ChinaLin Securities (SZSE:002945) Shareholders Have Earned a 13% CAGR Over the Last Three Years
ChinaLin Securities (SZSE:002945) Shareholders Have Earned a 13% CAGR Over the Last Three Years
One simple way to benefit from the stock market is to buy an index fund. But if you pick the right individual stocks, you could make more than that. For example, ChinaLin Securities Co., Ltd (SZSE:002945) shareholders have seen the share price rise 42% over three years, well in excess of the market decline (18%, not including dividends). On the other hand, the returns haven't been quite so good recently, with shareholders up just 7.1%, including dividends.
從股票市場中獲益的一種簡單方法是購買指數基金。但是,如果你選擇正確的個股,你的收入可能不止於此。例如,華林證券有限公司(深圳證券交易所:002945)股東的股價在三年內上漲了42%,遠遠超過了市場的跌幅(18%,不包括股息)。另一方面,最近的回報並不那麼好,股東僅上漲了7.1%,包括股息。
So let's assess the underlying fundamentals over the last 3 years and see if they've moved in lock-step with shareholder returns.
因此,讓我們評估過去3年的基本面,看看它們是否與股東回報步調一致。
In his essay The Superinvestors of Graham-and-Doddsville Warren Buffett described how share prices do not always rationally reflect the value of a business. By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.
禾倫·巴菲特在他的文章《格雷厄姆和多茲維爾的超級投資者》中描述了股價如何並不總是能合理地反映企業的價值。通過比較每股收益(EPS)和股價隨時間推移的變化,我們可以了解投資者對公司的態度如何隨着時間的推移而變化。
Over the last three years, ChinaLin Securities failed to grow earnings per share, which fell 39% (annualized).
在過去三年中,華林證券未能增長每股收益,下降了39%(按年計算)。
So we doubt that the market is looking to EPS for its main judge of the company's value. Therefore, we think it's worth considering other metrics as well.
因此,我們懷疑市場是否將每股收益作爲公司價值的主要判斷者。因此,我們認爲也值得考慮其他指標。
Languishing at just 0.03%, we doubt the dividend is doing much to prop up the share price. You can only imagine how long term shareholders feel about the declining revenue trend (slipping at 7.9% per year). What's clear is that historic earnings and revenue aren't matching up with the share price action, very well. So you might have to dig deeper to get a grasp of the situation
股息僅爲0.03%,我們懷疑股息是否能在支撐股價方面起到多大作用。你只能想象長期股東對收入下降趨勢(每年下滑7.9%)的看法。顯而易見的是,歷史收益和收入與股價走勢不符。因此,你可能需要更深入地挖掘才能了解情況
The company's revenue and earnings (over time) are depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).
公司的收入和收益(隨着時間的推移)如下圖所示(點擊查看確切數字)。
This free interactive report on ChinaLin Securities' balance sheet strength is a great place to start, if you want to investigate the stock further.
如果你想進一步調查中林證券資產負債表實力,這份關於中林證券資產負債表實力的免費互動報告是一個很好的起點。
A Different Perspective
不同的視角
ChinaLin Securities shareholders gained a total return of 7.1% during the year. Unfortunately this falls short of the market return. The silver lining is that the gain was actually better than the average annual return of 4% per year over five year. This could indicate that the company is winning over new investors, as it pursues its strategy. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. To that end, you should learn about the 3 warning signs we've spotted with ChinaLin Securities (including 1 which doesn't sit too well with us) .
中林證券股東在年內獲得7.1%的總回報。不幸的是,這沒有達到市場回報率。一線希望是,收益實際上好於五年內每年4%的平均年回報率。這可能表明該公司在推行其戰略時正在贏得新投資者的青睞。我發現將長期股價視爲業務績效的代表非常有趣。但是,要真正獲得見解,我們還需要考慮其他信息。爲此,你應該了解我們在ChinaLin Securities發現的3個警告信號(包括一個對我們來說不太合適)。
If you would prefer to check out another company -- one with potentially superior financials -- then do not miss this free list of companies that have proven they can grow earnings.
如果你想看看另一家公司——一家財務狀況可能優異的公司——那麼千萬不要錯過這份已經證明自己可以增加收益的公司的免費名單。
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.
請注意,本文引用的市場回報反映了目前在中國交易所交易的股票的市場加權平均回報率。
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
對這篇文章有反饋嗎?擔心內容嗎?直接聯繫我們。或者,發送電子郵件給編輯組(網址爲)simplywallst.com。
Simply Wall St 的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法提供基於歷史數據和分析師預測的評論,我們的文章並非旨在提供財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不會考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。華爾街只是沒有持有上述任何股票的頭寸。