CVS Health's (NYSE:CVS) Earnings Trajectory Could Turn Positive as the Stock Lifts 4.7% This Past Week
CVS Health's (NYSE:CVS) Earnings Trajectory Could Turn Positive as the Stock Lifts 4.7% This Past Week
As an investor its worth striving to ensure your overall portfolio beats the market average. But in any portfolio, there are likely to be some stocks that fall short of that benchmark. Unfortunately, that's been the case for longer term CVS Health Corporation (NYSE:CVS) shareholders, since the share price is down 39% in the last three years, falling well short of the market return of around 22%.
作爲投資者,值得努力確保您的整體投資組合能夠超過市場平均水平。 但在任何投資組合中,可能存在一些股票表現未能達到該基準的情況。 不幸的是,在過去三年裏,長揸西維斯健康公司(紐交所:CVS)的股東,股價下跌了39%,遠遠低於市場回報率左右的22%。
While the last three years has been tough for CVS Health shareholders, this past week has shown signs of promise. So let's look at the longer term fundamentals and see if they've been the driver of the negative returns.
儘管過去三年對西維斯健康的股東來說是艱難的,但過去的一週顯示了一些希望的跡象。 讓我們來看看長期的基本面,看看它們是否已經成爲負回報的推動力。
To quote Buffett, 'Ships will sail around the world but the Flat Earth Society will flourish. There will continue to be wide discrepancies between price and value in the marketplace...' One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.
引用巴菲特的話說,「船隻會在世界各地航行,但是持平地球學會會蓬勃發展。在市場上,價格和價值之間將繼續存在巨大的差距……」評估公司周圍情緒變化的一種有缺陷但合理的方法是將每股收益(EPS)與股價進行比較。
CVS Health saw its EPS decline at a compound rate of 12% per year, over the last three years. This reduction in EPS is slower than the 15% annual reduction in the share price. So it seems the market was too confident about the business, in the past.
在過去三年中,西維斯健康的每股收益以每年12%的複合速率下降。 EPS的下降速度比股價每年下降15%的速度要慢。 因此,似乎市場對該公司過去過於自信。
You can see below how EPS has changed over time (discover the exact values by clicking on the image).
您可以看到EPS隨時間的變化如下(通過單擊圖像了解確切數值)。
We like that insiders have been buying shares in the last twelve months. Having said that, most people consider earnings and revenue growth trends to be a more meaningful guide to the business. Dive deeper into the earnings by checking this interactive graph of CVS Health's earnings, revenue and cash flow.
我們喜歡內部人士在過去十二個月內購買股份。話雖如此,大多數人認爲盈利和營業收入增長趨勢更具有指導意義。通過查看西維斯健康盈利、營業收入和現金流的交互式圖表,深入了解盈利情況。
What About Dividends?
關於分紅派息的問題
As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. In the case of CVS Health, it has a TSR of -33% for the last 3 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. The dividends paid by the company have thusly boosted the total shareholder return.
除了衡量股價回報外,投資者還應考慮股東總回報率(TSR)。 TSR是一種回報計算,考慮到現金分紅的價值(假設任何收到的股息都被再投資)以及任何折現的增資和拆分的計算價值。可以說,TSR提供了股票生成回報的更全面圖片。在西維斯健康的情況下,過去3年TSR爲-33%。這超過了我們之前提到的股價回報。該公司支付的股息因此提升了股東總回報。
A Different Perspective
另一種看法
While the broader market gained around 32% in the last year, CVS Health shareholders lost 14% (even including dividends). Even the share prices of good stocks drop sometimes, but we want to see improvements in the fundamental metrics of a business, before getting too interested. Unfortunately, last year's performance may indicate unresolved challenges, given that it was worse than the annualised loss of 2% over the last half decade. We realise that Baron Rothschild has said investors should "buy when there is blood on the streets", but we caution that investors should first be sure they are buying a high quality business. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand CVS Health better, we need to consider many other factors. Like risks, for instance. Every company has them, and we've spotted 3 warning signs for CVS Health (of which 1 doesn't sit too well with us!) you should know about.
儘管更廣泛的市場在過去一年中上漲了約32%,但西維斯健康的股東虧損了14%(即使包括股息在內)。即使優質股票的股價有時會下跌,但我們希望在對一家企業的基本指標產生興趣之前,看到業務的基本指標有所改善。不幸的是,去年的業績可能表明存在未解決的挑戰,因爲它比過去半個十年的年化損失2%還糟。我們意識到,巴倫·羅斯柴爾德曾說過投資者應該「在街上流血時買入」,但我們警告投資者應該首先確保他們在購買高質量企業。跟蹤股價長期表現總是令人感興趣。但要更好地了解西維斯健康,我們需要考慮許多其他因素。比如風險。每家公司都有風險,我們已經發現西維斯健康有3個警示信號(其中有1個我們感覺不太好!)您應該了解。
CVS Health is not the only stock that insiders are buying. For those who like to find lesser know companies this free list of growing companies with recent insider purchasing, could be just the ticket.
西維斯健康不是唯一一隻股票,內部人士正在買入。對於那些喜歡找到較少知名公司的人來說,這份最近有內部人士買入的成長型公司的免費名單可能正合適。
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on American exchanges.
請注意,本文所引述的市場回報反映了目前在美國交易所上市的股票的市場加權平均回報。
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
對這篇文章有反饋嗎?對內容感到擔憂嗎?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至editorial-team @ simplywallst.com。
Simply Wall St的這篇文章是一般性質的。我們僅基於歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,使用公正的方法,我們的文章並非意在提供財務建議。這並不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,並且不考慮您的目標或財務狀況。我們旨在爲您帶來基於基礎數據驅動的長期聚焦分析。請注意,我們的分析可能未考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St對提及的任何股票都沒有持倉。