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Michael Saylor Predicted Bitcoin To Hit $13 Million — If It Happens, It Will Entail 'Massive Hyperinflation,' Analyst Warns

Michael Saylor Predicted Bitcoin To Hit $13 Million — If It Happens, It Will Entail 'Massive Hyperinflation,' Analyst Warns

邁克爾·塞勒預測比特幣將達到1300萬美元——如果發生,將意味着「巨大的惡性通貨膨脹,」分析師警告。
Benzinga ·  11/21 10:49

Macro investor Jim Bianco, president of Bianco Research, has sparked a heated debate on Twitter about the potential long-term value of Bitcoin and its implications for the global economy.

宏觀投資者、Bianco Research總裁吉姆·比安科在推特上引發了關於比特幣潛在長期價值及其對全球經濟影響的激烈辯論。

What Happened: Responding to the prediction of MicroStrategy (NASDAQ:MSTR) executive chairman Michael Saylor that Bitcoin (CRYPTO: BTC) could hit $13 million by 2045, Bianco noted in a post on X on Thursday that this valuation would put Bitcoin's market cap at around $250 trillion.

發生了什麼:在回應微策略(納斯達克股票代碼:MSTR)執行主席邁克爾·塞勒關於到2045年比特幣(加密貨幣:BTC)可能達到1300萬美元的預測時,比安科在週四的X上發表的一篇文章中指出,這種估值將使比特幣的市值達到約250萬億美元。

This would dwarf the current world GDP of $105 trillion and global stock markets valued at $125 trillion.

這將使當前世界105萬億美元的GDP和價值125萬億美元的全球股票市場相形見絀。

However, Bianco questions what $13 million would actually buy in 2045—perhaps only what $100,000 buys today.

但是,比安科質疑在2045年1300萬美元到底會買什麼,可能只有今天的10萬美元能買到什麼。

His answer was stark: "I'll offer an answer: $13 million BTC, or adding $250 trillion to wealth, will create massive hyperinflation."

他的回答很鮮明:「我要給出一個答案:1300萬美元的比特幣,或增加250萬億美元的財富,將造成大規模的惡性通貨膨脹。」

The financial analyst argued that such a dramatic increase in Bitcoin's value would likely coincide with – or result from – the collapse of fiat currencies. In this scenario, "$13 million in 2045 will only get you the same amount as $100k today, probably less (a used Honda)," Bianco stated.

這位金融分析師認爲,比特幣價值的如此大幅上漲可能與法定貨幣的崩潰同時發生或由此導致。在這種情況下,「到2045年,1300萬美元只能給你帶來與今天的10萬美元相同的金額,可能更少(二手本田),」 比安科說。

While acknowledging that a $13 million Bitcoin price isn't necessarily unrealistic, Bianco cautioned that the conditions leading to such a valuation would be far from ideal. "It is the destruction of all value as we currently know it. It is replaced by a new measure of account, BTC," he explained.

比安科承認1300萬美元的比特幣價格不一定是不現實的,但他警告說,導致這種估值的條件遠非理想。「正如我們目前所知,這是對所有價值的破壞。它被一種新的帳戶衡量標準BTC所取代,」 他解釋說。

Bianco also raised concerns about the societal implications of such a scenario. He pointed out that "60% of the US population owns no assets and cannot come up $1,000 in an emergency," questioning what would happen to these individuals in a world of massive hyperinflation and sky-high Bitcoin prices.

比安科還對這種情況的社會影響表示擔憂。他指出,「60%的美國人口沒有資產,在緊急情況下無法籌集到1,000美元」,他質疑在大規模惡性通貨膨脹和比特幣價格居高不下的世界中,這些人會怎樣。

Echoing Robert Kiyosaki's thoughts, Bianco concluded "This is not something to look forward to." Kiyosaki in his recent tweet advised to buy Bitcoin today as with "$9,000 today.... you buy .01 Bitcoin today...you are a millionaire tomorrow."

比安科回應了羅伯特·清崎的想法,得出結論:「這不是一件值得期待的事情。」清崎在最近的推文中建議今天購買比特幣,就像 「今天9,000美元... 你今天買0.01比特幣... 明天你就是百萬富翁」 一樣。

Also Read: Bitcoin Hits New All-Time High Above $98,000 As Spot ETFs Crack $100 Billion Net Asset Value Milestone

另請閱讀:隨着現貨ETF突破100億美元的淨資產價值里程碑,比特幣創下98,000美元以上的歷史新高

Why It Matters: Bianco isn't alone in his skepticism. Economists Erzo G.J. Luttmer and Amol Amol share a similar sentiment, describing Bitcoin as a disruptive force to government fiscal policies, likening it to "an unruly guest at a carefully planned dinner."

爲何重要:比安科並不是唯一一個持懷疑態度的人。經濟學家埃爾佐·G.J. Luttmer和Amol Amol也有類似的觀點,他們將比特幣描述爲政府財政政策的顛覆性力量,將其比作 「精心策劃的晚宴上不守規矩的客人」。

Peter Schiff, a long-time Bitcoin critic, also warns against such scenarios. He argues that if the U.S. were to hold Bitcoin reserves, it could trigger hyperinflation by forcing the government to print more dollars, devastating both Bitcoin and the dollar's value.

長期批評比特幣的彼得·希夫也警告不要出現這種情況。他認爲,如果美國持有比特幣儲備,可能會迫使政府印製更多美元,從而引發惡性通貨膨脹,從而破壞比特幣和美元的價值。

  • BlackRock Sees 'Renewed Sense Of Optimism' Around Bitcoin
  • 貝萊德對比特幣看到 「新的樂觀情緒」

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