Does Guangdong Vanward New Electric Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:002543) Weak Fundamentals Mean That The Stock Could Move In The Opposite Direction?
Does Guangdong Vanward New Electric Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:002543) Weak Fundamentals Mean That The Stock Could Move In The Opposite Direction?
Guangdong Vanward New Electric's (SZSE:002543) stock is up by 6.8% over the past three months. However, in this article, we decided to focus on its weak financials, as long-term fundamentals ultimately dictate market outcomes. Particularly, we will be paying attention to Guangdong Vanward New Electric's ROE today.
Return on Equity or ROE is a test of how effectively a company is growing its value and managing investors' money. In other words, it is a profitability ratio which measures the rate of return on the capital provided by the company's shareholders.
How Is ROE Calculated?
The formula for ROE is:
Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity
So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Guangdong Vanward New Electric is:
9.8% = CN¥463m ÷ CN¥4.7b (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2024).
The 'return' refers to a company's earnings over the last year. Another way to think of that is that for every CN¥1 worth of equity, the company was able to earn CN¥0.10 in profit.
What Has ROE Got To Do With Earnings Growth?
We have already established that ROE serves as an efficient profit-generating gauge for a company's future earnings. Based on how much of its profits the company chooses to reinvest or "retain", we are then able to evaluate a company's future ability to generate profits. Assuming everything else remains unchanged, the higher the ROE and profit retention, the higher the growth rate of a company compared to companies that don't necessarily bear these characteristics.
Guangdong Vanward New Electric's Earnings Growth And 9.8% ROE
When you first look at it, Guangdong Vanward New Electric's ROE doesn't look that attractive. Yet, a closer study shows that the company's ROE is similar to the industry average of 9.3%. Having said that, Guangdong Vanward New Electric's five year net income decline rate was 3.4%. Remember, the company's ROE is a bit low to begin with. Hence, this goes some way in explaining the shrinking earnings.
So, as a next step, we compared Guangdong Vanward New Electric's performance against the industry and were disappointed to discover that while the company has been shrinking its earnings, the industry has been growing its earnings at a rate of 8.1% over the last few years.
The basis for attaching value to a company is, to a great extent, tied to its earnings growth. What investors need to determine next is if the expected earnings growth, or the lack of it, is already built into the share price. Doing so will help them establish if the stock's future looks promising or ominous. Is Guangdong Vanward New Electric fairly valued compared to other companies? These 3 valuation measures might help you decide.
Is Guangdong Vanward New Electric Using Its Retained Earnings Effectively?
Guangdong Vanward New Electric's declining earnings is not surprising given how the company is spending most of its profits in paying dividends, judging by its three-year median payout ratio of 57% (or a retention ratio of 43%). With only a little being reinvested into the business, earnings growth would obviously be low or non-existent. Our risks dashboard should have the 2 risks we have identified for Guangdong Vanward New Electric.
Moreover, Guangdong Vanward New Electric has been paying dividends for at least ten years or more suggesting that management must have perceived that the shareholders prefer dividends over earnings growth.
Conclusion
In total, we would have a hard think before deciding on any investment action concerning Guangdong Vanward New Electric. The company has seen a lack of earnings growth as a result of retaining very little profits and whatever little it does retain, is being reinvested at a very low rate of return. That being so, the latest industry analyst forecasts show that the analysts are expecting to see a huge improvement in the company's earnings growth rate. To know more about the latest analysts predictions for the company, check out this visualization of analyst forecasts for the company.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.