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Hubei Feilihua Quartz Glass' (SZSE:300395) Five-year Total Shareholder Returns Outpace the Underlying Earnings Growth

Hubei Feilihua Quartz Glass' (SZSE:300395) Five-year Total Shareholder Returns Outpace the Underlying Earnings Growth

菲利華(SZSE:300395)五年總股東回報超過基礎盈利增長
Simply Wall St ·  2024/11/22 07:16

It might be of some concern to shareholders to see the Hubei Feilihua Quartz Glass Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300395) share price down 14% in the last month. But in stark contrast, the returns over the last half decade have impressed. We think most investors would be happy with the 194% return, over that period. Generally speaking the long term returns will give you a better idea of business quality than short periods can. Of course, that doesn't necessarily mean it's cheap now.

看到湖北菲利華石英玻璃有限公司(深交所代碼:300395)的股價在過去一個月下跌了14%,這可能令股東有所擔憂。然而,與之形成鮮明對比的是,過去五年裏的回報讓人印象深刻。我們認爲,大多數投資者會對這一期間的194%回報感到滿意。一般來說,長期回報能更好地反映出業務質量,而不是短期回報。當然,這並不一定意味着現在是便宜的時候。

Although Hubei Feilihua Quartz Glass has shed CN¥932m from its market cap this week, let's take a look at its longer term fundamental trends and see if they've driven returns.

儘管湖北菲利華石英玻璃本週市值減少了93200萬CN¥,但讓我們看看它長期的基本趨勢,看看這些趨勢是否推動了回報。

There is no denying that markets are sometimes efficient, but prices do not always reflect underlying business performance. One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).

無可否認,市場有時是有效的,但價格並不總是反映基礎業務的表現。一種檢查市場情緒隨時間變化的方法是觀察公司股價與每股收益(EPS)之間的互動。

Over half a decade, Hubei Feilihua Quartz Glass managed to grow its earnings per share at 11% a year. This EPS growth is slower than the share price growth of 24% per year, over the same period. This suggests that market participants hold the company in higher regard, these days. That's not necessarily surprising considering the five-year track record of earnings growth. This optimism is visible in its fairly high P/E ratio of 57.26.

在過去的五年中,湖北菲利華石英玻璃的每股收益以每年11%的速度增長。這一每股收益的增長速度低於同期24%的股價增長。這表明市場參與者對該公司的評價較高。這並不意外,考慮到公司五年的盈利增長記錄。這種樂觀情緒在其相對較高的市盈率57.26中可見一斑。

The graphic below depicts how EPS has changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).

下圖顯示了EPS隨時間變化的情況(點擊圖像以顯示確切值)。

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SZSE:300395 Earnings Per Share Growth November 21st 2024
SZSE:300395每股收益增長2024年11月21日

This free interactive report on Hubei Feilihua Quartz Glass' earnings, revenue and cash flow is a great place to start, if you want to investigate the stock further.

這份關於菲利華的免費互動報告,涵蓋了其每股收益、營業收入和現金流,是深入研究該股票的一個很好起點。

What About Dividends?

關於分紅派息的問題

It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. It's fair to say that the TSR gives a more complete picture for stocks that pay a dividend. In the case of Hubei Feilihua Quartz Glass, it has a TSR of 202% for the last 5 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!

在考慮任何股票時,考慮總股東回報和股價回報是很重要的。股價回報僅反映股價的變化,而總股東回報則包括了分紅的價值(假設這些分紅被再投資)以及任何折扣融資或分拆的收益。可以公平地說,對於支付分紅的股票,總股東回報提供了更完整的圖景。在菲利華的情況下,過去五年總股東回報達到了202%。這超過了我們之前提到的股價回報。這在很大程度上歸功於它的分紅支付!

A Different Perspective

不同的視角

While the broader market gained around 8.3% in the last year, Hubei Feilihua Quartz Glass shareholders lost 6.3% (even including dividends). Even the share prices of good stocks drop sometimes, but we want to see improvements in the fundamental metrics of a business, before getting too interested. Longer term investors wouldn't be so upset, since they would have made 25%, each year, over five years. If the fundamental data continues to indicate long term sustainable growth, the current sell-off could be an opportunity worth considering. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. For example, we've discovered 1 warning sign for Hubei Feilihua Quartz Glass that you should be aware of before investing here.

儘管整個市場在過去一年中上漲了約8.3%,但菲利華的股東損失了6.3%(即便包括了分紅)。即使是好的股票,有時也會下跌,但在真正對其感興趣之前,我們希望看到業務的基本指標有所改善。長期投資者可能不會感到太沮喪,因爲他們在五年內每年都有25%的盈利。如果基本數據繼續顯示出長期可持續增長,目前的拋售可能是一個值得考慮的機會。我發現從長遠看觀察股價作爲商業表現的代理指標非常有趣。但要真正獲得洞察,我們還需要考慮其他信息。例如,我們發現了一個關於菲利華的警告信號,在你投資之前應予以注意。

We will like Hubei Feilihua Quartz Glass better if we see some big insider buys. While we wait, check out this free list of undervalued stocks (mostly small caps) with considerable, recent, insider buying.

如果我們看到一些大額內部人士購買,我們會更加喜歡菲利華。與此同時,請查看這份最近發生大量內部購買的低估股票(大部分是小型股票)免費列表。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.

請注意,本文中引用的市場回報反映了目前在中國交易所交易的股票的市場加權平均回報。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對本文有反饋?對內容有疑慮?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至 editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com。
這篇來自Simply Wall ST的文章是一般性的。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,採用無偏見的方法,我們的文章並不旨在提供財務建議。它不構成對任何股票的買入或賣出建議,也未考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們旨在爲您提供以基本數據驅動的長期分析。請注意,我們的分析可能未考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall ST在提到的任何股票中均沒有持倉。

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