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Do Its Financials Have Any Role To Play In Driving Brilliance Technology Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:300542) Stock Up Recently?

Do Its Financials Have Any Role To Play In Driving Brilliance Technology Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:300542) Stock Up Recently?

最近,新晨科技股份有限公司(SZSE:300542)的股價上漲是否與其財務情況有關?
Simply Wall St ·  2024/11/22 07:10

Brilliance Technology's (SZSE:300542) stock is up by a considerable 120% over the past three months. As most would know, fundamentals are what usually guide market price movements over the long-term, so we decided to look at the company's key financial indicators today to determine if they have any role to play in the recent price movement. In this article, we decided to focus on Brilliance Technology's ROE.

新晨科技(深交所代碼:300542)的股票在過去三個月上漲了120%。衆所周知,基本面通常是指導市場價格長期波動的因素,因此我們今天決定查看公司的關鍵財務指標,以判斷它們是否在最近的價格波動中發揮了作用。在本文中,我們決定重點關注新晨科技的ROE。

Return on equity or ROE is an important factor to be considered by a shareholder because it tells them how effectively their capital is being reinvested. Simply put, it is used to assess the profitability of a company in relation to its equity capital.

股本回報率或ROE是股東需要考慮的重要因素,因爲它告訴他們資本的再投資效率。簡單來說,它用於評估公司相對於其股本的盈利能力。

How Is ROE Calculated?

淨資產收益率怎麼計算?

ROE can be calculated by using the formula:

ROE可以通過以下公式計算:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

股東權益回報率 = 凈利潤(來自持續運營)÷ 股東權益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Brilliance Technology is:

所以,基於上述公式,新晨科技的ROE爲:

5.9% = CN¥38m ÷ CN¥635m (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2024).

5.9% = CN¥3800萬 ÷ CN¥63500萬(基於截至2024年9月的過去12個月的數據)。

The 'return' is the profit over the last twelve months. Another way to think of that is that for every CN¥1 worth of equity, the company was able to earn CN¥0.06 in profit.

「回報」是指過去十二個月的利潤。另一種理解方式是對於每1元人民幣的股本,公司能夠賺取0.06元人民幣的利潤。

What Is The Relationship Between ROE And Earnings Growth?

What Is The Relationship Between ROE And Earnings Growth?

So far, we've learned that ROE is a measure of a company's profitability. Based on how much of its profits the company chooses to reinvest or "retain", we are then able to evaluate a company's future ability to generate profits. Generally speaking, other things being equal, firms with a high return on equity and profit retention, have a higher growth rate than firms that don't share these attributes.

到目前爲止,我們已經了解到ROE是公司的盈利能力的一種衡量標準。根據公司選擇再投資或「留存」的利潤比例,我們能夠評估公司未來產生利潤的能力。一般來說,其他條件相同的情況下,具有高股本回報率和利潤留存的公司,增長率往往高於沒有這些特點的公司。

Brilliance Technology's Earnings Growth And 5.9% ROE

新晨科技的盈利增長和5.9%的ROE

At first glance, Brilliance Technology's ROE doesn't look very promising. Although a closer study shows that the company's ROE is higher than the industry average of 4.6% which we definitely can't overlook. However, Brilliance Technology's five year net income decline rate was 11%. Remember, the company's ROE is a bit low to begin with, just that it is higher than the industry average. Therefore, the decline in earnings could also be the result of this.

乍一看,新晨科技的ROE似乎不太樂觀。儘管更仔細的研究表明,該公司的ROE高於行業平均水平的4.6%,這是我們絕對不能忽視的。然而,新晨科技五年的凈利潤下降率爲11%。請記住,公司的ROE本來就有點低,只是高於行業平均水平。因此,收益的下降也可能是這個原因導致的。

However, when we compared Brilliance Technology's growth with the industry we found that while the company's earnings have been shrinking, the industry has seen an earnings growth of 2.5% in the same period. This is quite worrisome.

然而,當我們將新晨科技的增長與行業進行比較時,我們發現雖然公司的收益在縮減,但行業在同一時期的收益增長達到了2.5%。這確實令人擔憂。

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SZSE:300542 Past Earnings Growth November 21st 2024
深交所:300542 過去的收益增長 2024年11月21日

Earnings growth is an important metric to consider when valuing a stock. What investors need to determine next is if the expected earnings growth, or the lack of it, is already built into the share price. By doing so, they will have an idea if the stock is headed into clear blue waters or if swampy waters await. Is Brilliance Technology fairly valued compared to other companies? These 3 valuation measures might help you decide.

盈利增長是評估股票時需要考慮的重要指標。 投資者接下來需要判斷的是預期的盈利增長或缺乏盈利增長是否已經反映在股價中。 通過這樣做,他們將了解股票是走向一片藍海,還是等待着沼澤地。 與其他公司相比,新晨科技的估值是否合理?這三項估值指標可能會幫助您做出決定。

Is Brilliance Technology Using Its Retained Earnings Effectively?

新晨科技是否有效利用其留存收益?

When we piece together Brilliance Technology's low three-year median payout ratio of 23% (where it is retaining 77% of its profits), calculated for the last three-year period, we are puzzled by the lack of growth. The low payout should mean that the company is retaining most of its earnings and consequently, should see some growth. It looks like there might be some other reasons to explain the lack in that respect. For example, the business could be in decline.

當我們將新晨科技過去三年中23%的低中位數派息率(該公司保留了77%的利潤)結合在一起時,我們對缺乏增長感到困惑。 低派息率應該意味着公司大部分盈利被保留,因此應該會看到一些增長。 看起來可能有其他原因來解釋這一缺乏增長的情況。例如,業務可能正在衰退。

Moreover, Brilliance Technology has been paying dividends for seven years, which is a considerable amount of time, suggesting that management must have perceived that the shareholders prefer consistent dividends even though earnings have been shrinking.

此外,新晨科技已經連續七年支付分紅派息,這是一段相當長的時間,這表明管理層必須意識到股東偏好穩定的分紅派息,儘管盈利一直在縮減。

Summary

總結

On the whole, we do feel that Brilliance Technology has some positive attributes. However, while the company does have a decent ROE and a high profit retention, its earnings growth number is quite disappointing. This suggests that there might be some external threat to the business, that's hampering growth. Having said that, looking at current analyst estimates, we found that the company's earnings growth rate is expected to see a huge improvement. Are these analysts expectations based on the broad expectations for the industry, or on the company's fundamentals? Click here to be taken to our analyst's forecasts page for the company.

總體來說,我們確實感覺到新晨科技有一些積極的特質。 然而,雖然該公司有不錯的ROE和較高的利潤留存,但其收益增長數字相當令人失望。這表明可能存在一些外部威脅影響到業務,阻礙了增長。 話雖如此,查看當前分析師的預測,我們發現該公司的收益增長率預計將有重大改善。 這些分析師的預期是基於行業的整體預期,還是基於公司基本面?點擊此處訪問我們分析師的公司預測頁面。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對本文有反饋?對內容有疑慮?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至 editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com。
這篇來自Simply Wall ST的文章是一般性的。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,採用無偏見的方法,我們的文章並不旨在提供財務建議。它不構成對任何股票的買入或賣出建議,也未考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們旨在爲您提供以基本數據驅動的長期分析。請注意,我們的分析可能未考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall ST在提到的任何股票中均沒有持倉。

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