors' money. In other words, it is a profitability ratio which measures the rate of return on the capital provided by the company's shareholders.
股本回報率或投資回報率是對公司增值和管理投資者資金的有效性的考驗。換句話說,它是衡量公司股東提供的資本回報率的盈利比率。
How Is ROE Calculated?
ROE 是如何計算的?
The formula for ROE is:
ROE 的公式是:
Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity
股本回報率 = 淨利潤(來自持續經營)÷ 股東權益
So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Zhongjin GoldLtd is:
因此,根據上述公式,中金黃金有限公司的投資回報率爲:
14% = CN¥4.3b ÷ CN¥32b (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2024).
14% = 43元人民幣 ÷ 320元人民幣(基於截至2024年9月的過去十二個月)。
The 'return' refers to a company's earnings over the last year. One way to conceptualize this is that for each CN¥1 of shareholders' capital it has, the company made CN¥0.14 in profit.
「回報」 是指公司去年的收益。對此進行概念化的一種方法是,該公司每擁有1元人民幣的股本即可獲得0.14元人民幣的利潤。
Why Is ROE Important For Earnings Growth?
爲什麼投資回報率對收益增長很重要?
Thus far, we have learned that ROE measures how efficiently a company is generating its profits. Depending on how much of these profits the company reinvests or "retains", and how effectively it does so, we are then able to assess a company's earnings growth potential. Assuming all else is equal, companies that have both a higher return on equity and higher profit retention are usually the ones that have a higher growth rate when compared to companies that don't have the same features.
到目前爲止,我們已經了解到,投資回報率衡量的是公司創造利潤的效率。然後,我們能夠評估公司的收益增長潛力,具體取決於公司對這些利潤進行再投資或 「保留」 了多少及其有效性。假設其他條件都一樣,與功能不相同的公司相比,具有更高股本回報率和更高利潤保留率的公司通常具有更高的增長率。
Zhongjin GoldLtd's Earnings Growth And 14% ROE
中金黃金有限公司的收益增長和14%的投資回報率
To start with, Zhongjin GoldLtd's ROE looks acceptable. Especially when compared to the industry average of 7.5% the company's ROE looks pretty impressive. Probably as a result of this, Zhongjin GoldLtd was able to see an impressive net income growth of 26% over the last five years. We reckon that there could also be other factors at play here. For example, it is possible that the company's management has made some good strategic decisions, or that the company has a low payout ratio.
首先,中金黃金有限公司的投資回報率似乎可以接受。特別是與7.5%的行業平均水平相比,該公司的投資回報率看起來相當可觀。可能是由於這個原因,中金黃金有限公司在過去五年中實現了令人印象深刻的26%的淨收入增長。我們認爲,這裏可能還有其他因素在起作用。例如,公司的管理層可能做出了一些良好的戰略決策,或者公司的派息率很低。
As a next step, we compared Zhongjin GoldLtd's net income growth with the industry, and pleasingly, we found that the growth seen by the company is higher than the average industry growth of 9.8%.
下一步,我們將中金GoldLtd的淨收入增長與該行業進行了比較,令人高興的是,我們發現該公司的增長高於行業平均增長9.8%。

Earnings growth is an important metric to consider when valuing a stock. What investors need to determine next is if the expected earnings growth, or the lack of it, is already built into the share price. Doing so will help them establish if the stock's future looks promising or ominous. One good indicator of expected earnings growth is the P/E ratio which determines the price the market is willing to pay for a stock based on its earnings prospects. So, you may want to check if Zhongjin GoldLtd is trading on a high P/E or a low P/E, relative to its industry.
收益增長是對股票進行估值時要考慮的重要指標。投資者接下來需要確定的是,預期的收益增長或缺乏收益是否已經包含在股價中。這樣做將幫助他們確定股票的未來是樂觀還是不祥的。衡量預期收益增長的一個很好的指標是市盈率,它根據收益前景決定了市場願意爲股票支付的價格。因此,您可能需要檢查中金黃金相對於其行業是高市盈率還是低市盈率。
Is Zhongjin GoldLtd Efficiently Re-investing Its Profits?
中金黃金有限公司是否有效地將其利潤再投資?
Zhongjin GoldLtd has a significant three-year median payout ratio of 61%, meaning the company only retains 39% of its income. This implies that the company has been able to achieve high earnings growth despite returning most of its profits to shareholders.
中金黃金有限公司的三年派息率中位數相當可觀,爲61%,這意味着該公司僅保留其收入的39%。這意味着儘管將大部分利潤返還給了股東,但該公司仍能夠實現高收益增長。
Moreover, Zhongjin GoldLtd is determined to keep sharing its profits with shareholders which we infer from its long history of paying a dividend for at least ten years.
此外,中金黃金有限公司決心繼續與股東分享利潤,這是我們從其支付股息至少十年的悠久歷史中推斷出來的。
Summary
摘要
On the whole, we feel that Zhongjin GoldLtd's performance has been quite good. We are particularly impressed by the considerable earnings growth posted by the company, which was likely backed by its high ROE. While the company is paying out most of its earnings as dividends, it has been able to grow its earnings in spite of it, so that's probably a good sign. With that said, the latest industry analyst forecasts reveal that the company's earnings growth is expected to slow down. To know more about the latest analysts predictions for the company, check out this visualization of analyst forecasts for the company.
總的來說,我們覺得中金黃金的表現相當不錯。該公司公佈的可觀收益增長給我們留下了特別深刻的印象,這可能得到了其高投資回報率的支持。儘管該公司將大部分收益作爲股息支付,但儘管如此,它還是得以增加收益,因此這可能是一個好兆頭。話雖如此,最新的行業分析師預測顯示,該公司的收益增長預計將放緩。要詳細了解分析師對公司的最新預測,請查看該公司的分析師預測的可視化。
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Simply Wall St 的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法提供基於歷史數據和分析師預測的評論,我們的文章並非旨在提供財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不會考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。華爾街只是沒有持有上述任何股票的頭寸。