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Does Yantai Changyu Pioneer Wine (SZSE:000869) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

Does Yantai Changyu Pioneer Wine (SZSE:000869) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

張裕b (SZSE:000869) 的資產負債表健康嗎?
Simply Wall St ·  11/23 06:07

Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. As with many other companies Yantai Changyu Pioneer Wine Company Limited (SZSE:000869) makes use of debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

霍華德·馬克斯說得好,他說的不是擔心股價的波動,而是 「永久損失的可能性是我擔心的風險... 也是我認識的每位實際投資者所擔心的風險。」當我們考慮一家公司的風險時,我們總是喜歡考慮其債務的用途,因爲債務過載可能導致破產。與許多其他公司一樣,煙臺張裕先鋒葡萄酒有限公司(深圳證券交易所代碼:000869)也使用債務。但真正的問題是這筆債務是否使公司面臨風險。

When Is Debt A Problem?

債務何時會成爲問題?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

債務可以幫助企業,直到企業難以償還債務,無論是新資本還是自由現金流。最終,如果公司無法履行償還債務的法律義務,股東們可能會一無所獲。但是,更常見(但仍然令人痛苦)的情況是,它必須以低廉的價格籌集新的股本,從而永久稀釋股東。當然,債務的好處在於它通常代表廉價資本,尤其是當它以高回報率進行再投資的能力取代公司的稀釋時。在考慮企業使用多少債務時,要做的第一件事是同時考慮其現金和債務。

What Is Yantai Changyu Pioneer Wine's Net Debt?

煙臺張裕先鋒酒業的淨負債是多少?

As you can see below, Yantai Changyu Pioneer Wine had CN¥376.2m of debt at September 2024, down from CN¥540.5m a year prior. But on the other hand it also has CN¥1.63b in cash, leading to a CN¥1.25b net cash position.

如下所示,截至2024年9月,煙臺張裕先鋒葡萄酒的債務爲37620萬元人民幣,低於去年同期的54050萬加元。但另一方面,它也有16.3元人民幣的現金,淨現金狀況爲12.5元人民幣。

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SZSE:000869 Debt to Equity History November 22nd 2024
SZSE: 000869 2024 年 11 月 22 日債務與股本比率的歷史記錄

How Strong Is Yantai Changyu Pioneer Wine's Balance Sheet?

煙臺張裕先鋒葡萄酒的資產負債表有多強?

According to the last reported balance sheet, Yantai Changyu Pioneer Wine had liabilities of CN¥1.46b due within 12 months, and liabilities of CN¥161.1m due beyond 12 months. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥1.63b as well as receivables valued at CN¥463.2m due within 12 months. So it can boast CN¥475.1m more liquid assets than total liabilities.

根據上次報告的資產負債表,煙臺張裕先鋒葡萄酒在12個月內到期的負債爲14.6元人民幣,12個月以後到期的負債爲16110萬元人民幣。除了這些債務外,它還有16.3元人民幣的現金以及價值46320萬元人民幣的應收賬款將在12個月內到期。因此,它擁有比總負債多出47510萬元人民幣的流動資產。

This short term liquidity is a sign that Yantai Changyu Pioneer Wine could probably pay off its debt with ease, as its balance sheet is far from stretched. Succinctly put, Yantai Changyu Pioneer Wine boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!

這種短期流動性表明,煙臺張裕先鋒葡萄酒可能會輕鬆償還債務,因爲其資產負債表遠未捉襟見肘。簡而言之,煙臺張裕先鋒酒業擁有淨現金,因此可以公平地說,它沒有沉重的債務負擔!

It is just as well that Yantai Changyu Pioneer Wine's load is not too heavy, because its EBIT was down 35% over the last year. Falling earnings (if the trend continues) could eventually make even modest debt quite risky. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Yantai Changyu Pioneer Wine's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

煙臺張裕先鋒葡萄酒的負荷也不是太重,因爲其息稅前利潤比去年下降了35%。收益下降(如果這種趨勢持續下去)最終也可能使即使是微不足道的債務也相當危險。毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表中學到的關於債務的知識最多。但是,未來收益將決定煙臺張裕先鋒葡萄酒未來維持健康資產負債表的能力。因此,如果您專注於未來,可以查看這份顯示分析師利潤預測的免費報告。

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. Yantai Changyu Pioneer Wine may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. Over the last three years, Yantai Changyu Pioneer Wine actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT. That sort of strong cash generation warms our hearts like a puppy in a bumblebee suit.

最後,公司只能用冷硬現金償還債務,不能用會計利潤償還債務。煙臺張裕先鋒酒業的資產負債表上可能有淨現金,但研究該企業如何將其利息稅前收益(EBIT)轉換爲自由現金流仍然很有趣,因爲這將影響其對債務的需求和管理能力。在過去的三年中,煙臺張裕先鋒葡萄酒產生的自由現金流實際上超過了息稅前利潤。這種強勁的現金產生像穿着大黃蜂套裝的小狗一樣溫暖着我們的心。

Summing Up

總結

While it is always sensible to investigate a company's debt, in this case Yantai Changyu Pioneer Wine has CN¥1.25b in net cash and a decent-looking balance sheet. The cherry on top was that in converted 124% of that EBIT to free cash flow, bringing in CN¥500m. So we don't have any problem with Yantai Changyu Pioneer Wine's use of debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Be aware that Yantai Changyu Pioneer Wine is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis , you should know about...

儘管調查公司的債務總是明智的,但在本案中,煙臺張裕先鋒葡萄酒的淨現金爲12.5元人民幣,資產負債表看起來不錯。最重要的是,它將息稅前利潤的124%轉換爲自由現金流,帶來了50000萬元人民幣的收入。因此,我們對煙臺張裕先鋒酒業使用債務沒有任何問題。在分析債務水平時,資產負債表是顯而易見的起點。但歸根結底,每家公司都可以控制資產負債表之外存在的風險。請注意,煙臺張裕先鋒酒業在我們的投資分析中顯示了兩個警告信號,你應該知道...

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

當一切都說完之後,有時更容易將注意力集中在甚至不需要債務的公司身上。讀者現在可以免費訪問淨負債爲零的成長型股票清單。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St 的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法提供基於歷史數據和分析師預測的評論,我們的文章並非旨在提供財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不會考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。華爾街只是沒有持有上述任何股票的頭寸。

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